Your team, rated by footballguys.com
Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2015 season-to-date happenings.Edit this team Input another team with the same league settings Your team is currently being rated by the projections of Bob Henry Switch to: David Dodds Maurile Tremblay Jason Wood
QB: Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer
RB: LeVeon Bell, Matt Forte, Arian Foster, Shane Vereen, DeAngelo Williams
WR: Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Golden Tate, Michael Floyd
TE: Owen Daniels, Jordan Cameron
TD: Baltimore Ravens
In a competitive league, almost every team has a weakness. It's almost impossible to build a team that is strong at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and wide receiver). As you probably suspect, we perceive your weakness to be at the quarterback position. Of all the deficiencies to have though, this is usually the easiest one to mask.
Footballguys owner David Dodds even recommends you go into your draft with the goal of landing the top RBs and WRs while waiting to grab QBs late. Value-Based Drafting principles also suggest that teams constructed in this manner end up being strong. But for this team to reach it's full potential, you might need to have a quick trigger finger at the QB position and stay on the look out for good quarterback help. Last year Ben Roethlisberger could be had very cheap in August, but ended up contributing to a lot of fantasy championships. In 2013 it was Nick Foles; in 2012 it was Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck. Quarterbacks like these can be found every year, and that could be the key to your team's success.
So although this team isn't perfect (few are), it should still be a strong contender.
Players we particularly like on this team include Julio Jones and Matt Forte. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line: This team is a virtual lock to go to the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 7 of 2014:Demaryius Thomas vs. SF: 171 receiving yards, 2 TD
Shane Vereen vs. NYJ: 114 combined yards, 2 TD
Matt Forte vs. MIA: 109 combined yards, 2 TD
Golden Tate vs. NO: 154 receiving yards, 1 TD
LeVeon Bell vs. HOU: 145 combined yards, 1 TD
Arian Foster vs. PIT: 115 combined yards, 1 TD
We have Matt Ryan rated #11 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we don't think Carson Palmer (ranked #25 among quarterbacks) is even a viable backup. You might want to explore the possibility of upgrading at the backup QB slot, as it shouldn't cost you too much (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
PHI | CHI | SF | STL | WAS | PIT | TEN | TB | SF | SEA | IND | SF | TB | CAR | PHI | GB
A quick note about the Ryan/Julio Jones hookup you've got here: while we think the effect of the quarterback/receiver hookup has largely been exaggerated in fantasy football circles, it does have a tendency to make your team somewhat more inconsistent than comparable scoring duos from different NFL teams. But if you like the players at both ends of the connection, we do not see any need to make a change because of it.RB Summary:
Nice work here. We like both your starting running backs, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 2.9 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Our projections have LeVeon Bell ranked third and Matt Forte ranked at #7.
Arian Foster should be a good third running back. Shane Vereen should be adequate at RB4. DeAngelo Williams might be a bit of a reach at fifth RB, but we understand the desire to handcuff.WR Summary:
Nice work here. We like both your starting receivers, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 4.8 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Julio Jones is our third ranked WR, and we have Demaryius Thomas at #4.
Your bench also looks good. We love Golden Tate as a third receiver; he's a likely flex starter.
We're not sure that Michael Floyd adds much, as you're already strong at the position and we aren't convinced he's roster-worthy in this league anyway.
As we mentioned earlier, the QB/receiver hookup tends to make your team a little more inconsistent. But that's not the case with the Thomas/Owen Daniels pair you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more consistent if anything. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.TE Summary:
This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Owen Daniels as a viable starter or Jordan Cameron as an above average backup. Help is needed.Kicker Summary:
Don't forget to pick up a kicker before the season starts.Defense Summary:When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Ravens', along with the combined schedule that each would create: Ravens + Colts = BUF | NYJ | TEN | JAX | CLE | SF | NO | CAR | DEN | JAX | STL | TB | MIA | JAX | KC | MIA
Ravens + Patriots = PIT | OAK | JAX | PIT | DAL | SF | NYJ | MIA | WAS | JAX | STL | CLE | PHI | HOU | TEN | NYJ
Ravens + Packers = CHI | OAK | KC | SF | STL | SF | ARI | SD | CAR | JAX | STL | CHI | MIA | DAL | OAK | PIT
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2016 season.
Schedule AnalysisGreen means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
- Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
- Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
- Week 7 presents moderate bye week issues: Matt Forte, Demaryius Thomas, and Owen Daniels are not playing.
- Week 9 presents moderate bye week issues: Carson Palmer, Arian Foster, Michael Floyd, Golden Tate, and Baltimore Ravens are not playing.
- LeVeon Bell, Shane Vereen, and DeAngelo Williams are out in week 11, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- In weeks 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
Potential Free AgentsListed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: Andy Dalton (7), Joe Flacco (9), Jameis Winston (6), Sam Bradford (8), Marcus Mariota (4), Blake Bortles (8), Alex Smith (9), Jay Cutler (7), Carson Palmer (9), Nick Foles (6). RB: Darren McFadden (6), Roy Helu (6), Fred Jackson (9), Ronnie Hillman (7), Alfred Blue (9), Javorius Allen (9), Karlos Williams (8), James Starks (7), DeAngelo Williams (11), Reggie Bush (10). WR: John Brown (9), Mike Wallace (5), Allen Robinson (8), Martavis Bryant (11), Steve Johnson (10), Marques Colston (11), Jarvis Landry (5), Eric Decker (5), Torrey Smith (10), Julian Edelman (4), Terrance Williams (6), Larry Fitzgerald (9), Steve Smith (9), Charles Johnson (5), Jeremy Maclin (9), Kendall Wright (4). We have all these players rated ahead of Michael Floyd. TE: Jason Witten (6), Delanie Walker (4), Tyler Eifert (7), Kyle Rudolph (5), Zach Ertz (8), Charles Clay (8), Heath Miller (11), Josh Hill (11), Antonio Gates (10), Larry Donnell (11), Owen Daniels (7), Vernon Davis (7), Jordan Cameron (5). PK: Cody Parkey (8), Brandon McManus (7), Josh Scobee (), Matt Bryant (10), Matt Prater (9), Josh Brown (11), Josh Lambo (10), Chandler Catanzaro (9), Phil Dawson (10), Andrew Franks (5), Graham Gano (5), Blair Walsh (5), Mike Nugent (7), Randy Bullock (5), Zach Hocker (), Greg Zuerlein (6). TD: New England Patriots (4), Arizona Cardinals (9), Denver Broncos (7), Green Bay Packers (7), Baltimore Ravens (9), Dallas Cowboys (6), Indianapolis Colts (10), Miami Dolphins (5), New York Jets (5), Kansas City Chiefs (9).
Projections and Player Summaries
Carson Palmer - Carson Palmer, the first overall pick by the Bengals in the 2003 draft, was a stellar fantasy quarterback early in his career; but the last time he finished in the top ten at his position was 2007. He's entering his third year with the Cardinals. Palmer has been limited in offseason workouts after tearing his ACL last November. It's his second ACL tear, but Palmer is a fast healer. After tearing his ACL with the Bengals in 2005, he was the week-one starter nine months later; and even at 35 years of age, is reportedly ahead of schedule in rehabilitating his 2014 ACL tear as well. He expects to be a full participant in training camp, and is a solid bet to be the team's opening-day starter. His best fantasy days are behind him, however, and he should not be looked at as a fantasy starter.
Matt Ryan - Matt Ryan improved steadily as a passer from 2010-2012, going from 3,705 yards passing with 28 TDs and just nine interceptions thrown during 2010 to 4,177 yards passing, 29 TDs and 12 interceptions thrown in 2011 and finishing 2012 with 4,719 yards passing, with 32 TDs and 14 interceptions thrown. However, during the 2013 season Ryan hit a plateau in his numbers (even though he attempted a career-high 651 passes and completed a career-high 439 passes) with 439/651 for 4,515 yards passing, 26 TDs and 17 interceptions. His yardage and TD numbers dipped enough to bounce him down to #10 among all fantasy passers during 2013 after finishing sixth among all fantasy quarterbacks in 2012. Last year, Ryan's final numbers rebounded to 415/628 for 4,694 yards, 28 TDs and 14 interceptions thrown, landing him at #7 among all fantasy quarterbacks for the 2014 season. Ryan's been among the top-ten fantasy quarterbacks for five straight seasons, playing in all 16 games for the past five years. Ryan's durability hasn't been an issue at all thus far in his pro career. Ryan is just now entering the prime years of his career at 30 years of age. He is the linchpin of the Atlanta offense - Ryan handled 628 of the 632 passes attempted during regular-season by the Falcons last year.
LeVeon Bell - Le'Veon Bell proved last year that he's one of the best--if not THE best--young running backs in the game today. He improved his yards per carry from 3.5 as a rookie in 2013 to 4.7 last season. His 1,361 yards rushing ranked only second to former Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray (1,845). Bell's 616 yards after contact ranked third last year behind Murray (738) and the Seahawks Marshawn Lynch (707). He moved the chains 73 times last season, and Bell gained a first down on 25.2 percent of his carries in 2014. In addition to getting it done at a high level on the ground, Bell is a fantastic receiver out of the backfield. It's easy to make the argument that he's the best receiving back in the league. Bell was targeted 105 times in 2014, the same number as Cardinals star wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald--and second overall among running backs in the NFL. He ran 487 routes, caught 83 passes for 854 receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns. Clearly, Bell is a RB1 for fantasy owners and an every-week starter. This season, Bell will begin the year on the suspended list for the first two weeks. Fantasy owners should still consider Bell at the top of the draft. The Steelers will cover for him with DeAngelo Wiliams in the starting lineup but after that Bell should be tearing up the league once again. He'll be available for most of the season and--most importantly--the fantasy playoffs. If you can land Bell in your draft at any point, then consider yourself fortunate.
Matt Forte - Forte put up some ridiculous numbers in 2014, playing 92 percent of the offensive snaps while breaking records. He caught a personal best 102 passes last season for an offense that played close to the line of scrimmage. When the quarterback feels pressure, Forte is the go-to. At a time when a pass-friendly offense is all the rage, the Bears are one team that will be scaling back on throwing the football. New head coach John Fox wants to run the ball, and that's what Forte is paid to do. Jay Cutler is going to be asked to do less. Gone are the games when Forte runs the ball only eight times. His rushing attempt totals will be closer to 28 than eight. And he'll be running behind an improved offensive line. Free-agent signing Will Montgomery is now at center and left guard Matt Slauson is back healthy after missing the majority of the 2014 season due to injury. There is going to be plenty of opportunity for Forte. It's a safe bet to think he will continue to be one of the most productive dual-threat backs in the league
Arian Foster - An injury plagued 2013 season left people wondering how Arian Foster would rebound in 2014. The Texans offense had question marks, including Foster's own health. With his legacy in the balance, Foster quieted critics and rose to the occasion with a strong season that saw him finish in the Top 5 among fantasy running backs. The offseason came and the Texans were strong candidates to use a high draft pick on a talented, young running back, but it never happened. Outside of Foster, the 2015 Texans running game will include last year's surprising rookie, Alfred Blue, the newly signed Chris Polk and veteran Jonathan Grimes. The Texans coaching staff has indicated that Foster's role will be diminished this year, which would undoubtedly have a least some negative effect on his fantasy value. Foster has a history of leg, hamstring and calf injuries which can pop up without notice, especially on a player with as much wear and tear as him. In the last five years, Foster has amassed over 1,500 touches. He has the talent, drive and experience to be a weekly fantasy standout, but can he make it last the entire year? He is expected to be a key piece of the offense, but there is definitely risk involved in making him your top back in 2015. Update - Foster suffered a groin/hernia injury in training camp and has since had sports hernia surgery that will keep him out of action for the first 4-5 weeks of the season, possibly longer. He was not placed on the IR with eligibility to return list, which indicates the Texans are still planning on him returning to action possibly in early October. When healthy, Foster is one of the best backs in the league and therefore is still worthy of being selected in redraft leagues.
Shane Vereen - Shane Vereen's career stats belie the excitement fantasy owners have for the 5th year runner. In four seasons as a Patriot, Vereen only started 8 games and ran just 217 times for 907 yards (4.2 per carry). Yet, fantasy owners are always buying into a breakout season for the former California Bear. A combination of injuries and Bill Belichick's propensity to mix and match his offensive players based on game script have kept a lid on Vereen's production. Thankfully, Vereen joins a New York Giants team desperate for help rebuilding a ground game that's routinely finished at the bottom of the league. The most likely outcome if a three-headed committee alongside Andre Williams and Rashad Jennings. Vereen's underlying skill set is impressive enough that a strong training camp could vault him into a prominent role. At worst, Vereen will have value in PPR leagues (99 receptions in the last two years).
DeAngelo Williams - With Le'Veon Bell suspended the first three weeks of the 2015 season, the Steelers will be leaning on veteran DeAngelo Williams. Last year, Williams struggled to stay healthy and put up the worst numbers in his nine-year pro career. The Steelers picked him up after the Panthers cut him earlier this year with the idea that he'll provide valuable veteran depth. Williams isn't the same player he used to be, but he should be able to be a solid starter for the Steelers while Bell is out. During those first three weeks, the Steelers should rely less on the rushing attack and more on Ben Roethlisberger and the passing game.
Michael Floyd - Michael Floyd is a deep threat who was inconsistent last year. He started to come on at the end of his rookie year in 2012, and had a legitimate breakout season in 2013. But he had a down year in 2014, with too many bad games. The team loves 2014 third-round pick John Brown, and he could push Floyd in the pecking order in 2015. While Floyd has been inconsistent thus far in his career, he has tremendous big-play ability and should be able to exploit single coverage against smaller corners. Getting Carson Palmer back should help. Floyd runs a lot of deep routes, with Fitzgerald staying underneath, which makes him a boom-or-bust fantasy prospect from week to week. Floyd dislocated three fingers during training camp, requiring surgery, and seems doubtful to play in week one.
Julio Jones - Julio Jones enters the 2015 season as the unquestioned #1 wide receiver in the Falcons' stable of pass catchers. His impact on the team's offense was made clear during 2013 as the Falcons' passing attack struggled in Jones absence - (he was lost after week five, 2013 due to a fractured foot). Jones returned to health during 2014, finishing with career highs in targets (163), receptions (104) and yards (1,593) while hauling in six TDs over 15 games played. His best TD total to date came during 2012 (138 targets for 79/1198/10 receiving over 16 games). He is one of the dominant, young wide receivers in the NFL right now at 26 years of age. Roddy White's career is drawing to a close, and the Falcons' draftee at wide receiver this spring, Justin Hardy, is seen as a possession/move-the-sticks sort of short-to-intermediate route runner - he poses no foreseeable threat to Jones' continued status as the top wideout in Atlanta.
Golden Tate - Tate enters 2015 firmly entrenched as the Lions' 2nd WR behind Calvin Johnson and a relatively safe fantasy WR2. Tate's full season production in 2014 was impressive with 99 receptions, 1,331 yards and 4 touchdowns. His quickness and tremendous run after the catch ability make him a strong complement to Calvin Johnson and the Lions lack of talented depth beyond the top two at WR means Johnson and Tate will split nearly all of the WR targets between the two of them. There is reason for pessimism regarding Tate's fantasy prospects in 2015 however. Tate's production in the 11 games in which Cavlin Johnson was active and not clearly being used as a decoy (he had a total of 3 targets combined while hobbled in Weeks 4 and 5) was rather pedestrian. He had an average of 7.6 targets, 5.5 receptions, 66.5 yards and 0.1 TDs per game. Extrapolated to a full season, Tate would have produced only 87 receptions, 1,064 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. It was the the five game stretch from Week 4 through Week 8 without Calvin Johnson that made Tate's 2014 season special. Over that stretch, he averaged 11.8 targets per game, 7.8 receptions, 124.8 yards and 0.6 TDs per game. Over a full season, those numbers extrapolate to 189 targets, 125 receptions, 1,917 yards and 10 TDs. In short, Tate was amazingly productive in the two games Johnson was extremely limited and the three games Johnson missed. Tate would probably need an injury from Johnson to put up fantasy WR1 numbers, but even with Johnson present, Tate should still remain a low-end WR2, especially in PPR leagues.
Demaryius Thomas - Denver's passing game is going to look different this year as they utilize more two tight end formations and run the ball more than they did under John Fox. This means the numbers from the wide receivers in Denver could dip slightly from what we saw last season. Demaryius Thomas is the main man in Denver, and his chemistry with Peyton Manning is well documented. He is big, fast and strong at the point of the catch making Thomas a favorite target for Manning in any situations. Fantasy owners curious about what Thomas's production could look like under new head coach Gary Kubiak should look no further than former Houston Texans receiver Andre Johnson. The veteran receiver worked well under Kubiak during their time together in Houston. While Thomas only has one season (2015) with more than 100 catches, Johnson had four such seasons under Kubiak in Houston. The offense is going to be more balanced in Denver this year, but Thomas can still put up fantasy numbers that put him in the top five of all wide receivers. Draft him as you normally would and start him every week.
Jordan Cameron - The Dolphins hit the lottery when they landed Jordan Cameron, stealing him (for big money) from the Cleveland Browns. Cameron's gifts are easy to see - he's a big, athletic 'move' tight end who can stretch the field and make big-time plays. He's also a guy who has had concussions multiple times over the last three years. That's a huge concern for fantasy owners and Phins fans alike. While you don't want to automatically assume a guy will get hurt, it's foolish to ignore that many head injuries, and dangerous to assume the trend wont continue. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill loves to throw short and while the Dolphins didn't always use Charles Clay a ton as a receiver, Cameron should get a lot more targets. Again though, he needs to stay healthy and that's the dangerous part with Cameron. If he's healthy he's a top tight end. If he gets another concussion, he could lose much of the season. Caveat Emptor.
Owen Daniels - The Broncos are going to be featuring the tight end position more this season under new head coach Gary Kubiak. That's why the team went out in free agency and added veteran tight end Owen Daniels. Originally a fourth-round draft pick (2006) by the Kubiak-led Houston Texans, Daniels has worked under Kubiak every season of his pro career. In fact, only when Kubiak missed time due to a health concern and later when he was fired by the Texans (2013), Daniels has played every single snap of his pro career under the guidance of Kubiak. Last season, Kubiak was the offensive coordinator for the Baltimore Ravens and Daniels followed him to a new city. Needless to say, Daniels knows this offense like the back of his hand. He'll be able to step in and start from day one for Denver. Daniels has soft hands, an understanding of how to get open against zone coverage and the ability to make tough catches over the middle. He should immediately become a favorite target for Peyton Manning. In fact, Daniels might be the second-most targeted player in the passing game this year behind wide receiver Demaryius Thomas. Daniels will also be able to make an impression when the team is near pay dirt. Look for Daniels to put up steady numbers in Denver. Fantasy owners should be expecting low-end TE1 numbers from Daniels this season. Durability is a concern with Daniels as he has only played two full seasons as a pro, and the last time he did that was in 2008.
Baltimore Ravens - The names change, but the Ravens defense remained in the top 10 for fantasy and yards/points against in 2014. They lost lynchpin Haloti Ngata in a trade to the Lions, although they probably would not have been able to retain him anyway because of cap issues. Youngsters Timmy Jernigan, Brandon Williams, and Carl Davis will be relied on to replace Ngata. Kyle Arrington was recently added after the surprise release from the Patriots to upgrade slot corner, and Ladarius Webb should be better with another year removed from his ACL tear. One more ding on the Ravens D/ST stock is the loss of Jacoby Jones in free agency. Ngata's absence could knock the Ravens from being draftable or a top choice in DFS, but this resourceful group was consistently productive for fantasy in home matchups last year and should still exceed our lowered expectations.
Player News (last 7 days)
"Our view" written by footballguys.com's Cecil Lammey and Sigmund Bloom. Click here for all the news around the NFL, updated constantly.Steelers | Le'Veon Bell not running yet - Pittsburgh Steelers RB Le'Veon Bell (knee) said he has not been cleared to run at this time. Bell suffered a torn medial collateral ligament during the season. Sat Feb 6, 11:57 AM [Link to story]
|Footballguys view: No hurries, no worries here. Bell is going to be eased back into action, and we think he'll be out--or limited--during OTAs and minicamp. The plan is to have him ready by training camp, and without setback he could be ready at that time.|
|Footballguys view: Thomas is a better matchup for Norman because of his uncanny ability to win at the catch point. Thomas has been struggling with drops lately, and Norman's disruption and true plays on the ball in flight will make it even harder to contend. Sanders is better at running crisp routes and creating separation, and he's likely to be the cornerstone of the Broncos passing offense on Sunday.|
|Footballguys view: Daniels is one of Manning's favorite targets, and the veteran tight end might be looked at early and often in the red zone.|
|Footballguys view: Cameron wasn't the X-factor the Dolphins were looking for so trying to restructure his contract isn't a surprise. If he stays with the Dolphins, we'd be really excited by his upside and potential under new head coach Adam Gase.|
|Footballguys view: That's all good, but it seems to be a little bit dreamy. At this time, the Jets only have $10 million in cap space according to OverTheCap.com. Yes, there will be some salary-cap gymnastics done in order to free up more space but how much would they need to add Forte?|
|Footballguys view: Foster is still facing a lengthy recovery from this major injury. While Achilles' injuries aren't as devastating as they used to be, it's still something to be cautious with during a return--especially for an older back like Foster.|