hooligantelus.net, rated by footballguys.com
Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2015 season-to-date happenings.Edit this team Input another team with the same league settings Your team is currently being rated by the projections of David Dodds Switch to: Maurile Tremblay Bob Henry Jason Wood
QB: Jameis Winston
RB: David Johnson, C.J. Anderson, Ryan Mathews, Jonathan Stewart
WR: Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Donte Moncrief, Kelvin Benjamin, Tajae Sharpe
TE: Gary Barnidge, Jason Witten
PK: Dan Bailey
TD: Minnesota Vikings
Make no mistake about it: this team is about strength at the running back position. And we think it will be the league favorite or very close to it. Somewhere Marshall Faulk is smiling.
Nonetheless, we'd be remiss if we didn't at least mention the relative lack of strength at quarterback and receiver. These are usually survivable weaknesses, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to zealously scouring the waiver wire for this year's emergent players at QB and WR. Getting a breakout player at one or both of those positions would take your already-good team to the next level.
Players we particularly like on this team include C.J. Anderson, Ryan Mathews, Donte Moncrief, and Dan Bailey. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 87 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 1 of 2016:Brandin Cooks vs. OAK: 143 receiving yards, 2 TD
C.J. Anderson vs. CAR: 139 combined yards, 2 TD
Jameis Winston vs. ATL: 281 passing yards, 4 TD
David Johnson vs. NE: 132 combined yards, 1 TD
We have Jameis Winston rated #12 among quarterbacks, which makes him a viable starter if not an exciting one. We strongly recommend that you add a backup QB (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).
A quick note about the Winston/Mike Evans hookup you've got here: while we think the effect of the quarterback/receiver hookup has largely been exaggerated in fantasy football circles, it does have a tendency to make your team somewhat more inconsistent than comparable scoring duos from different NFL teams. But if you like the players at both ends of the connection, we do not see any need to make a change because of it.RB Summary:
Nice work here. We like both your starting running backs, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 3.5 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Our projections have David Johnson ranked second and C.J. Anderson ranked ninth.
Your bench also looks good. Ryan Mathews looks great as a third running back; he's a likely flex starter. Jonathan Stewart will also be among the best RB4s in the league.WR Summary:
Your starting receivers should, as a unit, be adequate but not great. In particular we like Brandin Cooks as a second WR. Mike Evans is our 11th ranked WR, Cooks is #16, and we have Donte Moncrief 24th.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Kelvin Benjamin should serve as a very solid fourth receiver.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Tajae Sharpe is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.TE Summary:
Gary Barnidge should be above average as a starting tight end. We have him ranked fifth overall at the position. Jason Witten is a nice backup.Kicker Summary:
With Dan Bailey, you should be above average at the position.Defense Summary:
The Vikings are probably not a difference-maker at defense, but they should be OK.When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Vikings', along with the combined schedule that each would create: Vikings + Steelers = TEN | GB | PHI | NYG | HOU | MIA | PHI | CHI | BAL | DAL | CLE | IND | DAL | JAX | IND | BAL
Vikings + Packers = TEN | GB | DET | NYG | HOU | DAL | PHI | CHI | IND | TEN | WAS | PHI | DAL | JAX | IND | GB
Vikings + Bills = TEN | GB | CAR | NYG | LA | SF | PHI | CHI | SEA | WAS | ARI | JAX | DAL | JAX | CLE | MIA
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2017 season.
Schedule AnalysisGreen means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
- Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
- Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
- Week 6 presents serious bye week issues for you: Jameis Winston, Mike Evans, and Minnesota Vikings are off.
- Week 7 presents moderate bye week issues: Jonathan Stewart, Kelvin Benjamin, Jason Witten, and Dan Bailey are not playing.
- C.J. Anderson is out in week 11, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- In weeks 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
Potential Free AgentsListed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: Marcus Mariota (13), Ryan Fitzpatrick (11), Tom Brady (9), Brock Osweiler (9), Jay Cutler (9), Joe Flacco (8), Carson Wentz (4), Blaine Gabbert (8), Robert Griffin III (13), Sam Bradford (6), Jared Goff (8), Dak Prescott (7), Paxton Lynch (11), Trevor Siemian (11), Tony Romo (7), Jimmy Garoppolo (9), Case Keenum (8), Josh McCown (13), Shaun Hill (6). RB: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. WR: Travis Benjamin (11), Corey Coleman (13), Stefon Diggs (6), Rishard Matthews (13), Josh Gordon (13), Devin Funchess (7), Michael Thomas (5), Markus Wheaton (8), Robert Woods (10), Mohamed Sanu (11), Tyler Boyd (9), Pierre Garcon (9), Steve Smith (8), Quinton Patton (8), Phillip Dorsett (10), Ted Ginn (7), Kenny Britt (8), Terrance Williams (7), Kenny Stills (8). We have all these players rated ahead of Tajae Sharpe. TE: Antonio Gates (11), Zach Ertz (4), Julius Thomas (5), Tyler Eifert (9), Zach Miller (9), Martellus Bennett (9), Jason Witten (7), Eric Ebron (10), Dwayne Allen (10), Jared Cook (4). PK: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. TD: Minnesota Vikings (6), Philadelphia Eagles (4), Pittsburgh Steelers (8), New England Patriots (9), Green Bay Packers (4), Cincinnati Bengals (9), Buffalo Bills (10), New York Giants (8), Indianapolis Colts (10), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6).
Projections and Player Summaries
Jameis Winston - Jameis Winston started all 16 games as a rookie, showing acumen from the pocket and using his mobility through a tough 6-10 record. Despite having only Mike Evans in terms of notable weaponry at times during the season, Winston has average or better advanced efficiency and metrics across the board. Winston navigated the pocket well, took only 27 sacks, and excelled on the ground, especially in the red zone. Winston's 4,042 passing yards were the third-most of any rookie quarterback in NFL history, behind only Cam Newton and Andrew Luck. In terms of pass targets, Winston's weapons have not changed from a year ago. Charles Sims offers an elite pass-catching skillset out of the backfield. Mike Evans enters his third NFL season. Austin Seferian-Jenkins is a physical talent, but still a projection in terms of solidifying a string of health and consistent play. Vincent Jackson is a key component, who missed a chunk of the season in 2015 and offers another mismatch on the outside to complement Jameis Winston's bold downfield style and panache for the big play. In addition to a broader collection of targets and a second-year progression by Winston, the sophomore quarterback can also benefit from Tampa Bay's offensive line improving on their NFL-average level pass protection rating in 2015.
C.J. Anderson - C.J. Anderson got paid this offseason, and the language of the NFL is money. With his $5 million bonus paid earlier this offseason, the Broncos have handed him big expectations in addition to lots of money bags. Anderson is the clear-cut starter for the team, and he could get the largest workload of his football career in 2016. He's a perfect fit for the Gary Kubiak system, and the Broncos have improved their offensive line--plus added a real fullback to block--this offseason. Anderson has the ability to be the league's leading rusher if he can only stay healthy. Last year, Anderson struggled after a Week 1 turf toe/ankle injury slowed him down. Then (for the second year in a row), Anderson was one of the best RBs in the league over the last month of the regular season. We've seen Anderson produce, but now he's got to do it for an entire season. With Devontae Booker waiting in the wings, the Broncos are going to be among the most run-heavy teams in the NFL. Anderson will lead the charge and could pay big dividends for fantasy owners willing to take the risk.
David Johnson - Starting in Week 13, when Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington were both injured, David Johnson caught fire down the stretch of his rookie season. Heading into 2016, he is primed to be the team's workhorse at running back. Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington will have roles, but David Johnson will get 20+ touches per game as the lead back, and should mostly stay on the field at the goal line and on passing downs as well. (He got 20+ touches in five of the Cardinals last seven games last season, including the playoffs, and excelled.) Given his production last season and his projected bellcow status on one of the league's more explosive offenses in 2016, Johnson will likely merit a top-five fantasy pick in just about every format.
Ryan Mathews - Good things come to those who wait. A season ago, Ryan Mathews was looking for a new home and was set to sign in Philadelphia as LeSean McCoy's replacement. Then Chip Kelly made the shocking move to sign DeMarco Murray to a monster deal, which initially caused Mathews' camp to balk. Days later Mathews surprised everyone by opting to take the deal in Philadelphia, even though it would be in a complementary role. Fast forward to the start of this season and Mathews' decision appears prescient. Chip Kelly is gone. DeMarco Murray is gone. And the depth chart is relatively underwhemling behind Mathews. As long as he can stay healthy, 7th year pro is in line for his best season since running for 1,255 yards in 2013 (with San Diego). Mathews is a well rounded back and the new offense is predicated on a workhorse runner. The stars are aligned for Mathews and he's a compelling high upside choice as your RB2/RB3 on draft day.
Jonathan Stewart - Jonathan Stewart made it most of the way through the 2016 season, managing to appear in 13 games and generating 242/989/6 rushing while seeing 21 targets for 16/99/1 receiving during that span (he sat out weeks 15-17 after the Panthers had locked up the first seed in the NFC). Stewart finished 2015 as the 16th-ranked fantasy running back in the NFL, his best finish since 2009, and capped his season with a TD during the Super Bowl 50 loss to Denver. One has to go back to 2011 to find a full 16-game season contributed by Stewart - he has appeared in 13 games per season over the past two years, but fantasy owners investing in Stewart need to have a good alternative on the roster as he is far from a lock to appear in all the games during 2016. Cam Newton ran in 10 TDs last year and averages 8.6 rushing TDs per season, which limits the number of rushing scores fantasy owners can expect from the Panthers' running backs - last season Carolina scored 19 rushing TDs (first in the NFL) of which Stewart claimed six (31.5%). In short, the fantasy ceiling of Stewart (especially in the rushing TDs department) is dragged down by virtue of being a teammate of Newton.
Kelvin Benjamin - Kelvin Benjamin tore an ACL during an joint practice with the Dolphins during 2015 preseason, and missed all of last year's run into the Super Bowl. He posted some promising numbers as a rookie back in 2014 - 145 targets for 73/1,008/9 receiving - and will enter the 2016 training camp as the favorite to be the #1 wide receiver for Cam Newton during the upcoming season. He has been fully participating in training camp, but his conditioning is still lagging behind, as he was winded at the end of deep routes and the team is hoping to get him ready for 30-35 snaps in the opener. Fantasy owners should monitor his performance carefully before investing a draft pick in Benjamin - we'll see if he has retained his full explosiveness in the post-knee-surgery present.
Brandin Cooks - Brandin Cooks won the Fred Biletnikoff Award as the top collegiate receiver as a junior in 2013, his last collegiate season at Oregon State and was the Saints first round draft pick in 2014. He had an outstanding rookie campaign, with 53 catches for 550 yards and 3 TDs in only 10 games as he went on IR after suffering a broken thumb. In his second season, Cooks led the team with 129 targets, 84 receptions, 1,138 receiving yards and 9 TDs. His speed and quickness add to his effectiveness on quick screens and short routes, but he can also get open on deeper routes. The additions of Coby Fleener and rookie Michael Thomas (2nd round) give the Saints more speed than last year. That additional speed and ability to be successful on deeper patterns should open things up even more for Cooks underneath this year. Cooks ran the ball much more effectively as a rookie, but remains a threat in the running game. So much positive buzz on Thomas in camp might even cause Cooks' ADP to slip slightly giving him more potential value.
Mike Evans - Mike Evans took over as Tampa Bay's lead receiver in 2015 as Vincent Jackson continued his physical erosion and missed time at two different points during the season. At times, Evans was force-fed targets as the only health NFL-caliber weapon at Jameis Winston's disposal, leading to inefficiency for Evans per-target. Evans also had a sizeable touchdown rate regression from nearly 18% as a rookie, down to just 4% as a sophomore. Evans has a wide catching radius and a size advantage over every cornerback in the league, making him a prime candidate to bounce back with end zone success in 2016.
Donte Moncrief - Donte Moncrief took a big step forward in his second year in the league, doubling both his targets and reception totals from 2014. His six touchdowns, all in six different games, led all Colts receivers. He had 10+ targets in a game three times with two 100-yard receiving efforts. Moncrief is expected to line up opposite T.Y. Hilton and be a key contributor on an offense that is projected to bounce back from the doldrums. Barring injury he should eclipse 100 targets once again and have 70+ receptions with 6-10 touchdowns. Moncrief had surgery in May to repair a turf toe injury, but he is expected to be ready for camp in August.
Tajae Sharpe - Tajae Sharpe has come out of nowhere for the Titans. Sharpe was a late-round pick for the Titans in 2016 but immediately forced his way into the starting lineup. He has held that place into training camp, impressing Mike Mularkey with his consistency and size.
Gary Barnidge - Barnidge exploded in 2015 to the tune of 79 receptions, 1,043 yards, and nine touchdowns. All of those totals surpassed all of the production in first six seasons combined. While usually six years of data should supersede one outlier (even if said outlier is the most recent data point), Barnidge should still be projected to be a productive player in 2016. The factors that led to his 2015 outburst are still in player. First, the opportunity is still there with a less-than-stellar receiving corps in place. Second, the team still has an inexperienced/shaky quarterback who could benefit greatly from a safety valve in the short middle. Add Hue Jackson to the mix, an offensive mind who crafts his schemes to fit the strengths of his players, and Barnidge could once again lead this team in all receiving categories. It's worth noting that Barnidge did undergo sports hernia on June 2. He avoided the PUP list to open camp and is being eased back into the mix. His regular season is not in doubt.
Jason Witten - Jason Witten could hang up his cleats today and stroll into the Hall of Fame. He's currently 10th all-time in receptions, and stands a great chance to end this season 5th (overtaking the likes of Terrell Owens and Tim Brown in the process). Among tight ends, he's 2nd in yards and receptions, and trails only four other men in touchdowns. But fantasy owners are more concerned about whether Witten still has value in 2016 and beyond. The answer? Of course. If someone tells you that Jason Witten lost a step last year, remind them that the Cowboys offense fell from 5th in points in 2014 to 31st last year and that Witten had to deal with Tony Romo missing 12 games, Dez Bryant being gimpy, and the ground game being less consistent than in 2014 when DeMarco Murray led the league. Witten remains a sure-handed, strong and smart receiver but Tony Romo's injury is going to take the upside out of his sails. Expect Witten to stay in and block as the Cowboys focus on a simplified, run-heavy offense.
Player News (last 7 days)
"Our view" written by footballguys.com's Cecil Lammey and Sigmund Bloom. Click here for all the news around the NFL, updated constantly.Colts | Thursday injury report for Colts - Indianapolis Colts CB Darius Butler (hamstring), C Jonotthan Harrison (illness), WR Donte Moncrief (shoulder) and LB Erik Walden (non-injury) did not participate in practice Thursday, Sept. 29. OT Denzelle Good (back) and OG Joe Reitz (back) were limited during practice, while LB D'Qwell Jackson (non-injury), LB Robert Mathis (non-injury) and CB Patrick Robinson (concussion) fully participated in practice. Thu Sep 29, 03:55 PM [Link to story] Panthers | Jonathan Stewart to miss Week 4 - Carolina Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart (hamstring) will not be able to play in Week 4, according to head coach Ron Rivera. Rivera indicated he is not sure about a possible timetable for Stewart. Thu Sep 29, 03:29 PM [Link to story]
|Footballguys view: As expected, the hamstring continues to be tricky. Cameron Artis-Payne will likely lead in carries, though he's no better than an RB3. Fozzy Whittaker has a shot to reach RB4 numbers but Mike Tolbert is too risky for more than RB6 production.|
|Footballguys view: It's really hard to know exactly how the carries will get doled out, but Cameron Artis-Payne is the best bet for points, though at most he is an RB3. Fozzy Whittaker should put up RB4 numbers while Mike Tolbert brings up the rear as an RB6.|
|Footballguys view: Sharpe has plenty of talent, but he's been hyped up quite a bit in fantasy circles with little payoff. He had seven catches in Week 1, but Sharpe has only had 7 catches combined over the last two weeks. We hold onto him, but don't trust him as anything more than a mid-range WR4 or 'what the heck' flex in Week 4.|
|Footballguys view: Cameron Artis-Payne should start for the Panthers again this week. The rookie is worth considering as a RB3/flex play in Week 4 against the Falcons.|
|Footballguys view: Any concern about Johnson splitting time in the backfield has been squashed this year. David Johnson is a star player, and he's the centerpiece of the Cardinals offense. While they are struggling in the passing game at times, Johnson is solid on the ground. He's also one of the best receivers out of the backfield in the league. There is no doubt that Johnson is a set-it-and-forget-it starter each week for fantasy owners.|
|Footballguys view: Benjamin is the best WR on the team, and he's clearly a favorite target of Cam Newton. The Vikings have a tough defense, but it was unusual to see him blanked on Sunday. Expect that to change going forward, and Benjamin should perform like a high-end WR2 in most matchups.|
|Footballguys view: The Eagles should continue to use Darren Sproles as a receiving weapon, even if/when Mathews is at full strength. If Mathews misses time with this ankle injury (that he's been playing with), then perhaps Kenjon Barner or Wendell Smallwood would be asked to do more like they did in Week 3.|
|Footballguys view: Mathews has been bothered by this ankle injury, but he has not missed time despite having an ankle heavily taped. Get on your waiver wire to see if you can add Kenjon Barner or Wendell Smallwood.|
|Footballguys view: Anderson wasn't a cornerstone of the game plan, as the Broncos wide receivers were finishing drives and moving the offense. He's still a solid RB1 heading into a tough run defense matchup against Tampa.|
|Footballguys view: Johnson didn't get consistent gains early to put the Cardinals in good down and distance situations, but he was able to get going on a distance touchdown and he showed that he is one of the only game script proof backs in the NFL. He's looking like an elite fantasy RB1 heading into a matchup against the Rams.|
|Footballguys view: The Panthers will employ a three-back committee with Cameron Artis-Payne, Mike Tolbert, and Fozzy Whittaker to replace Stewart, so there's no obvious play in his place.|
|Footballguys view: The Panthers will employ a three-RB committee of Cameron Artis-Payne, Fozzy Whittaker, and Mike Tolbert, making none of them worth consideration except in the deepest of leagues.|