TE Lee Smith - Buffalo Bills

6-6, 266Born: 11-20-1987College: MarshallDrafted: Round 5, pick 2011

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Week 15: at Pittsburgh Steelers - $4000

All TE vs PIT

FBG says: Tough matchup. Josh Allen certainly has his warts, but he's developed into a competent starter on a likely playoff team here in Year 2. Allen remains a work in progress as a decision-maker, but his mobility and instinctive style keep plays alive, and his powerful delivery is deadly when he allows himself to come set. He's certainly taken a statistical leap from his dismal rookie year, though he's still no one's idea of a fantasy starter on his arm alone. Allen sits 25th among 33 qualifiers in yards per attempt, and 26th with just 211 per game. With middling volume and not much downfield weaponry, he's only cleared 250 in 4 of his 13 games. Top receiver John Brown has tapered off majorly of late, with just 91 yards over the past 3 weeks. He's faced some tough matchups, to be fair, but Allen simply isn't finding him consistently downfield right now. When the two click, both are fantasy starters - they connected for 50+ yards in each of their first 10 games together. But lately, Allen is leaning more conservatively on slot man Cole Beasley and his running backs, who don't produce nearly as much with his targets. It's not a recipe for big air numbers, so those playing Allen will, as always, pray for big rushing production on the side. The Steelers continue to post top-tier numbers against the pass, giving up just 5.6 yards per dropback (fourth in football) and 210 a game (fifth). No opponent has reached 250 yards since Week 6, when Philip Rivers padded his numbers in a second half full of garbage time. That kind of consistency deserves a ton of credit, even if it must be noted that they've faced a wildly favorable slate of quarterbacking. They haven't played a top-10 quarterback by yards per attempt since Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 3. Still, it's certainly been impressive to see them clamp down so tightly on opposing wideouts. Only two receivers have notched 100 yards in this matchup: Tyler Boyd (101) and Hunter Henry (100). In Steven Nelson, Joe Haden, and Mike Hilton, the Steelers boast arguably the league's most underrated cornerback trio. And behind them, new free safety Minkah Fitzpatrick has proven his worth - and then some - as an All-Pro caliber cover man and playmaker down the field. If there's a weakness here, it's underneath, where the linebackers remain a liability against slot men and tight ends. If the Bills' thin receiving corps is going to find success here Sunday, it will likely work somewhat through Cole Beasley's quick, underneath game.

Recent Stats and Projections

11 at MIA 7 0.0 0 0 0 4200 0.00 0.00
12 vs DEN 14 0.0 0 0 0 4000 0.00 0.00
13 at DAL 14 0.0 0 0 0 4000 0.00 0.00
14 vs BAL 3 0.0 0 0 0 4000 0.00 0.00
15 at PIT PROJ-Tremblay * 0.0 * * * * * *

Weekly Performance vs TE 1, TE 12, TE 24

Percentile ranks

Lee Smith's percentile rank in each category, among TE with more than 50 fantasy points.

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15@ Pittsburgh Steelers
16@ New England Patriots
17vs New York Jets