Your team, rated by footballguys.com
Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2015 season-to-date happenings.
QB: Matthew Stafford, Tyrod Taylor
RB: Leonard Fournette, Theo Riddick, C.J. Anderson, Samaje Perine, Joe Williams
WR: Odell Beckham Jr, T.Y. Hilton, Stefon Diggs, Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods
TE: Kyle Rudolph
PK: Matt Prater
TD: Carolina Panthers
Your receivers are the strongest part of this team. While no team can be expected to be above average at all three core positions (QB/RB/WR), you are in the precarious position of being a bit weak at two of them.
Although you should not be counted out yet, you may need to be active on both the waiver wire and in trades to turn this team into a legitimate contender. The best way to achieve that might be to sacrifice some of your wide receiver strength to gain multiple players than can help your roster now. It's generally easier finding quarterbacks and wide receivers on the waiver wire than quality running backs.
Keep an eye out for quarterbacks like Dak Prescott from last year, Blake Bortles from 2015, and Ben Roethlisberger from 2014. All were available cheap in August, and all contributed to fantasy championship teams. Likewise, running backs like Rob Kelley and Mike Gillislee could be had dirt cheap at the draft or shortly after. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Stefon Diggs, Tyrod Taylor, and Sammy Watkins. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 25 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 12 of 2015:Sammy Watkins vs. KC: 158 receiving yards, 2 TD
C.J. Anderson vs. NE: 153 combined yards, 2 TD
Matthew Stafford vs. PHI: 337 passing yards, 5 TD
T.Y. Hilton vs. TB: 95 receiving yards, 2 TD
Tyrod Taylor vs. KC: 291 passing yards, 3 TD
Odell Beckham Jr vs. WAS: 142 receiving yards, 1 TD
We have Matthew Stafford rated #15 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. But #17-rated QB Tyrod Taylor provides you with another viable option. So while the position doesn't figure to be a strength, with shrewd management and a little luck you might end up with decent production at QBIncidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
NYJ | CAR | ATL | ATL | CIN | NO | TB | OAK | GB | CLE | LAC | KC | NE | IND | MIA | NE
A quick note about the same-team Stafford/Theo Riddick duo you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.RB Summary:
We see both your starters at running back as below average. Our projections have Leonard Fournette ranked 14th and Theo Riddick ranked at #30.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. C.J. Anderson should be a good third running back.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as three players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Samaje Perine the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.WR Summary:
Nice work here. We like all your starting receivers, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 3.9 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Odell Beckham Jr is our #3 ranked receiver, T.Y. Hilton is #12, and we have Stefon Diggs 22nd.
Your bench also looks good. Tough to do better than Sammy Watkins at WR4. But we are not at all excited about Robert Woods as a fifth WR.
Again, the same-team aspect of the Diggs/Kyle Rudolph duo does not concern us.TE Summary:
Kyle Rudolph, who we have ranked #7, is below average but probably adequate as a starting tight end. You might get by with only Rudolph, but some additional help here probably wouldn't hurt.Kicker Summary:
Matt Prater, our 13th ranked kicker, is below average but probably adequate.Defense Summary:
The Panthers are probably not a difference-maker at defense, but they should be OK.When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Panthers', along with the combined schedule that each would create: Panthers + Jaguars = SF | TEN | BAL | NYJ | DET | LAR | CHI | TB | CIN | LAC | CLE | NYJ | IND | MIN | HOU | SF
Panthers + Bills = NYJ | CAR | DEN | ATL | CIN | PHI | CHI | TB | NYJ | NO | LAC | NYJ | NO | IND | MIA | TB
Panthers + Eagles = SF | BUF | NO | LAC | ARI | CAR | CHI | SF | DEN | MIA | DAL | NYJ | NO | LAR | NYG | TB
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2018 season.
Schedule AnalysisGreen means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
|Odell Beckham Jr||DAL||DET||PHI||TB||LAC||DEN||SEA||LAR||SF||KC||WAS||OAK||DAL||PHI||ARI|
- Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
- Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
- Week 7 presents serious bye week issues for you: Matthew Stafford, Theo Riddick, and Matt Prater are off.
- Week 8 presents serious bye week issues for you: Leonard Fournette, Odell Beckham Jr, Sammy Watkins, and Robert Woods are off.
- Week 11 presents moderate bye week issues: Joe Williams, T.Y. Hilton, and Carolina Panthers are not playing.
- Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph are out in week 9, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- In weeks 4, 5, 6, 10, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
Potential Free AgentsListed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. RB: Rob Kelley (5), Matt Forte (11), Adrian Peterson (8), Eddie Lacy (6), Giovani Bernard (6), James White (9), Paul Perkins (8), Darren Sproles (10), Chris Thompson (5), Derrick Henry (8), Jamaal Charles (5), Jonathan Stewart (11), Shane Vereen (8), C.J. Prosise (6), Darren McFadden (), Mike Gillislee (9), T.J. Yeldon (8), LeGarrette Blount (10), DeAndre Washington (10). We have all these players rated ahead of Samaje Perine and Joe Williams. WR: Kendall Wright (9), Ted Ginn (5), Devin Funchess (11), Kenny Stills (1), Mohamed Sanu (5), Marquise Goodwin (11), John Brown (8), Corey Davis (8), Tyler Lockett (6), Torrey Smith (10), Allen Hurns (8), Robert Woods (8). TE: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. PK: Dustin Hopkins (5), Adam Vinatieri (11), Caleb Sturgis (10), Sebastian Janikowski (10), Phil Dawson (8), Matt Prater (7), Chris Boswell (9), Blair Walsh (6), Brandon McManus (5), Graham Gano (11). TD: Baltimore Ravens (10), Philadelphia Eagles (10), Carolina Panthers (11), New York Giants (8), Pittsburgh Steelers (9), Cincinnati Bengals (6), Jacksonville Jaguars (8), Green Bay Packers (8), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1), Los Angeles Rams (8).
Projections and Player Summaries
Matthew Stafford - Stafford is a franchise quarterback entering his prime years at age 29. While he hasn't reached the elite status many expected when he was drafted first overall in 2009, he has established himself as an above-average starter. After being labeled as injury prone early in his career, Stafford has proven incredibly durable and started every game over the past six seasons. He has also been consistently productive, throwing for 4,250+ yards in every season since 2011. In 2016, he threw for 4,327 passing yards (a slight increase over his 2015 total) but saw his touchdown passes decrease from 32 in 2016 to just 24 last season. Stafford has evolved over the past two seasons into a much more cerebral quarterback and drastically cut down his turnovers. He has just 12 interceptions in 25 starts since Jim Bob Cooter took over as offensive coordinator midway through the 2015 season. Stafford has consistently thrown for 4,250 yards but his fantasy upside will hinge largely upon whether he can get back to throwing for 30+ touchdowns. His lack of top red zone options at receiver will make that a difficult task and could lead to Stafford again landing in the high-end QB2 range.
Tyrod Taylor - Taylor enters his third year as a starter, but his situation is not firm. The Bills hesitated when it came to reworking his contract and didn't make a real long-term commitment to him when they did come to terms. He's going to have to fight for work with Cardale Jones, TJ Yates and rookie Nathan Peterman. If he can't separate from them, it'll be a bad look. If he does win the job, two things make that job tougher. One, his constantly injured and sub-average receiving corps and second, the run-first offense. The first the team is hoping will be improved by the addition of rookie Zay Jones, but replacing Sammy Watkins with Jordan Matthews is a huge downgrade for Taylor. The Bills have said they will still lean on the run and while they threw more than they ran - 474 attempts compared to 382 -but they are still below par for the rest of the NFL. That makes his lower touchdown total - 17 (23 if you count his rushing touchdowns) - more of an issue. Those factors combined makes Taylor unreliable most weeks.
C.J. Anderson - There's always something that keeps C.J. Anderson from playing up to his potential. The talent as a runner and receiver out of the backfield is there, but injuries have hampered Anderson's pro career. Last year, Anderson suffered a meniscus injury in Week 7 against the Texans (in a game he rushed for over 100 yards) and that caused him to miss the rest of the year. He's been recovering since then, and Anderson should be on the field for most all of the work in OTAs and minicamp. New head coach Vance Joseph says the Broncos are going to have a competition at running back, but Anderson has to be considered the frontrunner at this time. Anderson is taking his conditioning more seriously than ever and seems to ride his bicycle 40 miles a day around the Mile High City. He's got to compete with Jamaal Charles and Devontae Booker for the top spot on the depth chart. We should see the Broncos use a form of RBBC in 2017, and that will negatively impact Anderson's fantasy value even if he's the starter.
Leonard Fournette - The Jaguars are looking like they are taking the same all-in approach with Leonard Fournette at running back this year as they did with Blake Bortles at quarterback in 2014. Fournette was the 4th Overall Pick in this year's NFL Draft and is ready to contribute at the NFL level immediately. In three years (31 games) at LSU, Fournette rushed for 3,830 yards, 40 touchdowns, and averaged 6.2 yards per carry. Jaguars General Manager Dave Caldwell says that the decision to use the fourth overall pick on running back Leonard Fournette was about making the Jaguars a better team immediately. "Leonard's a guy we think can come in and make an immediate impact, we're in a win now mode as we should be." Jacksonville's offensive line has been a question mark for some time now as no running back has averaged 4.0 yards per carry since 2011. As a team they only ran the ball 37 percent of the time in 2016 but that has a lot to do with the team being behind in games. The question on Fournette that everyone wants to know is if he is an NFL three-down-back. In 31 games at LSU he caught 40 passes but yet still managed to drop 8 passes.
Samaje Perine - Washington finished 21st in rushing yards, but that paints an unfair picture as the team only ran the ball 379 times (27th in the league). The team averaged 4.5 yards per attempt (9th) and scored 17 rushing touchdowns (6th). In other words, the pieces are in place for a competent running back to make a major fantasy impact. Rookie Samaje Perine will get a chance to compete for the job, although Rob Kelley isn't going to give up the role easily. Perine -- not as well known in most circles as his infamous teammate Joe Mixon -- is Oklahoma's all-time leading rusher. At 5'11", 233 lbs., Perine hearkens back to the days when Joe Gibbs was pounding John Riggins behind the Hogs. Don't mistake his build and power game for being one dimensional; he apprised himself well as a route runner in workouts.
Theo Riddick - Theo Riddick has developed into one of the best receiving backs in the league and is a big part of the Lions passing game. He missed six games last season but still managed to catch 53 passes (5.3 per game). In 2015, he caught 80 passes (5.0 per game). Riddick has not performed well as a runner however, with a career average of just 3.5 yards per attempt. He did show signs of modest improvement as a runner last season however. His 3.9 YPC and 92 rushing attempts in 2016 both rank as career highs. The Lions locked Riddick up last fall with a three-year extension that will keep him in Detroit through the 2019 season. Riddick's value in fantasy leagues is mostly limited to the PPR format, where his average of 5.1 receptions per game over his past 26 games projects out to 82 catches in a full season. He is low-end RB2 with some further upside should Ameer Abdullah get injured again or prove ineffective in the lead role.
|Odell Beckham Jr||1||7||0||93||1321||14.2||11||291.8||3|
Odell Beckham Jr - Odell Beckham may pout. He may let defensive backs get under his skin. He may frustrate teammates on the sidelines. He also dominates the receiver position in away unseen by anyone not named Randy Moss. It's a fair trade-off. Through three seasons, Beckham has 288 receptions (2nd all-time), 4,122 yards (2nd all-time) and 35 touchdowns (4th all-time). That's in spite of playing 43 of 48 regular season games. On a per-game basis, his first three years have been unmatched. Beckham can do anything the team requires. He runs great routes, he knows how to get separation, he attacks the ball, and his body positioning is unparalleled. The only reason for pause is the Giants addition of veteran Brandon Marshall and drafting of 1st round TE (aka oversized receiver) Evan Engram. The Giants have more depth at receiver, and therefore Beckham is unlikely to repeat last season's 169 targets. Beckham is a lock first round choice in every fantasy format.
Stefon Diggs - Stefon Diggs had a solid season with an 84/903/3 statline on 112 targets (in 14 games). Diggs coming out party was in Week 2 against the Packers where he caught 9 of 11 targets for 182 yards and a touchdown. Look for the duo of Thielen and Diggs to pick up where they left off in 2016 and hopefully a third WR can step up this season with the departure of Cordarrelle Patterson.
T.Y. Hilton - T.Y. Hilton increased his fantasy ranking in each of his first three years in the league (25, 19, 10). In 2015 Andrew Luck missed nine games due to various injuries, but Hilton still managed to finish in the Top 25 among fantasy wide receivers. In 2016 Hilton had a career best Top 5 finish, which was aided by a multiple-week injury to Donte Moncrief and subsequent lack of help from other receivers. As a result, Hilton had career highs in targets (155) receptions (91) and receiving yards (1,448). Moncrief is returning healthy in 2017 which will reduce Hilton's involvement on offense. He'll still be Luck's top target, but his production should go down with Moncrief's return. In five years, Hilton has never had less than five touchdowns in a season and he has only missed two games in his career. He's one of the most consistent receivers in the game and he has an elite quarterback who trusts his ability to get open regardless of coverage. Hilton can run the entire route tree and has shown success no matter where he lines up. He may not reach Top 5 status in 2017, but he's a solid WR2 who is capable of putting up WR1 numbers any given week.
Sammy Watkins - Watkins is now a Ram, and while Tyrod Taylor isn't a huge fantasy value creator for wide receivers, Jared Goff has to be considered even more of a ceiling capper, especially because the Rams have a better supporting cast of targets. His value is down after the trade, and it will take a bit for ADP to adjust. His foot did look sound in the preseason opener and his injury risk should be considered lower than it was before we saw him.
Robert Woods - Robert Woods signed a significant free agent contract, moving from the Bills to the Rams this offseason. Woods sporadically saw lead receiver duties in Buffalo, but primarily was the chain-moving secondary option in four NFL seasons with the Bills. Woods profiles as a low-floor, low-upside option and the Rams were aggressive in the NFL Draft stocked the pass game cupboard, plus adding Sammy Watkins late in the offseason via trade. Receivers Cooper Kupp and Josh Reynolds join tight end Gerald Everett for the Rams rookie haul, pointing to a changing of the guard after the Rams' struggles in 2016. Woods fits as a No.2 or No.3 NFL receiver, which is where he settles on the depth chart considering the Rams' latest additions this offseason.
Kyle Rudolph - Kyle Rudolph finished the 2016 season as the 3rd ranked fantasy tight end. He did so quietly and posted the best numbers of his career at 83/840/7. The chemistry between Bradford and Rudolph was real as he was targeted 132 times which is far and above more than any other year in Rudolph's 6 year career. Rudolph is a big time red zone target for Bradford and with Bradford having to dive into the Vikings offense with such a short learning curve he instantly had a connection with his TE and continued it through out the season.
Player News (last 7 days)
"Our view" written by footballguys.com's Cecil Lammey and Sigmund Bloom. Click here for all the news around the NFL, updated constantly.Giants | Odell Beckham Jr. poised to shine? - New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. will thrive if Minnesota Vikings offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur becomes the next head coach of the Giants as expected, according to WR Stefon Diggs, 'because Pat knows how to get people the ball.' Fri Jan 19, 10:27 PM [Link to story]
|Footballguys view: Beckham will thrive no matter who the Giants hire. We understand the logic here, but Beckham is a superstar and any coach that gets hired will know there's a mandate to get him the ball early and often.|
|Footballguys view: Fournette is the centerpiece of the Jaguars offense, and he'll need a big day for the team to advance to the Super Bowl. The Patriots will do whatever they can to take Fournette away from the Jaguars offense and dare QB Blake Bortles to beat them.|
|Footballguys view: Fournette will play and get a lot of carries as the Jaguars try to keep the game out of Blake Bortles' hands. He should be one of the better running back starts this week even if the Patriots are looking for him. He hasn't been as productive per carry as we had hoped, but he should have good overall totals.|
|Footballguys view: Fournette will continue to be the centerpiece of this offense, which means the Patriots will focus on stopping him and making Blake Bortles beat them. That said, Fournette should have success against a defense which has struggled to slow running backs down. The biggest factor will be whether or not the Patriots offense gets far enough ahead to where the Jaguars have to abandon the run. We still like Fournette as one of the better plays this weekend.|
|Footballguys view: Fournette wasn't as explosive after his ankle injury as he was early on in the win over the Steelers, but the Patriots will likely still get a big dose of him in Foxboro.|
|Footballguys view: Good news for the Jaguars here. There was some concern initially after the report broke that Fournette was in a car accident. It sounds like he should be able to practice fully later in the week.|
|Footballguys view: Fournette played through an ankle injury and gave the Jaguars a ton of energy in his second tremendous game against the Steelers this year. Fournette's strong rookie year was overshadowed by Alvin Kamara, but he'll still be a consideration in the late part of first rounds in 2018 redraft leagues.|