Beyond the Stats - Vol. 52
By Jeff Haseley
July 15th, 2010

Breaking Down Which WRs and TEs to Target

The WR position plays a vital role in the success of fantasy teams, because in most leagues, rosters have more WRs than any other position. Your weekly lineup may require three, if not four WRs and in some cases a flex position is used that could include another WR. If you are forced to start three or four WRs on a weekly basis, it would be wise to have plenty of options to choose from. It's nearly impossible to maintain a roster of three elite WRs, so owners are forced to put the best possible lineup in place. In doing so, it's a good idea to draft 7-8 WRs and hope at least one WR outside of your intended starting three, performs above not only his expected draft position, but above the production of your WR3.

In most cases, it's easier said than done, but if you can find a diamond in the rough in the 10th round or later that exceeds the production from your 3rd WR selected, that's a huge feather in your cap that could ultimately be the driving force for your team.

Finding these WRs before they emerge is not easy, but it happens multiple times every year. Last year, Sidney Rice and Mike Sims-Walker were pre-season Top 30-40 players who rose to stardom and were inserted into starting lineups in leagues everywhere. The year prior, Eddie Royal burst onto the scene in Denver much in part to Jay Cutler. That same year Antonio Bryant had a career year with Jeff Garcia in Tampa Bay. Tom Brady turned Wes Welker into a household name in 2007.

I examined the rookie crop of WRs in a previous article titled Slipping Through the Cracks - Who Is the Next Surprise WR? Looking ahead, which veteran WRs might be good to target as possible break out WRs in 2010?

Here's some stats and number crunching that might help you make the right decision on draft day when it comes time to selecting the WRs you want on your roster.

The table below illustrates the number of games both WRs and TEs (with an gray background) had 6, 8 and 10 receptions in 2009. It also includes the number years that player has been in the league.

Sorted By Most 6-rec Games
Sorted By Most 8-rec Games
Sorted By Most 10-rec Games
Player
Tm
Yr
6
8
10
Player
Tm
Yr
6
8
10
Player
Tm
Yr
6
8
10
Welker, W.
NE
6
12
10
7
Welker, W.
NE
6
12
10
7
Welker, W.
NE
6
12
10
7
Smith, S.
NYG
3
11
5
3
Johnson, A.
HOU
7
9
6
3
Johnson, A.
HOU
7
9
6
3
Ward, H.
PIT
12
10
5
1
Smith, S.
NYG
3
11
5
3
Smith, S.
NYG
3
11
5
3
Johnson, A.
HOU
7
9
6
3
Ward, H.
PIT
12
10
5
1
Wayne, R.
IND
9
9
4
3
Boldin, A.
ARI
7
9
4
0
Clark, D.
IND
7
9
5
1
Marshall, B.
DEN
4
7
4
2
Clark, D.
IND
7
9
5
1
Boldin, A.
ARI
7
9
4
0
Moss, R.
NE
12
5
4
2
Fitzgerald, L.
ARI
6
9
4
1
Fitzgerald, L.
ARI
6
9
4
1
Austin, M.
DAL
4
8
3
2
Wayne, R.
IND
9
9
4
3
Wayne, R.
IND
9
9
4
3
Ward, H.
PIT
12
10
5
1
Austin, M.
DAL
4
8
3
2
Marshall, B.
DEN
4
7
4
2
Clark, D.
IND
7
9
5
1
Rice, S.
MIN
3
8
1
1
Moss, R.
NE
12
5
4
2
Fitzgerald, L.
ARI
6
9
4
1
Gonzalez, T.
ATL
13
8
3
0
Austin, M.
DAL
4
8
3
2
Moss, S.
WAS
9
4
2
1
Marshall, B.
DEN
4
7
4
2
Gonzalez, T.
ATL
13
8
3
0
Ochocinco, C.
CIN
9
3
2
1
Sims-Walker, M.
JAC
2
7
2
0
White, R.
ATL
5
7
3
0
Edelman, J.
NE
1
3
2
1
White, R.
ATL
5
7
3
0
Colston, M.
NO
4
5
3
0
Rice, S.
MIN
3
8
1
1
Holmes, S.
PIT
4
7
2
0
Sims-Walker, M.
JAC
2
7
2
0
Davis, V.
SF
4
7
1
1
Davis, V.
SF
4
7
1
1
Holmes, S.
PIT
4
7
2
0
Bess, D.
MIA
2
5
1
1
Johnson, C.
DET
3
6
2
0
Johnson, C.
DET
3
6
2
0
Manningham, M.
NYG
2
4
1
1
Mason, D.
BAL
13
6
1
0
Jackson, D.
PHI
2
6
2
0
Gaffney, J.
DEN
8
3
1
1
Jackson, D.
PHI
2
6
2
0
Celek, B.
PHI
3
5
2
0
Royal, E.
DEN
2
1
1
1
Burleson, N.
SEA
7
6
1
0
Miller, H.
PIT
5
5
2
0
Ginn, T.
MIA
3
1
1
1
Collie, A.
IND
1
5
1
0
Witten, J.
DAL
7
5
2
0
Boldin, A.
ARI
7
9
4
0
Celek, B.
PHI
3
5
2
0
Houshmandzadeh, T
SEA
9
5
2
0
Gonzalez, T.
ATL
13
8
3
0
Bess, D.
MIA
2
5
1
1
Gates, A.
SD
7
4
2
0
White, R.
ATL
5
7
3
0
Hester, D.
CHI
5
5
1
0
Moss, S.
WAS
9
4
2
1
Colston, M.
NO
4
5
3
0
Driver, D.
GB
11
5
0
0
Smith, S.
CAR
9
4
2
0
Sims-Walker, M.
JAC
2
7
2
0
Miller, H.
PIT
5
5
2
0
Ochocinco, C.
CIN
9
3
2
1
Holmes, S.
PIT
4
7
2
0
Witten, J.
DAL
7
5
2
0
Edelman, J.
NE
1
3
2
1
Johnson, C.
DET
3
6
2
0
Winslow, K.
TB
6
5
1
0
Rice, S.
MIN
3
8
1
1
Jackson, D.
PHI
2
6
2
0
Colston, M.
NO
4
5
3
0
Davis, V.
SF
4
7
1
1
Celek, B.
PHI
3
5
2
0
Moss, R.
NE
12
5
4
2
Mason, D.
BAL
13
6
1
0
Miller, H.
PIT
5
5
2
0
Houshmandzadeh, T
SEA
9
5
2
0
Burleson, N.
SEA
7
6
1
0
Witten, J.
DAL
7
5
2
0
Miller, Z.
OAK
3
5
1
0
Collie, A.
IND
1
5
1
0
Houshmandzadeh, T
SEA
9
5
2
0
Gates, A.
SD
7
4
2
0
Bess, D.
MIA
2
5
1
1
Gates, A.
SD
7
4
2
0
Jennings, G.
GB
4
4
1
0
Hester, D.
CHI
5
5
1
0
Smith, S.
CAR
9
4
2
0
Maclin, J.
PHI
1
4
0
0
Winslow, K.
TB
6
5
1
0
Mason, D.
BAL
13
6
1
0
Finley, J.
GB
2
4
1
0
Miller, Z.
OAK
3
5
1
0
Burleson, N.
SEA
7
6
1
0
Cotchery, J.
NYJ
6
4
1
0
Jennings, G.
GB
4
4
1
0
Collie, A.
IND
1
5
1
0
Carlson, J.
SEA
2
4
0
0
Finley, J.
GB
2
4
1
0
Hester, D.
CHI
5
5
1
0
Manningham, M.
NYG
2
4
1
1
Cotchery, J.
NYJ
6
4
1
0
Winslow, K.
TB
6
5
1
0
Daniels, O.
HOU
4
4
1
0
Manningham, M.
NYG
2
4
1
1
Miller, Z.
OAK
3
5
1
0
Moss, S.
WAS
9
4
2
1
Daniels, O.
HOU
4
4
1
0
Jennings, G.
GB
4
4
1
0
Smith, S.
CAR
9
4
2
0
Bowe, D.
KC
3
3
1
0
Finley, J.
GB
2
4
1
0
Caldwell, A.
CIN
2
3
0
0
Gaffney, J.
DEN
8
3
1
1
Cotchery, J.
NYJ
6
4
1
0
Berrian, B.
MIN
6
3
0
0
Jackson, V.
SD
5
3
1
0
Daniels, O.
HOU
4
4
1
0
Ochocinco, C.
CIN
9
3
2
1
Aromashodu, D.
CHI
3
2
1
0
Bowe, D.
KC
3
3
1
0
Bowe, D.
KC
3
3
1
0
Keller, D.
NYJ
2
2
1
0
Jackson, V.
SD
5
3
1
0
Olsen, G
CHI
3
3
0
0
Davis, F.
WAS
2
2
1
0
Aromashodu, D.
CHI
3
2
1
0
Gaffney, J.
DEN
8
3
1
1
Avant, J.
PHI
4
2
1
0
Keller, D.
NYJ
2
2
1
0
Morgan, J.
SF
2
3
0
0
Shiancoe, V.
MIN
7
2
1
0
Davis, F.
WAS
2
2
1
0
Edelman, J.
NE
1
3
2
1
Schilens, C.
OAK
2
1
1
0
Avant, J.
PHI
4
2
1
0
Thomas, M.
JAC
1
3
0
0
Royal, E.
DEN
2
1
1
1
Shiancoe, V.
MIN
7
2
1
0
Muhammad, M.
CAR
14
3
0
0
Long, L.
KC
1
1
1
0
Schilens, C.
OAK
2
1
1
0
Harvin, P.
MIN
1
3
0
0
Floyd, M
SD
6
1
1
0
Long, L.
KC
1
1
1
0
Breaston, S.
ARI
3
3
0
0
Massaquoi, M.
CLE
1
1
1
0
Floyd, M
SD
6
1
1
0
Jackson, V.
SD
5
3
1
0
Meachem, R.
NO
2
1
1
0
Massaquoi, M.
CLE
1
1
1
0
Gibson, B.
STL
1
2
0
0
Ginn, T.
MIA
3
1
1
1
Meachem, R.
NO
2
1
1
0
Pettigrew, B.
DET
1
2
0
0
Owens, T.
BUF
14
1
1
0
Owens, T.
BUF
14
1
1
0
Cooley, C.
WAS
6
2
0
0
Driver, D.
GB
11
5
0
0
Driver, D.
GB
11
5
0
0
Amendola, D.
STL
1
2
0
0
Maclin, J.
PHI
1
4
0
0
Maclin, J.
PHI
1
4
0
0
Aromashodu, D.
CHI
3
2
1
0
Carlson, J.
SEA
2
4
0
0
Carlson, J.
SEA
2
4
0
0
Keller, D.
NYJ
2
2
1
0
Caldwell, A.
CIN
2
3
0
0
Caldwell, A.
CIN
2
3
0
0
Bennett, E.
CHI
2
2
0
0
Berrian, B.
MIN
6
3
0
0
Berrian, B.
MIN
6
3
0
0
Davis, F.
WAS
2
2
1
0
Olsen, G
CHI
3
3
0
0
Olsen, G
CHI
3
3
0
0
Avant, J.
PHI
4
2
1
0
Morgan, J.
SF
2
3
0
0
Morgan, J.
SF
2
3
0
0
Britt, K.
TEN
1
2
0
0
Thomas, M.
JAC
1
3
0
0
Thomas, M.
JAC
1
3
0
0
Walter, K.
HOU
7
2
0
0
Muhammad, M.
CAR
14
3
0
0
Muhammad, M.
CAR
14
3
0
0
Crabtree, M.
SF
1
2
0
0
Harvin, P.
MIN
1
3
0
0
Harvin, P.
MIN
1
3
0
0
Jenkins, M.
ATL
6
2
0
0
Breaston, S.
ARI
3
3
0
0
Breaston, S.
ARI
3
3
0
0
Washington, N.
TEN
5
2
0
0
Gibson, B.
STL
1
2
0
0
Gibson, B.
STL
1
2
0
0
Garcon, P.
IND
2
2
0
0
Pettigrew, B.
DET
1
2
0
0
Pettigrew, B.
DET
1
2
0
0
Holt, T.
JAC
11
2
0
0
Cooley, C.
WAS
6
2
0
0
Cooley, C.
WAS
6
2
0
0
Shiancoe, V.
MIN
7
2
1
0
Amendola, D.
STL
1
2
0
0
Amendola, D.
STL
1
2
0
0
Schilens, C.
OAK
2
1
1
0
Bennett, E.
CHI
2
2
0
0
Bennett, E.
CHI
2
2
0
0
Royal, E.
DEN
2
1
1
1
Britt, K.
TEN
1
2
0
0
Britt, K.
TEN
1
2
0
0
Long, L.
KC
1
1
1
0
Walter, K.
HOU
7
2
0
0
Walter, K.
HOU
7
2
0
0
Floyd, M
SD
6
1
1
0
Crabtree, M.
SF
1
2
0
0
Crabtree, M.
SF
1
2
0
0
Massaquoi, M.
CLE
1
1
1
0
Jenkins, M.
ATL
6
2
0
0
Jenkins, M.
ATL
6
2
0
0
Meachem, R.
NO
2
1
1
0
Washington, N.
TEN
5
2
0
0
Washington, N.
TEN
5
2
0
0

Here's the same data sorted by team as a well as years in the league.

Sorted By Team
Sorted By Years In NFL
Player
Tm Yr 6 8 10
Player
Tm Yr 6 8 10
Boldin, A.
ARI 7 9 4 0
Massaquoi, M.
CLE 1 1 1 0
Breaston, S.
ARI 3 3 0 0
Pettigrew, B.
DET 1 2 0 0
Fitzgerald, L.
ARI 6 9 4 1
Collie, A.
IND 1 5 1 0
Gonzalez, T.
ATL 13 8 3 0
Thomas, M.
JAC 1 3 0 0
Jenkins, M.
ATL 6 2 0 0
Long, L.
KC 1 1 1 0
White, R.
ATL 5 7 3 0
Harvin, P.
MIN 1 3 0 0
Mason, D.
BAL 13 6 1 0
Edelman, J.
NE 1 3 2 1
Owens, T.
BUF 14 1 1 0
Nicks, H
NYG 1 1 0 0
Muhammad, M.
CAR 14 3 0 0
Maclin, J.
PHI 1 4 0 0
Smith, S.
CAR 9 4 2 0
Crabtree, M.
SF 1 2 0 0
Aromashodu, D.
CHI 3 2 1 0
Amendola, D.
STL 1 2 0 0
Bennett, E.
CHI 2 2 0 0
Gibson, B.
STL 1 2 0 0
Hester, D.
CHI 5 5 1 0
Britt, K.
TEN 1 2 0 0
Olsen, G
CHI 3 3 0 0
Bennett, E.
CHI 2 2 0 0
Caldwell, A.
CIN 2 3 0 0
Caldwell, A.
CIN 2 3 0 0
Ochocinco, C.
CIN 9 3 2 1
Royal, E.
DEN 2 1 1 1
Massaquoi, M.
CLE 1 1 1 0
Finley, J.
GB 2 4 1 0
Austin, M.
DAL 4 8 3 2
Garcon, P.
IND 2 2 0 0
Witten, J.
DAL 7 5 2 0
Sims-Walker, M.
JAC 2 7 2 0
Gaffney, J.
DEN 8 3 1 1
Bess, D.
MIA 2 5 1 1
Marshall, B.
DEN 4 7 4 2
Meachem, R.
NO 2 1 1 0
Royal, E.
DEN 2 1 1 1
Manningham, M.
NYG 2 4 1 1
Johnson, C.
DET 3 6 2 0
Keller, D.
NYJ 2 2 1 0
Pettigrew, B.
DET 1 2 0 0
Schilens, C.
OAK 2 1 1 0
Driver, D.
GB 11 5 0 0
Jackson, D.
PHI 2 6 2 0
Finley, J.
GB 2 4 1 0
Carlson, J.
SEA 2 4 0 0
Jennings, G.
GB 4 4 1 0
Morgan, J.
SF 2 3 0 0
Daniels, O.
HOU 4 4 1 0
Davis, F.
WAS 2 2 1 0
Johnson, A.
HOU 7 9 6 3
Breaston, S.
ARI 3 3 0 0
Walter, K.
HOU 7 2 0 0
Aromashodu, D.
CHI 3 2 1 0
Clark, D.
IND 7 9 5 1
Olsen, G
CHI 3 3 0 0
Collie, A.
IND 1 5 1 0
Johnson, C.
DET 3 6 2 0
Garcon, P.
IND 2 2 0 0
Miller, Z.
OAK 3 5 1 0
Wayne, R.
IND 9 9 4 3
Bowe, D.
KC 3 3 1 0
Holt, T.
JAC 11 2 0 0
Ginn, T.
MIA 3 1 1 1
Sims-Walker, M.
JAC 2 7 2 0
Rice, S.
MIN 3 8 1 1
Thomas, M.
JAC 1 3 0 0
Smith, S.
NYG 3 11 5 3
Bowe, D.
KC 3 3 1 0
Celek, B.
PHI 3 5 2 0
Long, L.
KC 1 1 1 0
Austin, M.
DAL 4 8 3 2
Bess, D.
MIA 2 5 1 1
Marshall, B.
DEN 4 7 4 2
Ginn, T.
MIA 3 1 1 1
Jennings, G.
GB 4 4 1 0
Berrian, B.
MIN 6 3 0 0
Daniels, O.
HOU 4 4 1 0
Harvin, P.
MIN 1 3 0 0
Colston, M.
NO 4 5 3 0
Rice, S.
MIN 3 8 1 1
Avant, J.
PHI 4 2 1 0
Shiancoe, V.
MIN 7 2 1 0
Holmes, S.
PIT 4 7 2 0
Edelman, J.
NE 1 3 2 1
Davis, V.
SF 4 7 1 1
Moss, R.
NE 12 5 4 2
White, R.
ATL 5 7 3 0
Welker, W.
NE 6 12 10 7
Hester, D.
CHI 5 5 1 0
Colston, M.
NO 4 5 3 0
Miller, H.
PIT 5 5 2 0
Meachem, R.
NO 2 1 1 0
Jackson, V.
SD 5 3 1 0
Manningham, M.
NYG 2 4 1 1
Washington, N.
TEN 5 2 0 0
Smith, S.
NYG 3 11 5 3
Fitzgerald, L.
ARI 6 9 4 1
Nicks, H
NYG 1 1 0 0
Jenkins, M.
ATL 6 2 0 0
Cotchery, J.
NYJ 6 4 1 0
Berrian, B.
MIN 6 3 0 0
Keller, D.
NYJ 2 2 1 0
Welker, W.
NE 6 12 10 7
Miller, Z.
OAK 3 5 1 0
Cotchery, J.
NYJ 6 4 1 0
Schilens, C.
OAK 2 1 1 0
Floyd, M
SD 6 1 1 0
Avant, J.
PHI 4 2 1 0
Winslow, K.
TB 6 5 1 0
Celek, B.
PHI 3 5 2 0
Cooley, C.
WAS 6 2 0 0
Jackson, D.
PHI 2 6 2 0
Boldin, A.
ARI 7 9 4 0
Maclin, J.
PHI 1 4 0 0
Witten, J.
DAL 7 5 2 0
Holmes, S.
PIT 4 7 2 0
Johnson, A.
HOU 7 9 6 3
Miller, H.
PIT 5 5 2 0
Walter, K.
HOU 7 2 0 0
Ward, H.
PIT 12 10 5 1
Clark, D.
IND 7 9 5 1
Floyd, M
SD 6 1 1 0
Shiancoe, V.
MIN 7 2 1 0
Gates, A.
SD 7 4 2 0
Gates, A.
SD 7 4 2 0
Jackson, V.
SD 5 3 1 0
Burleson, N.
SEA 7 6 1 0
Burleson, N.
SEA 7 6 1 0
Gaffney, J.
DEN 8 3 1 1
Carlson, J.
SEA 2 4 0 0
Smith, S.
CAR 9 4 2 0
Houshmandzadeh, T
SEA 9 5 2 0
Ochocinco, C.
CIN 9 3 2 1
Crabtree, M.
SF 1 2 0 0
Wayne, R.
IND 9 9 4 3
Davis, V.
SF 4 7 1 1
Houshmandzadeh, T
SEA 9 5 2 0
Morgan, J.
SF 2 3 0 0
Moss, S.
WAS 9 4 2 1
Amendola, D.
STL 1 2 0 0
Driver, D.
GB 11 5 0 0
Gibson, B.
STL 1 2 0 0
Holt, T.
JAC 11 2 0 0
Winslow, K.
TB 6 5 1 0
Moss, R.
NE 12 5 4 2
Britt, K.
TEN 1 2 0 0
Ward, H.
PIT 12 10 5 1
Washington, N.
TEN 5 2 0 0
Gonzalez, T.
ATL 13 8 3 0
Cooley, C.
WAS 6 2 0 0
Mason, D.
BAL 13 6 1 0
Davis, F.
WAS 2 2 1 0
Owens, T.
BUF 14 1 1 0
Moss, S.
WAS 9 4 2 1
Muhammad, M.
CAR 14 3 0 0

Going deeper - If you take the sum of the games in which a team's players had 6, 8 and 10 receptions in a game you really start to see which teams might be good to target when selecting your WRs for your 2010 fantasy team(s).

For example: Oakland had a sum of six games in which a player had 6 receptions and a sum of two games in which a player had 8 receptions. No player had 10 receptions. The sum of those equals 8.

Here's the list of all 32 teams in descending order by the total sum of games in which a team's players had 6, 8 and 10 receptions in a game.

  • 46 - NE
  • 39 - IND
  • 32 - PIT
  • 29 - ARI
  • 26 - NYG
  • 25 - HOU
  • 23 - ATL
  • 22 - PHI
  • 21 - DEN
  • 20 - DAL, MIN
  • 18 - SEA
  • 15 - GB
  • 14 - CHI, JAC, SF
  • 12 - WAS
  • 10 - DET, MIA, NO
  • 9 - CAR, CIN
  • 8 - NYJ, OAK
  • 7 - BUF
  • 6 - KC
  • 4 - STL, TEN
  • 2 - CLE
  • Looking only at games with at least 6 receptions

    The far left column is the sum of games a team's players had 6 receptions or more in a game. The far right column is the number of players with six receptions or more per game that each team averaged. In other words, Indianapolis averaged 1.6 players per game who reached six receptions.

    Total Players
    Teams
    Average Per Game
    25
    IND
    1.6
    22
    PIT
    1.4
    21
    ARI
    1.3
    20
    NE
    1.3
    17
    PHI, ATL
    1.1
    16
    MIN, NYG
    1.0
    15
    HOU, SEA
    0.9
    13
    GB, DAL
    0.8
    12
    SF, JAC, CHI
    0.8
    11
    DEN
    0.7
    8
    WAS, SD, DET
    0.5
    7
    CAR
    0.4
    6
    OAK, NYJ, NO, MIA, CIN, BUF, BAL
    0.4
    5
    TB
    0.3
    4
    TEN, STL, KC
    0.3
    1
    CLE
    0.1

    Some interesting tidbits that stick out

  • Last year Cleveland had just one game in which a player reached six receptions or more. To put it bluntly - that ain't good.

  • Arizona players had a total sum of 21 times in which they had six receptions or more. That will likely change in 2010, due to Kurt Warner's retirement.

  • Wes Welker had a ton of games with 6, 8, and 10 receptions. He dominated all of the categories. Interestingly enough, it was just Welker reaching those numbers. On average only 1.3 New England WRs/TEs reached six receptions or more per game for New England.

  • The Saints averaged 0.4 WRs/TEs with six receptions or more in a game. This concludes the fact that ball distribution was definitely prevalent in New Orleans in 2009. You may want to think twice about choosing Marques Colston as your WR1 in leagues that award points per reception.

  • I thought it was interesting that only one rookie WR/TE had 10 catches or more in 2009. If you guessed Julian Edelman, you're right.

  • Only three players with less than three years of experience had 10 catches or more in 2009. Eddie Royal, Mario Manningham and Davone Bess. The majority of players who reached 10+ catches in a game were players with at least three years experience.

  • Four teams had four different WRs/TEs reach at least six receptions in a game. CHI, IND, MIN and PHI

  • Four teams had just one WR/TE reach at least six receptions in a game. BAL, BUF, CLE, TB

  • When choosing which WRs and TEs to target this year, it's good to follow the below guidelines.

    1. Take a good look at all WRs on teams that love to throw to their WRs and TEs. It's easy to be interested in Reggie Wayne or Dallas Clark, but don't forget about the Colts other contributors who could be your WR3 or WR4. An example is WR Austin Collie who had five games of six receptions or more. GB WR James Jones is also someone who could emerge as a good WR3 or WR4 simply due to the opportunity he has on a good offense.

    2. Stay away from teams that don't throw to their WRs or TEs often. Stay away from players like Kenny Britt, who had just two games of six catches or more. That isn't exactly great news for a player who was the team's primary WR.

    3. Look for teams who are looking to fill voids - Someone to potentially target might be the WR2 in Seattle. The Seahawks, like the Texans had a sum of 15 games in which a WR or TE reached six receptions or more. With Nate Burleson in Detroit, someone is going to occupy that role, possibly rookie Golden Tate. Another interesting situation to look at is the WR picture in Pittsburgh. It's a little cloudy without Ben Roethlisberger for six games, but the Steelers had a sum of 22 games in which a WR or TE reached six receptions or more. Santonio Holmes, now with the Jets, did it seven times. Someone like Mike Wallace could fill the gap. Either him or a combination of TE Heath Miller and Hines Ward picks up more of the slack. The same can be said in Denver, with Brandon Marshall out of the picture. Marshall had seven games of at least six receptions. Eddie Royal, Jabar Gaffney or rookie Demaryius Thomas will likely pick up some of that slack. The Jaguars will be looking to fill the void left by Torry Holt. Look for Mike Thomas to step up in production as a result.

    4. Follow good QBs that change teams - Last year, four different players had at least six receptions or more in Philadelphia with Donovan McNabb at QB. Chances are McNabb (now a Redskin) will bring out the best of the WRs that Washington has to offer. Don't shy away from Santana Moss and Devin Thomas, not to mention TEs Chris Cooley and Fred Davis. One of them will likely be the primary receiving TE, not both. My money is on Davis.

    5. Be excited, but wary at the same time. This includes Hakeem Nicks, who had just one game of six receptions or more for the Giants last year. Michael Crabtree had just two with SF while Vernon Davis stole the show.

    6. Target players who performed well when they replaced an injured player. Capitalizing on opportunity is big. Don't forget about Julian Edelman. If Wes Welker starts the year on the PUP list, someone will have to fill the void - likely Edelman, who had two games of eight receptions or more, one of which was a ten reception game.

    7. In general, shy away from first and second year WRs, because the majority of high-catch WRs have played at least a full two years (entering year three).

    There are opportunities everywhere - you just have to look in the right place. To get ahead of your competition, it's important to know which teams and situations to target so you can choose WRs from those teams that will produce. Dwayne Bowe may be a very talented WR, but when he only has three games of six receptions or more, you better hope he scores a lot. In hindsight, perhaps Bowe isn't the best choice when it comes time in the draft when his name is likely called. I hope this information helps you determine which WRs and TEs you should target for your upcoming draft(s).

    Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com.

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