Ryan, rated by footballguys.com
Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2015 season-to-date happenings.Edit this team Input another team with the same league settings Your team is currently being rated by the projections of David Dodds Switch to: Maurile Tremblay Bob Henry Jason Wood
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Tom Brady
RB: Marshawn Lynch, Joseph Randle, C.J. Spiller, Todd Gurley, Charles Sims
WR: Demaryius Thomas, Mike Evans, Brandon Marshall, Davante Adams
TE: Tyler Eifert, Antonio Gates
PK: Stephen Gostkowski
TD: St. Louis Rams
We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback and receiver. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be at running back.
This is often a tough weakness to mask, though, so you must be prepared to be very active in waivers and trades to change the composition of this team. Most drafts go very deep at the RB position and that usually means there are just table scraps left for those weak at the position.But the good news is that running backs do emerge every year post-draft. Last year guys like C.J. Anderson and Jeremy Hill could be had dirt cheap at the draft. In fact, they most likely were not rostered before the season started. Yet these players could have taken a weakness and made it into a strength for their prospective owners. This is the move you are going to need to make this year to take this team to a clear contender.
Players we particularly like on this team include Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Marshall, and the Rams defense. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 58 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 9 of 2014:Ben Roethlisberger vs. BAL: 340 passing yards, 6 TD
Marshawn Lynch vs. OAK: 143 combined yards, 2 TD
Mike Evans vs. CLE: 124 receiving yards, 2 TD
Tom Brady vs. DEN: 333 passing yards, 4 TD
We expect Ben Roethlisberger to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #4 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.
Tom Brady, who we have rated as the #8 QB, is a nice backup and could conceivably emerge as either a starter for your team or, if Roethlisberger plays as expected, some tempting trade bait for teams with quarterback troubles.
Incidentally, Brady has what we project as a bad matchup (BUF) during Roethlisberger's bye.RB Summary:
We see both your starters at running back as below average. Our projections have Marshawn Lynch ranked sixth and Joseph Randle ranked at #29.
We may not love C.J. Spiller at third RB, but we like the fact that you can hold the Mark Ingram owner hostage. We think Todd Gurley makes a fine fourth running back.
Charles Sims is a solid depth pick.WR Summary:
Nice work here. We like all your starting receivers, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 2.1 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Demaryius Thomas is our second ranked WR, Mike Evans is #12, and we have Brandon Marshall 20th.
Your bench also looks good. We love Davante Adams as a fourth receiver; he's a likely flex starter.TE Summary:
This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Tyler Eifert as a viable starter or Antonio Gates as an above average backup. Help is needed.Kicker Summary:
With Stephen Gostkowski, you should be above average at the position.Defense Summary:
The Rams are our #2 ranked defense, so you're in good shape here.
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2016 season.
Schedule AnalysisGreen means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
|St. Louis Rams||SEA||WAS||PIT||ARI||GB||CLE||SF||MIN||CHI||BAL||CIN||ARI||DET||TB||SEA|
- Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
- Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
- Week 11 presents serious bye week issues for you: Ben Roethlisberger and C.J. Spiller are off.
- Week 7 presents moderate bye week issues: Davante Adams, Demaryius Thomas, and Tyler Eifert are not playing.
- Todd Gurley, Charles Sims, Mike Evans, and St. Louis Rams are out in week 6, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- Brandon Marshall is out in week 5, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- In weeks 4, 8, 9, 10, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
Potential Free AgentsListed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. RB: Danny Woodhead (10), Terrance West (9), Ryan Mathews (8), Tre Mason (6), Tevin Coleman (10), Matt Jones (8), Darren Sproles (8), Alfred Blue (9), Charles Sims (6), Darren McFadden (6). WR: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. TE: Jason Witten (6), Dwayne Allen (10), Kyle Rudolph (5), Jordan Cameron (5), Tyler Eifert (7), Heath Miller (), Austin Seferian-Jenkins (6), Coby Fleener (11), Owen Daniels (), Zach Ertz (8), Josh Hill (11), Antonio Gates (10). PK: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. TD: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.
Projections and Player Summaries
Tom Brady - Tom Brady's appeal of his four-game suspension was denied, so as of now (and depending on whether he decides to take it to court), Brady is out for the first month of the season. We all know that he will return from his suspension and be the starting quarterback, no matter how well Jimmy Garoppolo plays. Further, we know that Brady will continue to put up tremendous and fantastic numbers with the Patriots, especially as they have the same core group of receiving targets for a second straight season. Brady is currently suspended for the first four games of the 2015 season, but is appealing. We don't know how much - if anything - it gets reduced, Even if Brady loses a court case - or decides not to go to court - he's still one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL and will give you top quarterback fantasy numbers after he returns. If you draft carefully, you should survive that first stretch. After a rough start last year, Brady put up top ten quarterback numbers the rest of the way. Also keep in mind that Brady is going to come back with a rather sizable chip on his shoulder after all this Ballghazi/Deflategate nonsense. An angry Brady is a productive Brady.
Ben Roethlisberger - With top-5 upside and a proven track record, there's a lot to like about Ben Roethlisberger this year. In 2014, Roethlisberger posted a career-high with 4,952 passing yards. He also tied his career-best with 32 passing touchdowns. Roethliberger posted these numbers while only throwing nine interceptions. It's not out of the question to think that Roethlisberger will put up even better numbers in 2015. Roethlisberger has emerging weapons around him in the passing game like wide receivers Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton. Add in superstar wide receiver Antonio Brown and steady tight end Heath Miller--and the best receiving back in the game Le'Veon Bell--and it's easy to see why Roethlisberger is capable of producing that much in 2015. He's got the size to sluff off smaller defenders, and Roethlisberger is the master of keeping plays alive while under duress. With chaos swirling around him in the pocket, Roethlisberger stays calm and tries to find the open receiver. He has no problem challenging the edges of the defense, and he's known as an aggressive passer. With Bell suspended for the first three games of the season, the Steelers could lean on Roethlisberger and the passing game more than ever to kick this year off. All fantasy owners--especially DFS owners--should be able to benefit from this spike in Roethlisberger's opportunity.
Todd Gurley - Todd Gurley was drafted No.10 overall by the Rams, despite Tre Mason's successful 2014 season and Day 2 draft status a year ago. The post-ACL surgery reports for Todd Gurley have been positive and he is viewed as the most talented running back in the 2015 class. Gurley has a rare blend of size, speed, power, hands, and pass-blocking acumen to warrant a high volume of NFL snaps immediately. Gurley is not eligible for the PUP (physically unable to perform) list after being declared active for the start of Rams training camp. Without the mandatory six weeks on the sideline to begin the season, expect Gurley to ramp up to the Rams starting role in September. St.Louis head coach Jeff Fisher noted Gurley is unlikely to play in the Rams preseason games or in the regular season until 100% healthy.
Marshawn Lynch - Overthinking Marshawn Lynch is the only concern at this stage. He is older, but he hasn't shown any sign of physical decline(or any type of decline) in recent times. Lynch's back problems may impact his play in the future, but that shouldn't scare you away from his potentially huge production.
Joseph Randle - Joseph Randle is a difficult player to forecast. After DeMarco Murray departed Dallas in free agency, many expected the Cowboys to draft a new starter or trade for someone like Adrian Peterson. Neither happened. Neither Darren McFadden nor Randle impressed enough in the preseason to confidently say they're going to be fantasy assets. But the quality of the offensive line and Randle's apparent "first man up" status still makes him a worthwhile investment after the first four or five rounds.
Charles Sims - After a sophomore slump from Doug Martin in 2013, Tampa Bay promptly drafted Charles Sims on Day 2 of the 2014 NFL Draft. Sims has Matt Forte qualities to his game and entered the NFL as one of the most-established pass-catchers at the running back position in recent memory. Playing only the second half of the season due to a significant ankle injury as a rookie, Sims exceled as Tampa Bay's best receiving back. Entering 2015 and now healthy, Charles Sims is a serious challenger for the lead role in Tampa Bay with prototypical size and receiving prowess. With 40+ reception upside and the frame to handle 20 touches per game, Sims has high-RB2 upside if he surpasses Doug Martin for primary duties on all three downs.
C.J. Spiller - C. J. Spiller is a quick twitch athlete that was drafted with the ninth pick of the 2010 draft. Despite averaging 5.0 ypc rushing, catching 159 passes and totaling 4,521 yards from scrimmage and 18 TDs for the Bills, he was very inconsistent on a week to week basis and seemed to be frequently misused. Last year was Spiller's most disappointing as his opportunities were reduced and then he suffered a broken collarbone and missed seven games. In the off-season, the Bills traded for LeSean McCoy and showed no interest in resigning Spiller. The Saints signed him to a four-year $16 Million contract and Spiller and his agent indicated that they were looking for best fit first and money second. There is no doubt that Coach Payton knows how to use a player with Spiller's skills. Spiller averaged 35 receptions per year in his first four seasons and should set a career high for receptions as the Saints most productive running back receiver. Spiller injured his knee in practice on August 10th and had maintenance surgery on April 14th. He could return for the season opener if he has no further problems.
Davante Adams - Adams comes into the 2015 season with the opportunity to break out and put up #2 wide receiver numbers. Jordy Nelson's injury has thrust Adams in the starting slot opposite Randall Cobb, and he will be depended on to produce at a high level. He doesn't have overpowering size or speed which will prevent him from matching up against shutdown cornerbacks and eventually becoming a #1 receiver. There is still much to like about his game though. Adams is a smooth, polished route runner with sure hands and does very well at beating defenders off the line of scrimmage. He is quicker than he is fast, but consistently gains separation and is dangerous in the open field. He fits in well as a compliment to Randall Cobb, showing great body control along the sidelines and the versatility to run routes in the middle of the field. Adams can really get up and high-point the ball in jump ball situations, making him a potential target in the red zone, something the Packers desperately need at this point. Cobb will be the focal point of opposing defenses, allowing Adams the chance to prove he can consistently beat one on one coverage. Adams was a record breaking receiver in college, so he has the pedigree to step into the #2 role and give Aaron Rodgers another big play wide receiver. UPDATE: Jordy Nelson is likely out for the season with a torn ACL. Adams will inherit a starting outside wide receiver job and will be drafted as a 4th-6th round WR2 in most leagues.
Mike Evans - Mike Evans delivered early returns on his No.7 overall draft status with a historic rookie season in 2014. Evans performed well through subpar quarterback play, notching 12 touchdowns (No.4 among all wide receivers) and averaging more than 15 yards per reception. Evans, along with Vincent Jackson, form a fearsome duo for any secondary, especially down the field and in the red zone in jump ball situations. Jameis Winston marks an instant upgrade to journeyman Josh McCown under center from last season. Evans' catching radius fits well with Winston's bold decision-making down the field and, at times, scattershot accuracy. Evans has as high a ceiling as any receiver in the NFL in 2015.
Brandon Marshall - After seven straight 1,000 yard seasons, Brandon Marshall failed to reach that mark in 2014 as he missed three games due to injury. Between that, concerns about his age, his large contract and some friction between the receiver and Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler, the bears decided it was time to move on and traded Marshall to the New York Jets. The Jets now have a true No. 1 receiver and someone to take a little pressure of Eric Decker. Marshall does downgrade in terms of quarterback, but ultimately he should bounce back this season. Given he could have Geno Smith firing passes at him, his bounce back might be fairly moderate, though, and we really don't know if the Bears were right in feeling he was starting a major decline. Still, he will be a big part of the Jets offense and so produce some decent numbers.
Demaryius Thomas - Denver's passing game is going to look different this year as they utilize more two tight end formations and run the ball more than they did under John Fox. This means the numbers from the wide receivers in Denver could dip slightly from what we saw last season. Demaryius Thomas is the main man in Denver, and his chemistry with Peyton Manning is well documented. He is big, fast and strong at the point of the catch making Thomas a favorite target for Manning in any situations. Fantasy owners curious about what Thomas's production could look like under new head coach Gary Kubiak should look no further than former Houston Texans receiver Andre Johnson. The veteran receiver worked well under Kubiak during their time together in Houston. While Thomas only has one season (2015) with more than 100 catches, Johnson had four such seasons under Kubiak in Houston. The offense is going to be more balanced in Denver this year, but Thomas can still put up fantasy numbers that put him in the top five of all wide receivers. Draft him as you normally would and start him every week.
Tyler Eifert - Tyler Eifert was selected in the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft but is yet to have a true difference-making impact. In 2013, he had a solid rookie season with 39 receptions, 445 yards, and two touchdowns. His 2014 campaign was derailed almost as soon as it started, as he suffered a dislocated elbow in the team's first game, causing him to miss the rest of the year. If Eifert will ever be an impact player, it's going to have to start this season. He enters 2015 as the unquestioned starter at tight end with Cincinnati having parted with Jermaine Gresham.
Antonio Gates - Antonio Gates joined the league as an undrafted free agent in 2003. He came off the bench as a rookie, but in his 11 years as a starter, he's been a top-three fantasy tight end seven times, including last season when he finished #2 in non-PPR leagues. Gates was never a great blocker, and he's gotten worse in recent years, so he's come off the field more often on early downs. But that hasn't hurt his receiving production: if anything, it's kept him fresher over the course of the season. The main concern heading into 2015 is that Gates has been suspended for the first four games, which will give Ladarius Green a chance to show his stuff and possibly claim a permanent role as a starter. Gates will still have a role from Week Five on since he is still one of the top five receivers on the team; but the role could be significantly smaller than it was last season.
Stephen Gostkowski - Kicker top 10 lists tend to have a lot of turnover year to year, but don't tell that to Gostkowski. He finished as the highest scoring kicker for the third straight year, making 35 of 37 field goal attempts. In 2011, the last season the Gostkowski didn't finish #1, he was #3. The early season suspension of Tom Brady could give Gostkowski a few extra field goal attempts. He had at least eight points scored in 12 of his 16 games, which illustrates why Gostkowski is well-deserving of his annual perch of #1 fantasy kicker drafted.
|St. Louis Rams||44||12||15||5||334||20.5||39.1||2|
St. Louis Rams - Robert Quinn and Aaron Donald form the core of an excellent defensive line rotation that can create feeding frenzy games that overwhelm even the best of opponents at times. Like the Rams team, the D/ST can fluctuate wildly in results, but their ability to have the #1 week at just about any given time, especially when they are at home, makes them one of the D/ST's that will get drafted in every league once again this year. If Nick Foles is even an incremental improvement of the cast that has replaced Sam Bradford and Todd Gurley is as advertised this year, the Rams could be more competitive and post more top end D/ST weeks this year.
Player News (last 7 days)
"Our view" written by footballguys.com's Cecil Lammey and Sigmund Bloom. Click here for all the news around the NFL, updated constantly.Chargers | Hunter Henry headed for big workload? - San Diego Chargers TE Hunter Henry's blocking ability will allow him to contribute right away before replacing TE Antonio Gates as the primary pass-catching tight end down the road, and beat writer Michael Gehlken believes Henry could see more snaps this season than Gates. Fri Apr 29, 09:44 PM [Link to story]
|Footballguys view: He can catch the ball but he's a great run blocker, which will put him on the field a lot with Philip Rivers.|
|Footballguys view: We'll watch this, but it's way too early to freak out. We are hoping Evans can build on last year with another 1,000-plus yards season and adds some touchdowns as well.|
|Footballguys view: It's time to plan on the Patriots not having Brady for the first four games, although he'll likely exhaust every legal avenue he has to avoid it.|