The Marketplace - Week 8
Posted 10/27 by Jeff Tefertiller and Jeff Pasquino, Exclusive for Footballguys.com
This will be a weekly feature looking at the values of players in all leagues, from redraft to dynasty. The focus will be on identifying changes in player values beforehand in order to either buy a player low or sell a player high. It does not matter what type of league you are in, some players are gaining value and some are plummeting. Each week, we will look at a different group of players and examine why they are worth consideration to buy or sell. At the bottom of the article, there will be a "Buy of the Week" and a "Sale of the Week". This is the time of year that injuries start to mount up. Fantasy owners are left to determine whether they want to buy, sell, or avoid these injured players. Some may return to the lineups soon, while others it may be later in the season. What to do with the injured players is a big strategic decision for owners. Below are some players to consider buying or selling. These are all players whose value has changed due to the injuries.
- Matthew Stafford is a player to avoid or sell in redraft leagues. It is not yet known for sure how long he will be out of action. He might be back on the field this week, but will not be at full strength. How effective can a rookie passer be while slowed by a knee injury and playing behind a poor offensive line? Uncertainty for a passer on a struggling team like Detroit is not good for fantasy production. Add in the injury to star receiver Calvin Johnson and it looks like a huge unknown as to whether Stafford can make a fantasy impact for any part of the remainder of the season. But, this situation makes Stafford a great player to buy in dynasty leagues. He is a very good prospect on an improving team that will continue to add pieces.
- Felix Jones is still recovering from the knee injury that has kept him off the field the past few weeks. Jones is a very productive player when healthy. Yes, Jones did play Sunday against the Falcons, but did not show the same burst I am accustomed to seeing. In addition, the strong play of Tashard Choice has made the situation very murky in Dallas. Jones is a player to sell in redraft leagues. While he does have some big games when healthy, durability is a major question mark going forward. Sell him before there is another injury. The Dallas backfield is more crowded than circus clowns in a Volkswagen bug. It would take a lot of things to happen for Jones to be startable in the near future.
- Jerious Norwood injured his hip in the week six game against the Chicago Bears. He was just coming off a big concussion and had not yet worked back into a regular rotation in the Atlanta backfield. Norwood will miss some time, and will be limited for a few more weeks. He is a player to sell or drop in redraft leagues. The Falcons will use Jason Snelling in his stead. Snelling is the guy to pick up as insurance for Michael Turner. Considering the heavy workload (376 touches) of Turner last season, Snelling could be a great player to add.
- Anquan Boldin is having an off year, even when healthy. The latest injury, to his ankle, will hinder him for a few weeks. Boldin showed incredible courage playing against the Giants on Sunday evening. He played through a high ankle sprain. This is usually a three or four week injury, at the minimum. Boldin is a tough customer and will try to play through the pain each week. But, he has not been all that great even before tweaking his ankle. Boldin is a player to sell as soon as possible. He will be limited for several weeks, and will not offer the big play after catch ability he is known for. Plus, the Cardinal offense has not been as prolific through the air as it was last season.
- Jerricho Cotchery is a player that has been left by the wayside with the trade for Braylon Edwards. But, the Jet offense misses its sure-handed possession receiver. Edwards is a big play receiver but is not necessarily known for his good hands. Cotchery could be a great player to target via trade after sitting out another game with the gimpy hamstring. For those that underestimate his importance on the New York passing game, look at Sanchez' production in games Cotchery has played compared to those he has missed. Also, look at the win-loss record. Yes, there are more factors in those games than just Cotchery's presence on the field, but he does make an impact. The Jets will need his sure hands since Leon Washington is lost for the season.
- Donnie Avery is the lone deep threat in St. Louis. He started off quickly in week six, catching a touchdown, before leaving the game with a hip injury. In week seven, he re-injured the hip on a 50-yard play, then reentered the game later on. The multiple injuries this season make Avery able on many waiver wires or cheaply via trade. He has the speed and ability to gain separation from his defender in an instant. Avery can have a big game any week, even with Marc Bulger at quarterback. He is also a good player to buy in dynasty leagues. Avery has the talent to be a Top 20 dynasty wide receiver in the future. The Rams need lots of work, so it may not be soon, but the talent is there and the St. Louis coaching staff believes in the second-year receiver.
- Chaz Schilens is now close to being healthy and on many waiver wires. Most fantasy owners have given up on him considering the foot injury and the ineptitude of the Oakland Raider offense. There is talk of a setback last week so keep an eye on his condition. Schilens warmed up before the game Sunday, but the foot did not respond. Let's remember how good Schilens looked in preseason. He was awesome in the game against the Dallas Cowboys, with Russell targeting him on the majority of passes.
- Keep an eye on the Julian Edelman injury. He broke his forearm and the Patriots do not have a time frame for his return. Some reports have the rookie returning in a week or two and some say he will soon be on injured reserve. Edelman looked good before the injury. He was very impressive considering he played quarterback at Kent State and made a quick transition to NFL wide receiver. Edelman has the innate ability to find soft spots in the defense and has gained the confidence of quarterback Tom Brady.
- Brandon Tate came off the PuP (Physically Unable to Perform) list to play in the week seven game in London. Tate was used in a variety of ways in the game. He was an outstanding playmaker at North Carolina last season before injuring two tendons in his knee. It may take him a few weeks to get up to full speed, but the Patriots love his talent. Tate is a guy to target in dynasty leagues before others realize his big play talent. Also, he is a player that has plenty of room to improve as a receiver. His ceiling is very high. After the game, Tom Brady revealed that he expects Tate to have an increased role in the offense in the coming weeks. This is something to watch when the Patriots come off their bye week.
Buy of the Week
Anthony Gonzalez was taken early in fantasy drafts. Many had high expectations for Gonzalez to replace Marvin Harrison in the Colt offense. But, Gonzalez was injured in week one and has yet to even participate in the team's practice. His owners are getting antsy with no production for half of the season. The upside is considerable in Indianapolis. Gonzalez knows the offense and the Colt passing game is running on all cylinders. The former Ohio State Buckeye is a great receiver to target from an impatient owner. There has been no timetable given as to Gonzalez' return so it might be later in the season before he makes an impact so buy LOW. There was talk late last week that Gonzalez was "close" to returning which usually means not to expect anything for two or three weeks. He makes a perfect player to stash now for the playoff run.
Sale of the Week
Calvin Johnson is still a ways away from contributing. He was spotted on the practice field last weekend with a "noticeable limp". This does not sound like a receiver who is ready to come back and make a difference in the Detroit passing offense. In redraft leagues, sell Johnson as fast as you can for a receiver who can help you get to the playoffs. In dynasty leagues, this injury might make for a favorable condition to buy low. But, do not expect much fantasy production this season.