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Skins n khakis, rated by footballguys.com

Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2015 season-to-date happenings.

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Your team is currently being rated by the projections of Jason Wood           Switch to: David Dodds       Maurile Tremblay       Bob Henry      


QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning
RB: Adrian Peterson, C.J. Anderson, Ameer Abdullah, David Johnson, Charles Sims
WR: T.Y. Hilton, Keenan Allen, Julian Edelman, Eddie Royal, Brandon LaFell, Steve Johnson
TE: Dwayne Allen
PK: Stephen Gostkowski
TD: St. Louis Rams

Overview:

We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back. Your squad is therefore easy for us to like despite a bit of weakness at the receiver position. But as weaknesses go, this is one is survivable. It's usually relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season. As long as you stay on top of things inseason, you should be among the top teams in the league.

Players we particularly like on this team include Ben Roethlisberger, Ameer Abdullah, and the Rams defense. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.

Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 73 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 12 of 2015:

Adrian Peterson vs. ATL: 187 combined yards, 2 TD
C.J. Anderson vs. NE: 153 combined yards, 2 TD
T.Y. Hilton vs. TB: 95 receiving yards, 2 TD
Ben Roethlisberger vs. SEA: 456 passing yards, 1 TD

QB Summary:

We expect Ben Roethlisberger to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #3 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.

Eli Manning, who we have rated as the #12 QB, is a nice backup and could conceivably emerge as either a starter for your team or, if Roethlisberger plays as expected, some tempting trade bait for teams with quarterback troubles.

Note that Roethlisberger and Manning have the same bye week. We don't necessarily disapprove of this if you like both of them, but don't forget about it. You have no other options at this point.

RB Summary:

Nice work here. We like both your starting running backs, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 3.7 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Our projections have Adrian Peterson ranked at #4 and C.J. Anderson ranked sixth.

Your bench also looks good. We love Ameer Abdullah as a third running back; he's a likely flex starter. David Johnson should be adequate at RB4.

We're not sure that Charles Sims adds much, as you're already strong at the position and we aren't convinced he's roster-worthy in this league anyway.

WR Summary:

We see both your starters at receiver as below average. T.Y. Hilton is our eighth ranked WR, and we have Keenan Allen at #15.

Julian Edelman should serve as a very solid third receiver --- also probably a frequent flex contributor. Eddie Royal, on the other hand, is an average-at-best fourth WR. Brandon LaFell is a very weak fifth receiver.

Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Steve Johnson is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.

A quick note about the same-team Hilton/Dwayne Allen duo you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.

TE Summary:

With only Dwayne Allen, who we don't think is starter-quality in this league, this position is likely to be a trouble spot for you all season.

Kicker Summary:

With Stephen Gostkowski, you should be above average at the position.

Defense Summary:

The Rams are our #3 ranked defense, so you're in good shape here.


Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2016 season.


Schedule Analysis

Green means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted

At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.

12345678910111213141516
Eli ManningDALATLWASBUFSFPHIDALNOTBNEWASNYJMIACARMIN
Ben RoethlisbergerNESFSTLBALSDARIKCCINOAKCLESEAINDCINDENBAL
 
Ameer AbdullahSDMINDENSEAARICHIMINKCGBOAKPHIGBSTLNOSF
C.J. AndersonBALKCDETMINOAKCLEGBINDKCCHINESDOAKPITCIN
David JohnsonNOCHISFSTLDETPITBALCLESEACINSFSTLMINPHIGB
Adrian PetersonSFDETSDDENKCDETCHISTLOAKGBATLSEAARICHINYG
Charles SimsTENNOHOUCARJAXWASATLNYGDALPHIINDATLNOSTLCHI
 
Keenan AllenDETCINMINCLEPITGBOAKBALCHIKCJAXDENKCMIAOAK
Julian EdelmanPITBUFJAXDALINDNYJMIAWASNYGBUFDENPHIHOUTENNYJ
T.Y. HiltonBUFNYJTENJAXHOUNENOCARDENATLTBPITJAXHOUMIA
Steve JohnsonDETCINMINCLEPITGBOAKBALCHIKCJAXDENKCMIAOAK
Brandon LaFellOAKSDBALKCSEABUFPITCLEHOUARISTLCLEPITSFDEN
Eddie RoyalGBARISEAOAKKCDETMINSDSTLDENGBSFWASMINTB
 
Dwayne AllenBUFNYJTENJAXHOUNENOCARDENATLTBPITJAXHOUMIA
 
Stephen GostkowskiPITBUFJAXDALINDNYJMIAWASNYGBUFDENPHIHOUTENNYJ
 
St. Louis RamsSEAWASPITARIGBCLESFMINCHIBALCINARIDETTBSEA
 
Relative Strength991009998981049610510410096101101100101100

Schedule and Matchup Notes:

  • Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
  • Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
  • Week 11 presents moderate bye week issues: Eli Manning and Ben Roethlisberger are not playing.
  • Week 7 presents moderate bye week issues: C.J. Anderson, Brandon LaFell, and Eddie Royal are not playing.
  • Adrian Peterson is out in week 5, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
  • In weeks 4, 6, 8, 9, 10, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.


Potential Free Agents

Listed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.


QB: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.

RB: Matt Jones (8), Bishop Sankey (4), Rashad Jennings (11), David Johnson (9), Roy Helu (6), Tre Mason (6), Darren Sproles (8), Joique Bell (), Reggie Bush (), Alfred Blue (9), Darren McFadden (6), DeAngelo Williams (11), Josh Robinson (10), Damien Williams (5), Charles Sims (6).

WR: Markus Wheaton (11), Kenny Stills (5), Kendall Wright (4), Doug Baldwin (9), Rueben Randle (8), Allen Hurns (8), DeVante Parker (5), Brian Quick (6), Martavis Bryant (11), Malcom Floyd (), Brandon Coleman (11), Devin Funchess (5), Robert Woods (8), Kenny Britt (6), Nate Washington (4), Brian Hartline (11). We have all these players rated ahead of Brandon LaFell and Steve Johnson.

TE: Delanie Walker (4), Tyler Eifert (7), Jordan Cameron (5), Zach Ertz (8), Antonio Gates (10), Heath Miller (), Dwayne Allen (10), Jordan Reed (8), Coby Fleener (11), Larry Donnell (11).

PK: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.

TD: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.


Projections and Player Summaries

PlayerCmpAttYDY/ATDINTRshYDTDFPTRank
Ben Roethlisberger40160047207.9341030901337.33
Eli Manning37959244007.4311615400276.712

Eli Manning - Eli Manning's career has been a roller coaster. The 2-time Super Bowl champion was on a downward trajectory entering the 2014 season. In 2013 he led the NFL with 27 interceptions, and many wondered if Manning's best years were behind him. Thanks to new offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo and the emergence of Odell Beckham Jr., Manning erased those questions and arguably delivered his best season. Manning completed a career-best 63.1% of his passes, threw for 4,410 yards, 30 touchdowns and most importantly cut his interceptions in half (14). Entering his 12th season, Manning could be in-line for a career year, with 5,000-yards within the realm of possibility. Lest you think that hyperbole, remember that Odell Beckham only played 11 games last year, and missed the entirety of the preseason. Generally teams improve in the second year of a new system, and Victor Cruz is on track for a Week One return. Add to that RB Shane Vereen -- an excellent receiver out of the backfield -- and Manning has his best supporting cast in years, if not his career. Manning has a top 10 fantasy floor with top 5 upside, in spite of costing a bit less.

Ben Roethlisberger - With top-5 upside and a proven track record, there's a lot to like about Ben Roethlisberger this year. In 2014, Roethlisberger posted a career-high with 4,952 passing yards. He also tied his career-best with 32 passing touchdowns. Roethliberger posted these numbers while only throwing nine interceptions. It's not out of the question to think that Roethlisberger will put up even better numbers in 2015. Roethlisberger has emerging weapons around him in the passing game like wide receivers Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton. Add in superstar wide receiver Antonio Brown and steady tight end Heath Miller--and the best receiving back in the game Le'Veon Bell--and it's easy to see why Roethlisberger is capable of producing that much in 2015. He's got the size to sluff off smaller defenders, and Roethlisberger is the master of keeping plays alive while under duress. With chaos swirling around him in the pocket, Roethlisberger stays calm and tries to find the open receiver. He has no problem challenging the edges of the defense, and he's known as an aggressive passer. With Bell suspended for the first three games of the season, the Steelers could lean on Roethlisberger and the passing game more than ever to kick this year off. All fantasy owners--especially DFS owners--should be able to benefit from this spike in Roethlisberger's opportunity.

PlayerRshYDY/RshTDRecYDTDFPTRank
Adrian Peterson30013504.512342851249.54
C.J. Anderson29012754.49403352238.06
Ameer Abdullah1758154.76473901183.015
David Johnson1105004.53262402114.040
Charles Sims903503.9335280092.551

Ameer Abdullah - Ameer Abdullah arrives in Detroit as a 2nd round pick out of Nebraska and will earn immediate playing time as the 3rd down back and as a change of pace to power back Joique Bell. Abdullah could potentially carve out an even bigger role due to his impressive training camp performance and Bell's nagging injury issues. The biggest knock on Abdullah is his size at only 5'9 and 205 pounds. He does not have the ideal build for a true 3-down RB. Abdullah does run hard though and generates some power with his leg drive and low pad level. A smaller knock on Abdullah is his lack of blazing long speed as he only ran a 4.60 40-yd. dash at the combine. Where he really excels however is with his quickness and ability to hit top speed quickly. He is also an excellent receiver out of the backfield and should step right into the role vacated by Reggie Bush as the primary pass catching back in Detroit as he is more talented than Theo Riddick. Abdullah should be viewed as a RB2 with upside, particularly in PPR leagues. Abdullah could emerge as the RB1 in Detroit by the middle of the season.

C.J. Anderson - The Broncos found a potential star in C.J. Anderson. The undrafted free agent (2013) was forced into the starting lineup last year after both Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman wound up injured. During his time as the starter for the Broncos, Anderson came through with big plays as a runner and receiver out of the backfield. He led the league in rushing over the final six weeks of the season with 648 rushing yards. His eight rushing touchdowns during that time also led the NFL. Anderson's 779 all-purpose yards (rushing and receiving) was good for third in the NFL behind New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (853) and Pittsburgh Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell (780). Anderson will start for the Broncos this year and has the ability to finish as a top-10 fantasy running back in 2015. His all-purpose skill set, power-running style and nose for the end zone make him an attractive option for fantasy owners in the late first or early second rounds of redraft leagues. His ability to put up monster numbers also make him a valuable player to consider in DFS.

David Johnson - Third-round pick David Johnson is more talented than Stepfan Taylor or Kerwynn Williams. He is a good bet to be Andre Ellington's primary backup, and may also be the short-yardage (including goal-line) back since Ellington lacks power running inside. Johnson was a prolific pass-receiver out of the backfield in college, but probably won't have a big role in Arizona's passing game as long as Ellington is healthy. He had a terrific showing at the combine but did not necessarily play up to his measurables in college, so the Cardinals hope he will respond well to NFL coaching.

Adrian Peterson - 2014 has to be one of those years that Adrian Peterson can't forget about soon enough. Off field issues forced Peterson to only play in one game all season long which was something the 8 year veteran is really not used to doing. It will be interesting to see how the Vikings and Peterson reunite this year and if they can both put past issues behind them and move forward with a positive mind. Peterson has been a top RB in the NFL since he entered the league back in 2007. From 2007 to 2013 he ranked as a top 3 fantasy RB in 5 of those 7 seasons in the other two years he finished as the 6th and 8th RB those years and that was partly because he missed 4 and 2 games those years. If Peterson is given the green light and the Vikings bring him back with open arms it is hard to imagine him not being a top 5 fantasy RB at the very least.

Charles Sims - After a sophomore slump from Doug Martin in 2013, Tampa Bay promptly drafted Charles Sims on Day 2 of the 2014 NFL Draft. Sims has Matt Forte qualities to his game and entered the NFL as one of the most-established pass-catchers at the running back position in recent memory. Playing only the second half of the season due to a significant ankle injury as a rookie, Sims exceled as Tampa Bay's best receiving back. Entering 2015 and now healthy, Charles Sims is a serious challenger for the lead role in Tampa Bay with prototypical size and receiving prowess. With 40+ reception upside and the frame to handle 20 touches per game, Sims has high-RB2 upside if he surpasses Doug Martin for primary duties on all three downs.

PlayerRshYDTDRecYDY/RecTDFPTRank
T.Y. Hilton00090140015.69239.08
Keenan Allen00088114013.06194.015
Julian Edelman0009499010.55176.025
Eddie Royal0007073010.45138.045
Brandon LaFell0004960012.24108.564
Steve Johnson0004460013.64106.067

Keenan Allen - Keenan Allen had an outstanding rookie season in 2013, finishing as fantasy WR17, but he fell back to the pack in 2014, finishing as fantasy WR46. Between a slow start and an injury-riddled finish, however, he did have a nine-game stretch with 60 catches for 653 yards and 4 TDs, making him fantasy WR20 over that period. With Eddie Royal having moved on, Allen could operate out of the slot more often in 2015, helping him get a clean release and taking advantage of his quick cuts on underneath routes. Allen's strengths are his quick cuts on short and intermediate routes, and his ability to gain yardage after the catch. His weakness is his lack of a great size-speed combination, and his inability to separate on deep routes. He suffered both an ankle injury and a broken collarbone late in 2014, but will be fully recovered for the start of training camp.

Julian Edelman - Julian Edelman saw more targets than any other player on the New England Patriots last season, and turned more of them into catches than any other player as well. Edelman is one of Tom Brady's favorite targets and he rarely misses a ball, catching 68% of his targets last season. His yards don't necessarily reflect what you'd expect from 92 catches, but that's because many of Edelman's receptions come on shorter routes. As that is the case (he missed cracking 1,000 yards by 30 yards last season), it limits his overall appeal, though the massive amount of catches helps him in PPR leagues. Here's the catch though - he hasn't been in team drills since August 2nd. There's no news of injury, but this is the Patriots - there is never news. Recently the team signed Reggie Wayne to a one year deal and whether that has to do with Edelman, fellow mystery injury receiver Brandon LaFell or none of the above is unclear. Keep this in mind as you draft towards the start of the season. Edelman is solid receiver who can put up fair numbers, which makes him attractive in the later rounds of the top half of a fantasy draft. An injury which kept him out at the start of the season would severely curtail his value though.

T.Y. Hilton - One of the best stats that encapsulates T.Y. Hilton's fantasy success in his brief three year career is that he has exceeded his average draft position (ADP) each year he has been in the league. Just when you think Hilton has reached his maximum potential, he adds another level to his game and increases his standing at seasons end. Very few players have raised their game every year like Hilton. The Colts offense is one of the best in the league, much in part to Hilton's abilities, but also thanks to the stellar quarterback play of Andrew Luck. Hilton has scored 19 touchdowns in three seasons and he has 82 receptions in back to back years with six games of 100+ yards receiving in 2014. Consider Hilton a strong WR2 option this year with the ability to put up WR1 numbers any given week.

Steve Johnson - Steve Johnson had three 1,000-yard seasons with the Bills before taking on a role as a part-time player with the 49ers last season. Although Johnson's 35 catches for 435 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2014 don't add up to impressive fantasy totals, his production was rather efficient on a per-route basis. The Chargers will give him a chance to compete for a starting role opposite Keenan Allen. He'll battle Malcom Floyd for that honor, but however the pecking order ends up, he'll get plenty of playing time in the Chargers' 3-WR base offense. Johnson is a smooth route-runner who can play from the slot or on the perimeter, and has some upside potential as a late-round fantasy sleeper.

Brandon LaFell - After years of not fulfilling the promise he had coming out of LSU, Brandon LaFell finally put his 'big boy' pants on and put together a great season for the New England Patriots. LaFell actually looked like the guy we thought he could be when he entered the NFL and his 957 yards on 74 catches were by far the best totals of his career, as were his seven touchdowns. As an integral part of the Super Bowl win last February, LaFell will continue to find himself frequently targeted by Brady. We'll have to see if Danny Amendola gets back on track this season, but if not, LaFell should see another season of very good production. He's worth a look in the latter rounds of the first half of your fantasy draft, but he has the upside to outproduce his draft slot.

Eddie Royal - Injuries to Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White have thrusted Eddie Royal up the wide receiver depth chart as the regular season nears. With Jeffery in a walking boot due to a calf injury and White out at least six weeks due to a shin injury that will require surgery, Royal's value to the Bears has increased tenfold. Royal is the type of player the Bears have needed but couldn't find in recent years. He's one of the best slot receivers in the league, but now he'll play a much different role. Of all the changes made in the offseason, the addition of Royal might be the most underrated. Royal thrives in short-to-intermediate passing situations. Royal caught 62 passes for 778 yards with seven touchdowns last season in San Diego, catching passes from Philip Rivers. White Cutler is no Rivers, Royal still will be able to catch in upwards of 55-60 passes in an offense that is going to be more focused on running the ball and moving it safely through the air. Royal is due to catch a lot of passes, and likely will accrue a lot of yards as a result.

PlayerRecYDY/RecTDFPTRank
Dwayne Allen4861012.76121.013

Dwayne Allen - Andrew Luck and the Colts loved to involve the tight end in the offense, especially in the red zone. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen combined to receive 16 of Luck's 40 touchdown passes in 2014. Throw in another two to Jack Doyle and that's nearly half of Luck's touchdown passes to the tight end. There is definitely fantasy value to be had from the tight end spot on the Colts. The only down side is that both players take away value from the other. An injury to one would elevate the other into a must start fantasy option. Rostering one or the other as a TE2 is a wise move, as you're betting on at least one not completing a full season. Injury wise, Dwayne Allen is the greater risk. He has played in only 14 games in the last two seasons, whereas Fleener hasn't missed a game in the same time span. The Colts scored 28.6 points per game last year and their offense is expected to be just as good, if not better in 2015. Consider Fleener and Allen as excellent later round tight end selections.

PlayerFGMFGAXPMXPAFPTRank
Stephen Gostkowski32374548141.01

Stephen Gostkowski - Kicker top 10 lists tend to have a lot of turnover year to year, but don't tell that to Gostkowski. He finished as the highest scoring kicker for the third straight year, making 35 of 37 field goal attempts. In 2011, the last season the Gostkowski didn't finish #1, he was #3. The early season suspension of Tom Brady could give Gostkowski a few extra field goal attempts. He had at least eight points scored in 12 of his 16 games, which illustrates why Gostkowski is well-deserving of his annual perch of #1 fantasy kicker drafted.

PlayerSackFRINTTDYd/GPt/GFPTRank
St. Louis Rams441215533420.538.83

St. Louis Rams - Robert Quinn and Aaron Donald form the core of an excellent defensive line rotation that can create feeding frenzy games that overwhelm even the best of opponents at times. Like the Rams team, the D/ST can fluctuate wildly in results, but their ability to have the #1 week at just about any given time, especially when they are at home, makes them one of the D/ST's that will get drafted in every league once again this year. If Nick Foles is even an incremental improvement of the cast that has replaced Sam Bradford and Todd Gurley is as advertised this year, the Rams could be more competitive and post more top end D/ST weeks this year.