Overvalued Players - Week 6

  Updated 10/15 by Jeff Tefertiller, Exclusive for Footballguys.com

This article will take a weekly look at players who are overvalued in a given week. Negative value is when a player offers more long-term value than he does for this week. The basis for this value will be the difference between the Top 250 forward, a look at the top 250 players with the whole season in mind, and the weekly rankings. Both of these are from the Footballguys.com subscriber content. An emphasis will be on the players with the largest differences between the season outlook and this week only. Also, a preference will be given to differences for the higher ranked players. Some of these differences will be due to injury, matchup of the week, or short-term situation. With the bye weeks starting, some of these players would be much worse plays if not for the good players off this week. Now, let's take a look at this week's negative value players.


Philip Rivers

  • Top 250 ranking: 4
  • Weekly ranking: 14
  • Difference: -10

Rivers and the Chargers are coming off a bye week and need a big win against the division-leading Denver Broncos. The Bronco secondary is playing well and will provide a stiff test to Rivers and company. They have held the Patriots and Cowboys in check the past two weeks. In fact, Tom Brady only completed five passes in the second half of last Sunday's ball game.

Drew Brees

  • Top 250 ranking: 2
  • Weekly ranking: 15
  • Difference: -13

Brees is another top quarterback with a tough game coming off the bye week. The Saints welcome the New York Giants. The Giants have an elite defense and will look to limit the big plays of the Saint offense. In addition, the New York defense is able to put pressure on the passer without much blitzing.

Eli Manning

  • Top 250 ranking: 11
  • Weekly ranking: 19
  • Difference: -8

The Giants travel to New Orleans to meet the Saints. New Orleans limited the Jets and Mark Sanchez two weeks ago and will try to do the same to Manning. This will be a tough matchup for both quarterbacks, especially Manning if the Saints are able to get off to an early lead.

Running Back

Michael Turner

  • Top 250 ranking: 3
  • Weekly ranking: 17
  • Difference: -14

Turner exploded against a stiff 49ers defense last week. He and the Falcons play the Chicago Bears this week. Turner is still a startable RB2, but the upside is limited against the aggressive Bear defense. The Falcons looked keen on offense last week and will look to garner two straight big wins against top NFC defenses.

Adrian Peterson

  • Top 250 ranking: 1
  • Weekly ranking: 7
  • Difference: -6

Peterson is the best running back in the NFL. He is running hard and benefits from the presence of Brett Favre. Fantasy owners should still start Peterson but limit expectations against the vaunted Baltimore Raven defense. This looks to be a good game for fans to watch Peterson face the Ravens.

Chris Johnson

  • Top 250 ranking: 2
  • Weekly ranking: 15
  • Difference: -13

Chris Johnson has had one huge game and struggled in the others. He faces the Patriots this week. New England is strong at home and will prove a stiff test for the explosive runner. The Titans are looking for their first win of the season and will have a tough time moving the ball against the Patriots in Foxboro.

Brian Westbrook

  • Top 250 ranking: 9
  • Weekly ranking: 18
  • Difference: -9

Brian Westbrook is back from injury but does not look to possess the same quickness or explosion we are accustomed to seeing. The Eagles travel to visit the Raiders in the "Black Hole". Oakland is strong against the run since acquiring ex-Patriot Richard Seymour. In addition, the Eagles have professed their desire of wanting to use McCoy more as the season progresses.

Wide Receiver

Vincent Jackson

  • Top 250 ranking: 7
  • Weekly ranking: 21
  • Difference: -14

The Chargers host the Denver Broncos in a must win game for San Diego. Jackson has started the season fast but has a tough matchup against Champ Bailey and the Bronco secondary this week. The Denver defense has limited the passing production of other strong offenses like the Patriots and the Cowboys and will look to do the same to the Chargers. This is a week to temper expectations for Jackson.

Marques Colston

  • Top 250 ranking: 4
  • Weekly ranking: 23
  • Difference: -19

The Saints have a big game this week in a battle of unbeatens as they host the New York Giants. New York has a strong defense and will look to contain the big plays of the Saint offense. New Orleans is coming off the bye week and will be prepared. This is a great game for fans as the strength of New Orleans offense meets the strength of the New York defense.

Larry Fitzgerald

  • Top 250 ranking: 3
  • Weekly ranking: 9
  • Difference: -6

The Seattle Seahawks defense limited the Jacksonville Jaguar offense last week. In fact, they shut out the Jaguars. This Sunday, they play the Arizona Cardinals. This is not an easy matchup for the Cardinal passing game. The Seahawks have now forced two shutouts this season. Fantasy owners should still start Fitzgerald, but he is unlikely to have another huge game.

Brandon Marshall

  • Top 250 ranking: 6
  • Weekly ranking: 19
  • Difference: -13

Marshall has been awesome, scoring a touchdown in the last three games. He will meet the strong secondary of the Chargers this week. San Diego is weak against the run and strong versus the pass, so the Broncos may try to run more often this week. The Chargers have good cornerbacks and will have a plan to contain the only big play receiver in Denver.

Tight End

Jeremy Shockey

  • Top 250 ranking: 13
  • Weekly ranking: 18
  • Difference: -5

What a game for Jeremy Shockey. He gets to play against the New York Giants, the team that released him unceremoniously. Shockey still harbors ill feelings and will want a big game. But, this is a tough matchup as the Giants have a great defense and know the strengths and weaknesses of the former teammate.

Todd Heap

  • Top 250 ranking: 10
  • Weekly ranking: 12
  • Difference: -2

Heap would be a much worse play if so many top tight ends were not off this week for the bye. The Ravens play the Vikings in a hard hitting matchup. This is a tough game for fantasy owners to start the veteran tight end unless there are no other good options.


Lawrence Tynes

  • Top 250 ranking: 3
  • Weekly ranking: 12
  • Difference: -9

The Saint defense has limited opponents from scoring chances this season. Tynes has been the top kicker this season, and gets to kick in the dome this week, but the matchup may not yield many field goal tries.

John Carney

  • Top 250 ranking: 7
  • Weekly ranking: 14
  • Difference: -7

Carney may not get many scoring opportunities as the Giant defense will look to keep the high flying Saints in check. Carney is in a great situation, but this is a very tough week to start him. This could be a hard fought, low scoring game.


Minnesota Vikings

  • Top 250 ranking: 1
  • Weekly ranking: 8
  • Difference: -7

The Vikings defense has been great this season. They face Joe Flacco and the Ravens in a smash mouth game. Baltimore does not turn the ball over much and will make it tough for the Vikings defense to sack Flacco.

New York Giants

  • Top 250 ranking: 3
  • Weekly ranking: 16
  • Difference: -13

Brees does not throw many picks and gets the ball away quickly, minimizing the pass rush of opposing defenses. The Giants have been awesome this season, but this is a very tough matchup.