Your Team, rated by footballguys.com
Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2014 season-to-date happenings.Edit this team Input another team with the same league settings Your team is currently being rated by the projections of David Dodds Switch to: Maurile Tremblay Bob Henry Jason Wood
|WARNING: you have 15 players, which is over the roster limit of 14. We will go ahead and rate the team as if you have been given an exemption by the rest of your league. But for a more realistic assessment, you might want to go back and cut down to 14|
RB: Stevan Ridley, Andre Williams, Mike Tolbert, Ahmad Bradshaw
WR: Alshon Jeffery, T.Y. Hilton, Anquan Boldin, Marlon Brown
TE: Jimmy Graham, Zach Miller
PK: Steve Hauschka, Mason Crosby
The quarterback position looks good, and we like your overall strength at the tradionally less important positions as well. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Knowshon Moreno and Zac Stacy could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Julian Edelman and Keenan Allen were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Steve Hauschka and Mason Crosby. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 29 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 17 of 2012:Mike Tolbert vs. NO: 47 combined yards, 3 TD
Ahmad Bradshaw vs. PHI: 148 combined yards, 1 TD
Stevan Ridley vs. MIA: 74 combined yards, 2 TD
Jimmy Graham vs. CAR: 115 receiving yards, 1 TD
T.Y. Hilton vs. HOU: 111 receiving yards, 1 TD
We expect Andy Dalton to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #4 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.
Jay Cutler, who we have rated as the #14 QB, is a nice backup and could conceivably emerge as either a starter for your team or, if Dalton plays as expected, some tempting trade bait for teams with quarterback troubles.
Incidentally, Cutler has what we project as a neutral matchup (GB) during Dalton's bye.
Johnny Manziel is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.RB Summary:
We see both your starters at running back as below average. Our projections have Stevan Ridley ranked 26th and Andre Williams ranked 29th.
Mike Tolbert is a little below average as a third running back. Ahmad Bradshaw is also a fair-to-middlin' fourth running back.WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Alshon Jeffery is our 10th ranked WR, T.Y. Hilton is #35, and we have Anquan Boldin 42nd.
Marlon Brown is a very weak fourth receiver.TE Summary:
As you are well aware, Jimmy Graham is an elite tight end. We have him ranked first overall at the position. He's about 2.3 points per game better than an average starting TE in this league. Zach Miller is an adequate second tight end.Kicker Summary:
At about 0.9 points per game above average, Steve Hauschka is our second ranked kicker, so you're set here. Given and your league setup, we don't really see a need to carry more than one kicker.Defense Summary:
Don't forget to pick up a defense before the season starts.
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2015 season.
Schedule AnalysisGreen means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
- Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
- Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
- Week 6 presents moderate bye week issues: Jimmy Graham is not playing.
- Week 8 presents moderate bye week issues: Andre Williams and Anquan Boldin are not playing.
- Jay Cutler, Alshon Jeffery, and Mason Crosby are out in week 9, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.
- In weeks 4, 5, 7, 10, 11, and 12 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
Potential Free AgentsListed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: Geno Smith (11), Ryan Fitzpatrick (10), Shaun Hill (4), Johnny Manziel (4), Josh McCown (7), EJ Manuel (9), Derek Carr (5), Chad Henne (11), Teddy Bridgewater (10), Matt Cassel (10). RB: Donald Brown (10), Jonathan Stewart (12), Jonathan Dwyer (4), Dexter McCluster (9), Ahmad Bradshaw (10), Lance Dunbar (11), Knile Davis (6), Terrance West (4), Jordan Todman (11), Isaiah Crowell (4). WR: Golden Tate (9), Miles Austin (4), Hakeem Nicks (10), Donnie Avery (6), Greg Jennings (10), Cody Latimer (4), Jeremy Maclin (7), Marqise Lee (11), Steve Smith (11), Mike Williams (9), Harry Douglas (9), Mohamed Sanu (4), Jarrett Boykin (9), Kenny Britt (4), Danny Amendola (10), Jerricho Cotchery (12), Brian Hartline (5), James Jones (5), Robert Woods (9), Jeremy Kerley (11), Wes Welker (4), Steve Johnson (8). We have all these players rated ahead of Marlon Brown. TE: Delanie Walker (9), Dwayne Allen (10), Heath Miller (12), Ladarius Green (10), Travis Kelce (6), Antonio Gates (10), Martellus Bennett (9), Greg Olsen (12), Charles Clay (5), Jason Witten (11), Eric Ebron (9), Coby Fleener (10), Zach Miller (4). PK: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here. TD: Kansas City Chiefs (6), Chicago Bears (9), Houston Texans (10), Baltimore Ravens (11), New York Giants (8), Green Bay Packers (9), Cleveland Browns (4), Miami Dolphins (5), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7), Dallas Cowboys (11), Indianapolis Colts (10), Atlanta Falcons (9), Tennessee Titans (9), Washington Redskins (10), Philadelphia Eagles (7), Pittsburgh Steelers (12), New Orleans Saints (6), Minnesota Vikings (10), Detroit Lions (9), San Diego Chargers (10), Jacksonville Jaguars (11), New York Jets (11).
Projections and Player Summaries
Jay Cutler - With another year of experience, the Chicago offense should take a step forward this year. The offensive line is the best it's been in a while and the rookie right side will begin their second season together. Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery are the best one-two punch that Cutler has ever had and if he can stay healthy, Cutler should really thrive in a Marc Trestman offense. Look for him to finally silence the critics and return to prominence in both the NFL and fantasy circles.
Andy Dalton - Andy Dalton had a fantastic regular season in 2013 only to see it come crashing down in the team's lone playoff game - a home loss to a Wild Card San Diego team. Dalton had his best statistical year by far last year under Offensive Coordinator Jay Gruden. This season, however, he'll be under Hue Jackson as Gruden left the team for Washington's Head Coach position. Jackson is far more run-heavy than Gruden. Between that and the general doubt surrounding Dalton's future, it will be difficult for the fourth-year player to approach the success he had in his fantastic 2013 campaign. Jackson's commitment to the run game at every one of his NFL stops so far doesn't have Dalton's arrow pointing up.
Johnny Manziel - Johnny Manziel was drafted to be this team's starter sooner rather than later. Despite veteran Brian Hoyer winning the job for Week 1, Manziel should have this job at some point in 2014. Manziel's playmaking abilities have been gracing our TV screens over the past two years, particularly in highlight packages leading up the NFL Draft. Manziel is a dynamic athlete who could immediately burst onto the rushing quarterback scene. If he's intelligent enough to keep his body intact, there's no reason to think Manziel could fall significantly short of Robert Griffin III's rookie season. In fact, Manziel's offense will be directed by Kyle Shanahan, who was the coordinator in Washington for Griffin as well. Cleveland is lacking a deep threat wide receiver with Josh Gordon's season-long suspension, but Manziel's ability to make plays outside the pocket - both rushing and passing - could make this a viable offense and could make his weapons better.
Ahmad Bradshaw - Ahmad Bradshaw is expected to be the Colts secondary option at running back in 2014 behind incumbent back Trent Richardson. The camp injury to Vick Ballard (Achilles) solidifies that role heading into the season. Gone is Donald Brown who has moved on to San Diego in the off season, thus opening the role to Bradshaw, who is entering his eighth year in the league. A neck injury and subsequent surgery, shortened his season last year after just three games. In addition to his neck injury, he has a long list of other ailments that has plagued him throughout his career which could limit his production. His grit, tenacity and toughness is what drives him and ultimately makes him a power, when he is healthy. Prior to joining the Colts, Bradshaw had three consecutive Top 20 finishes, which shows that he is a capable fantasy commodity. Bradshaw has several positives, with one big negative - there is always the threat of injury lurking around the corner. Perhaps being used as a backup to Trent Richardson will keep him fresh and healthy throughout the year.
Stevan Ridley - Stevan Ridley was given a chance to secure the lead back position last season, but a bad case of fumblitis put the kibosh on that. The team drafted James White in the fourth round and still has Brandon Bolden waiting in the wings as well. Ridley will get a chance to retain the first spot on the depth chart, but there will always be a question of confidence in his ability to maintain that spot. Even if he stays with a decent share of the carries, it will be difficult for Ridley to be more than a low-end fantasy RB2.
Mike Tolbert - Mike Tolbert, who was a valuable role player for the San Diego Chargers before joining the Panthers, has been an important player for the Panthers as well. In his second season with the team last year Tolbert handled 101 carries for 361 yards and five touchdowns, while snagging 27/184/2 receiving. He is the team's backup running back as well as a powerful goal-line option for the Panthers. Given Jonathan Stewart's fragility, Tolbert is likely to see a significant number of touches again during 2014.
Andre Williams - Andre Williams was a Heisman finalist this year after running for 2,177 yards and 18 touchdowns at Boston College. Williams' running ability isn't in question, but his fate as a fantasy contributor lies with his ability to improve as a blocker and receiver. Williams failed to catch a pass during his senior year, and there aren't many RBs in the NFL that dominate without being at least a credible receiving option. Williams has looked good in the early preseason, earning first team reps as the goal-line back and dominating with the 2nd team offense in the Hall of Fame Game versus the Bills.
Anquan Boldin - Anquan Boldin is a gritty, experienced receiver with a long history of production in the NFL, but hardly anybody expected him to put together the kind of season he had in 2013. In his first year with the 49ers, thrust into the WR1 role when Michael Crabtree missed most of the season with an Achilles injury, Boldin looked surprisingly spry as he feinted, cut, and caught his way to a top-15 fantasy season. Crabtree returns healthy this season, however, and is expected to resume his role as the team's primary receiver. Boldin won't get nearly as many looks as he did in 2013, and is likely to put up numbers more closely resembling those from his days in Baltimore than last season's in San Francisco. Consider Boldin a fantasy WR4 who, despite a one-year reprieve, is on the downside of his career.
Marlon Brown - Marlon Brown had a surprising rookie year after joining the team as an undrafted free agent. Joining a shallow receiver corps, Brown didn't have to leapfrog a lot of experienced competition. He ended up having a nice preseason and getting a spot on the roster. Brown ended up catching 49 passes as a possession receiver and red zone option. He scored seven times, a rather high number relative to his catch total. Brown should continue to be the team's third receiver this season, but the return of Dennis Pitta and the use of more two-tight end sets will limit Brown from growing into a larger role.
T.Y. Hilton - T.Y. Hilton is an emerging wide receiver in the league and one of Andrew Luck's top targets. Last year Hilton took over as the go-to receiving threat once Reggie Wayne (knee) was lost for the year. Hilton was successful out of the slot, but also out wide. He made plays over the middle, on deep routes and outside the numbers. He dominated targets by a wide margin, despite defenses knowing that it was coming. He took the opportunity by the teeth and ran with it culminating in a Top 20 finish with 82 receptions for 1,083 yards and 5 touchdowns. This year, Reggie Wayne will return to the field and command a lot of targets, likely minimizing the number of plays to Hilton. The combination of both receivers making plays should be a positive for both. The sheer number of targets may drop for Hilton, but he is expected to be a threat, making due on the opportunities that come his way. He is an emerging receiver and budding star, who is showing improvement each year he has been in the league. The presence of Andrew Luck makes his future in the league even brighter.
Alshon Jeffery - It's hard not to be excited when thinking about what Alshon Jeffery can do in his third NFL season, and second under offensive minded coach Marc Trestman. With Trestman calling the shots, the Bears went from a 3300 yard passing team in 2012 to a 4400 yard passing team last year. Jeffery was their big play threat and his third season has set the table for him to push himself into NFL elite status. While Jay Cutler does like to get Brandon Marshall the ball, Jeffery's talent is undeniable, and he's going to get plenty of opportunities to make an impact. Look for another solid performance from Jeffery this season, with a possible top 10 fantasy finish again this year.
Jimmy Graham - Jimmy Graham is an exceptional athlete that came into the NFL with very little experience after playing football only one year at the University of Miami, and that after he had played basketball for four years. In his one collegiate season, he caught only 17 passes and similarly, started slowly in his 2010 rookie NFL season. He had only 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards in his first five games. However, he closed out his rookie year well, catching 30 passes on 41 targets for 345 yards and 5 TDs, giving a hint of production to come. From 2011 through 2013, Graham led the Saints in targets (447), receptions (270), yardage (3,507) and TDs (36). He has missed only one game and consistently comes up huge for his team on big downs and in the red zone. Graham signed a four-year $40 Million contract in July with $20.9 Million guaranteed and will again be Brees' primary target in 2014.
Zach Miller - Zach Miller spent his first four seasons with the Raiders, and during his time in Oakland, he was a borderline fantasy starter from about midway through his rookie year on. When he got to Seattle in 2011, however, his role in the passing game was reduced and he's been of little fantasy value since. Seattle's run-heavy offense isn't designed to get the tight end the ball with any regularity. Miller's skills fit what the Seahawks want in a tight end: he is a smart, disciplined player, a solid run-blocker, and a reliable pass-catcher on short and intermediate routes. But he is not the downfield receiving threat that fantasy owners covet. Consider him only a weak backup in standard fantasy leagues.
Mason Crosby - After the worst year in his career 2012 and spending last summer in a very close battle with Giorgio Tavecchio to keep his job, Crosby went on to have his best year in 2013. He set career marks in field goals made (33), 50+yard field goals made (5), and field goal percentage (89.2%). Like he did when he entered the league, he still has the range to hit long kicks. As has been the case for quite awhile, Crosby will continue to work with the same co-specialists - long snapper Brett Goode and punter/holder Tim Masthay. The Packers have ranked in the top ten in attempted kicking points in seven of the past eight years, including 3rd last year, making them one of the most consistently successful teams in the league.
Steve Hauschka - Clint Gresham is back for a fifth season as the long snapper. Back for a seventh year is punter is Jon Ryan, who also serves as the holder. Potential free agent kicker Steve Hauschka was re-signed to a 3-year deal in March. He comes off his best year yet in 2013, when he hit 33 of 35 (94.3%) on field goals and added 44 extra points. The Seahawks ranked 7th in attempted kicking points last year for their first top ten finish since 2007.