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WR Torrey Smith - San Francisco 49ers

6-0, 204Born: 1-26-1989College: MarylandDrafted: Round 2

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Photo: Charles LeClaire, US Presswire

Summary

Yes, Smith flopped tremendously on the stat sheet as a five-year, $40 million signing, and the state of the 49ers offense doesn't make him look attractive for 2016. But if we look closer, we see that he was actually a supremely efficient receiver last year. In fact, he would've almost certainly flourished had he not been mired in a run-heavy offense that lacked a starting-caliber QB. Smith finished second in the NFL in yards per target (an outstanding 10.7), and he didn't do it on a barrage of fluky deep balls. He excelled, albeit on just 3.9 targets a game, in the intermediate game, showcasing yards-after-catch ability for short-throwing QBs Blaine Gabbert and Colin Kaepernick. Luckily for Smith, he looks poised for a massive uptick in volume. Security blanket Anquan Boldin is gone and unlikely to return, freeing 24% of the team's 2015 market share. And the team made little effort to add receiving talent in the offseason; Smith's only competition for targets are a barren WR depth chart stocked with low draft picks and a wide-open corps of tight ends with questionable NFL futures. When you throw into the mix Chip Kelly's high-octane offenses - which tend to feature the No. 1 wideout heavily - it's hard to expect fewer than 100 targets for Smith. He won't be much of a touchdown factor, but a 16-game baseline prediction of 55-60 catches and 900-1,000 yards would bring real WR3 utility from relatively late in the draft. (May 11)

FBG Staff Rankings

WR Redraft - 41, 30, 31, 35, 36, 39, 39, 39, 41, 41, 42, 44, 44, 47, 47, 48, 53, 60
WR Redraft PPR - 42, 30, 31, 35, 36, 39, 39, 40, 41, 41, 42, 43, 44, 46, 47, 47, 52, 56, 60
Overall Redraft PPR - 86, 45
WR Dynasty - 61, 41, 58, 86

Stats and Projections

YEARGRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumL
2013 BAL 16 0 0 0 137 65 1128 4
2014 BAL 16 0 0 0 92 49 767 11
2015 SF 16 0 0 0 62 33 663 4
2016 PROJ-Dodds 15 2 * * 55 * * *
2016 PROJ-Henry 16 0 * * 53 * * *
2016 PROJ-Wood 16 0 * * 57 * * *
2016 PROJ-Tremblay 16 1 * * 43 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 111
WR: 43
Overall-PPR: 108
WR-PPR: 44

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

Team Report      Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

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  Joe Redemann - August 19
Using target volume to identify fantasy WR values
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2016 Schedule

1vs Los Angeles Rams
2@ Carolina Panthers
3@ Seattle Seahawks
4vs Dallas Cowboys
5vs Arizona Cardinals
6@ Buffalo Bills
7vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8--- BYE WEEK ---
9vs New Orleans Saints
10@ Arizona Cardinals
11vs New England Patriots
12@ Miami Dolphins
13@ Chicago Bears
14vs New York Jets
15@ Atlanta Falcons
16@ Los Angeles Rams
17vs Seattle Seahawks