P
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
P1
P2
P3
P4

Buy Low / Sell High - Week 8

  Updated 10/29 by Sigmund Bloom, Exclusive for Footballguys.com

Buy Low

  • Kevin Smith, RB, DET - Smith has actually lived up to reports of a great leap forward in his game from the offseason. His running style is more efficient and powerful, and his receiving skills look fluid and natural He is ready to be part of a "triplet" with Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson, people have just forgotten that because Johnson and Stafford have been out. Smith could approach top five numbers in a robust offense, and Stafford and Johnson promise the possibility of that in the future.

  • Marshawn Lynch, RB, BUF - Did you know that Lynch is only 23 years old? Lynch is a beast of a running back in the making. He already runs angry and gets stronger as the game goes on. If they can build any semblance of an offense in Buffalo, he'll be a top 10 RB in his prime. Lynch has successfully fought off any idea that Fred Jackson merits nearly as much work as he does, despite a great September from Jackson. At some point in his career, Lynch is going to go on a tear that will make him untouchable in the mind of his owner. Get him on your roster before that happens.

  • Chase Coffman, TE, CIN - Coffman was a proficient pass catcher at Mizzou, but he was rarely asked to block. Now he's learning how to be a real tight end - half blocker, half receiver - and people have forgotten about his promise in dynasty leagues. He has a great QB who is square in his prime, on a team that looks to be entering a stretch of respectability on both sides of the ball. J.P. Foschi is no long term answer, and Dan Coats can't even beat him out to start, but that hasn't stopped Carson Palmer from firing passes at them at a rate of almost five a game. He might target the TE even more if the player was a reliable receiver like Coffman.

  • Michael Crabtree, WR, SF - Crabtree might still have the stain of an ugly holdout on him in his owner's minds, and he didn't change the world in his debut. San Francisco just made a QB change, and their passing offense has suffered for many years now. The picture of Crabtree dominating as a freshman and sophomore at Texas Tech is fading from our minds, but it shouldn't be. He was precise and strong in his routes vs Houston, and his hands and run after catch instincts are as good as advertised. If this is how he looks after a long layoff as a rookie with only two years under his belt, then Crabtree really does have the potential to be one of the best WRs of his era. Be willing to bowl his owner over with a deal that includes your first next year.

  • Zach Miller, TE, OAK - Miller has alternatively excited and angered his owners this season, but that isn't his fault. He had almost 800 yards receiving last year, and he has been explosive anytime JaMarcus Russell resembles an NFL QB. His productivity in this tar pit of an offense is positively outstanding. Miller can be a premier fantasy TE if he ever plays in a 21st century competently-quarterbacked offense. Strike while his owner might even be benching him.

  • Santonio Holmes, WR, PIT - The upstart Steelers passing offense has lifted the stock of Roethlisberger, Ward, and Heath Miller, but Holmes has been left behind after a hot start. He has been the culprit on a few drops, but he has also been the focus of opponent's coverage schemes. Holmes certainly has the look of a receiver with #1 ability - the do-everything game that can produce with great ball skills, deep speed, and aggressive run after catch instincts. It's just a matter of time before Holmes goes on a TD tear. As quiet as he has been this year, he's well on a one-thousand yard pace. Holmes will evolve into the Steelers #1 and fantasy #1, but his owner could be persuaded to give him up while he has been a slight disappointment.

  • Malcom Floyd, WR, SD - Chris Chambers days are numbered. You will continue to see Floyd get more looks from Philip Rivers regardless of who starts, and as we get deeper into the season, the chances of Floyd starting go up by the week. Floyd does his damage on deep passes and in the red zone, a perfect recipe for a second wide receiver who still produces enough to be relevant. You have to also love his rapport with Philip Rivers and Rivers ability to increase the fantasy value of his targets. Floyd might be had for not much more than the price of a waiver pickup right now.

  • Chris Johnson, RB, TEN - 0-6 tells the story for the Titans, and it mostly tells the story of Johnson's fantasy season, save for week 2, when Johnson reminded us that he has the potential to be the #1 RB in all of fantasy football against the Texans. The Titans have gone away from what worked in that game, lots of receptions for Johnson (including splitting him out wide), and hand-offs against more spread out defenses, sometimes from the shotgun. With Vince Young back in at QB, look for Tennessee's version of the wildcat, which could be lethal, and a "back to basics" approach on offense. Johnson should be the center of this offense, and if he is this week vs. the Jags, you might not be able to pry him from his owner come Monday.

  • Tashard Choice, RB, DAL - The amnesia of fantasy owners regarding Choice will kick in soon now that he is only in for passing downs. They'll forget how versatile he is, how strong he ran, and how he showed the ability to both get the tough yards and break some long plays. It will require patience, but Choice has the look of a back who will gain a Leon Washington/Ahmad Bradshaw type-role at worst. He remains undervalued in dynasty leagues.

  • Steven Jackson, RB, STL - If Jackson's scoring drought isn't broken vs. Detroit, he might join his team in going 0 for 16. What he is doing - averaging over 100 total yards a game - in an offense as feeble as the Rams - is nothing short of astounding. Put Jackson on a mediocre team, and he might be the #1 fantasy RB. Put him on a good team, and he would become an instant 20 TD a year uberstud. He is as rare a talent as Adrian Peterson and Maurice Jones-Drew, eventually his fantasy numbers will catch up to his ability. See if you can catch his owner in a moment of weakness.

  • Kevin Kolb, QB, PHI - I can't shake the feeling that the Eagles passing offense might be better RIGHT NOW with Kolb in instead of McNabb. Regardless of the accuracy of that hypothetical, Kolb has still shown how effective he can be in the Eagles system. One would think the fiscally conservative Eagles organization would attempt to lock him up before he garners a starter's price on the open market. While we're waiting for 2011, Kolb can always become a week-to-week startable fantasy QB when McNabb misses time. He's got more upside than any other QB not starting right now, but his trade value doesn't reflect it.

Sell High

  • Donovan McNabb, QB, PHI - The Eagles success as a team this year has masked more erratic play from McNabb this year. He has harnessed the deep speed of DeSean Jackson, but he has failed to get in a good rhythm in the west coast passing game, or demonstrated consistent accuracy on short and intermediate passes. He has also gotten injured and failed to rise to the occasion in the only close game he has played in this year - a loss to the lowly Raiders. McNabb's days as a starting fantasy QB are coming to a close, hope for an injury to a topnotch fantasy QB and see if you can pawn McNabb to their owner if you are relying on McNabb as your starter.

  • Owen Daniels, TE, HOU - Daniels has stepped up his game in a big way, and I don't want to take anything away from that, but his rate of production is unsustainable. Try to turn him into a Jason Witten, Dallas Clark, Antonio Gates level talent as part of a bigger deal, or ask for a king's ransom for him from a TE poor team if you have another strong option at TE.

  • Austin Collie, WR, IND - Collie has certainly caught Peyton Manning's eye, and he has turned into a reliable weekly option while we wait for Anthony Gonzalez to return. When Gonzalez returns, Collie will certainly go back to being a 4th option and sharing snaps with Pierre Garcon. Gonzalez is not going anywhere, and he is just as precise a route runner as Collie, but with more speed and better run after catch instincts. Collie's owners will have to go into an indefinite holding pattern waiting for more playing time soon, but right now you might get the "promising young receiver on the rise" price for him.

  • Mike Sims-Walker, WR, JAX - I believe in Mike Sims-Walker. His breakout is not that big a surprise considering how formidable he looked next to Brandon Marshall at Central Florida. The only reason that he's listed here is that you probably won't get more him in a deal than you will right now for a while. He is red hot and facing a pass defense he already lit up once this year. If you can upgrade him into a more established young stud in a better passing game like Greg Jennings, or turn him into a stud at another position of need, do it.

  • Ricky Williams, RB, MIA - Ricky's nose for the end zone has made for a great ride so far this year, but his rate of TDs seems unsustainable on such a low amount of weekly touches. He also has probably only more viable year left at his age. The Saints were ripped up by the wildcat last week, but by the end of the game, they stopped it by crashing down with the cornerbacks on blitzes (as Jeff Duncan of the New Orleans Times-Picayune pointed out in his weekly film breakdown). The NFL is a copycat league, and teams will steal that tactic from the Saints to short circuit the formation that has been the source of so much production from Williams (and Ronnie Brown) this season.

  • Ryan Grant, RB, GB - Grant got well against the Browns last week, and the Packers offensive line had probably their best game of the season. This is good time to put him on the market because just about any of the NFL's top 50 RBs would have had Grant's numbers last week. His burst isn't special, he's not particularly elusive, powerful, or creative, and he is merely an adequate starting RB. The Packers could easily look to supplement the position with a strong sidekick in the draft or free agent very soon. If you can move Grant laterally for a Smith/Lynch type young feature RB, don't hesitate to pull the trigger.