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QB Deshaun Watson - Houston Texans

6-2, 221Born: 9-14-1995College: ClemsonDrafted: Round 1, pick 12

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Photo: Jeremy Brevard, US Presswire

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The Texans fear Watson tore his ACL in practice on Thursday, November 3

Week 12: at Baltimore Ravens

All QB vs BAL

FBG says: Tough matchup. The Texans offense, once flying high under rookie passer Deshaun Watson, has predictably stalled with Tom Savage under center. Savage simply doesn't look equipped to quarterback on this level: he lacks real feel for the pocket and pressure, absorbing untimely sacks and throwing with terrible rhythm. He's also a turnover machine, with three interceptions and a seemingly-impossible seven fumbles over just five appearances. Across 3 starts since Watson's injury, Savage has completed just 52.7% of his throws for a Blaine Gabbert-esque 4.61 adjusted net yards per attempt. It's encouraging at least that he knows where his bread buttered: top wideout DeAndre Hopkins is still drawing a relentless target share (34.8% since Watson's injury), so Savage is at least maximizing his ability by putting his faith into the Texans' best player. But since we can't expect any real efficiency or Watson-esque dynamism from a Savage-led offense, Hopkins is essentially the only fantasy-worthy play here - at least until the mega-explosive Will Fuller returns, which could be this week. Even then, though, it's hard to project Savage's awful mechanics and scattershot arm to extend beyond Hopkins. DeAndre Hopkins has been an All-Pro-caliber receiver all year, but he'll have his Week 12 hands full with cornerback Jimmy Smith, who's been fantastic all year, and rookie Marlon Humphrey on the other side. The Ravens' real vulnerability lies inside, where slot man Lardarius Webb and the team's athletically challenged linebackers and safeties struggle mightily in coverage. This subsection has settled down a bit of late, even denying breakout slot stud Adam Thielen a strong day (41 yards on 12 targets) in Week 7, but remains the key to success against the Ravens defense. Quick throws to the slot also help neutralize the Ravens' dynamic pass rush. For Texans quarterback Tom Savage, of course, quick reads and throws are generally foreign; prepare for Savage to try and test the outside guys with Hopkins (and perhaps Will Fuller) on downfield routes. That would make for a truly boom-or-bust outlook in this matchup - and given Savage's awful play thus far, it's fair to side with the Ravens and project modest Houston passing numbers.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLPts
8 at SEA 71 19 30 402 4 3 8 67 0 0 39.8
12 at BAL PROJ-Tremblay * 0 0 * * * 0 * * * *
12 at BAL PROJ-Bloom * 0 0 * * * 0 * * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2017 Week 8 vs SEA (19 / 30 / 402 / 4 / 3 pass, 8 / 67 / 0 rush)

It continues to be the Deshaun Watson show for the Texans offense throwing for 402 yards with 67 more on the ground. Not to mention his 4 touchdown passed, Watson is a machine helping the Texans put points on the board. He does have to cut out the turnovers and he had two costly interceptions the resulted in 10 points that helped the Seahawks slice the gap to win the game late. The one area Watson did improve on was the deep ball and competed a season high 8 passes of 20 yards or more for 242 yards and two touchdowns. The work he did with both DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V provided the Texans more than enough points to win and even put up one of the biggest offensive days versus a Seahawks defense since 2010.

2017 Week 6 vs CLE (17 / 29 / 225 / 3 / 1 pass, 6 / 23 / 0 rush)

It continues to be an evolution of the Texans offense with Watson running the offense and he added 3 more touchdown passes to his name. Watson continues to give big plays to an offense that has been void of those plays for nearly three years. Watson had touchdown passes of 39, 3 and 1 on the day but he was given little resistance all game. He spread the ball to 8 different receivers on the day and his only real issue was a poor decision that led to a pick 6 trying to throw across his body. He continues to get plenty of opportunities to throw the ball and 29 attempts on the Browns and when he understands that not every play needs to be a big play, he will produce more yards. He also chipped in 6 rushes for 23 yards on the day.

2017 Week 5 vs KC (16 / 31 / 261 / 5 / 0 pass, 3 / 31 / 0 rush)

He started off slow for the Texans offense and the first half saw Watson only complete 4 of his 12 attempts to start the first half. Looking mainly for DeAndre Hopkins in the first half, the offense sputtered looking for answers. His stats look great in the end but it was not the best passing day for Watson who completed 16 of his 31 passes on the day. His main target in Hopkins did not go well orly completing 33% of his passes to him while any other player he targeted he completed 82% of his attempts. He did have five touchdown passes late in the game when the game was in chase mode. Watson hit Will Fuller for 2 touchdowns and DeAndre Hopkins for 3 touchdowns. When Watson looked other ways in the passing game, the offense opened up. Watson had a strong day late but the slow start to the first half prevented him from having even bigger one.

2017 Week 4 vs TEN (25 / 34 / 283 / 4 / 1 pass, 4 / 24 / 1 rush)

Five total touchdowns for Deshaun Watson marked the highest scoring output for the Texans in franchise history. Watson completed over 70% of his passes and used a solid game plan to hit DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller and Lamar Miller for touchdowns. Watson is in a offense that is taking his skill set into account and allowing him to use his legs to run the football and create play action passes hitting wide open receivers. His chunk plays in the air came on simple passes in front of him that allowed guys like Miller and Bruce Ellington eat up yards. Watson picked a part the Titans secondary especially in the red zone hitting Hopkins on a quick slant, Fuller on two corner routes and Miller on a dump off in the flats when the Titans lost him in coverage. Watson also missed a touchdown pass late in the first half when he missed Hopkins wide open in the end zone where he held the ball too long and threw it late only to be picked off in the end zone. Watson was also set up by pass inference call that set the Texans up at the one where Watson was able to punch it in on a one-yard run.

2017 Week 3 vs NE (22 / 33 / 301 / 2 / 2 pass, 8 / 41 / 0 rush)

It was a game that a Texans quarterback that has not had in sometime and Watson was able to eclipse the 300 yard plateau in his second NFL start and provide big plays through the air in the process. The Texans are embracing Watson's ability to move in the pocket and it showed up big on Sunday. Watson had 9 passes that were completed for over 15 yards and 6 of those went over 28 yards and even more impressive he hit 8 different receivers. HE showed he can make it happen in the pocket and hit both Bruce Ellington for a 29-yard touchdown strike in the middle of the field and 12-yard back shoulder throw to Ryan Griffin in the back of the end zone to highlight a strong day throwing the football. He was also able to make throws on broken plays and hit D'Onta Foreman for a 31-yard dump off after he evaded five pass rushers and still hit his running back wide open. He missed a wide open Stephen Anderson on a play action pass in the red zone and had a terrible interception intended for DeAndre Hopkins he left short trying to throw the ball flat footed. There were plenty more positives than negatives for Watson and the arrow is clearly pointing up. Watson did have an interception on the hail mary heave to end the game but his accuracy was better than expected.

2017 Week 2 vs CIN (15 / 24 / 125 / 0 / 0 pass, 5 / 67 / 1 rush)

It was Deshaun Watson's first NFL start and after a slow start to the evening in the 1st quarter, Watson showed life. Completing 33% of his passes in the 1st quarter, Watson completed 77% of his passes over the final three quarters. He did not have too tough of task with O'Brien keeping it simple for him but he did throw into some danger on the field. Watson ran himself into sacks on the evening with his running around but when he had a clean pocket he operated the offense well. Watson's big play came two plays after he took a big hit sack from Geno Atkins. Watson late in the second half dropped back and was looking for someone on third and long, then he tucked the ball and went to work. 49 yards later and some help from his own teammates along the way he galloped into the end zone with one of the more impressive runs that some will see. Watson did lead two drives deep into Bengals territory that came up with field goals but penalties and not anything Watson did set them back to settle for those opportunities. There was plenty of positives to draw from this game and now it is up to Watson to show he can keep it going.

2017 Week 1 vs JAX (12 / 23 / 102 / 1 / 1 pass, 2 / 16 / 0 rush)

Watson was inserted int he second half to help the jump start the Texans offense. It started with Watson equalizing the Jaguars pass rush with his running ability rushing for 16 yards. His first drive saw him her Hopkins multiple times on the right side of the of the field. Then on a nice play action pass in the red zone he hit Hopkins for a four yard touchdown run. Then it went South for Watson who struggled with accuracy and only completed one pass in ten attempts over 10 yards. Watson looked good throwing to the right but struggled mightily throwing to the left.

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Schedule

12@ Baltimore Ravens
13@ Tennessee Titans
14vs San Francisco 49ers
15@ Jacksonville Jaguars
16vs Pittsburgh Steelers
17@ Indianapolis Colts