FBG says: Bad matchup. Josh Jacobs was a part-time back at Alabama, but just 10 games into his NFL career, he's already put that in the rear-view. Jacobs is the clear bell cow for Jon Gruden, taking on 76% of team rushes (he's seen 20+ in 5 games already). With a solid 4.8 yards per carry, he's been one of the game's most efficient grinders - yet with the quickness and burst to generate more than his fair share of big runs. Jacobs has registered 85+ yards in 6 of his 10 appearances, and this week's matchup could wind up better than the DvP numbers suggest. The Raiders project to spend the day icing a lead against the lowly Jets, who are strong against the run but can be worn down with game flow. Oakland's front line, currently healthy and ranked sixth by our Matt Bitonti, presents a serious challenge for the Jets' front seven. This has all the trappings of a high-volume, high-production day for Jacobs, who's already a weekly fantasy RB1 regardless of matchup.
With run-game guru Gregg Williams installed as coordinator, the Jets have ascended to near the top of the NFL in rush defense. Through 10 weeks, they've allowed the league's fewest yards per game and per attempt, allowing running backs just 65 and 3.0, respectively. Just 3 weeks ago, they swarmed Saquon Barkley in their inter-stadium showdown with the Giants, allowing the prodigy just a single yard on 13 carries. They've also done admirable work against the likes of Nick Chubb (18 for 62), Leonard Fournette (19 for 76), and Sony Michel (19 for 42), and they haven't allowed a touchdown on the ground since Week 7. Impressive rookies tackles Quinnen Williams and Folorunso Fatukasi have made for a formidable duo up front, keeping blockers off of the Jets' ho-hum linebacking group. James Burgess and Neville Hewitt are sometimes liabilities on the second level, though they also receive quality help from stud safeties Jamal Adams and Marcus Maye, both of whom make plays in the box. At least on the surface, this isn't a very attractive matchup for Raiders super-rookie Josh Jacobs. He'll need to rely on his open-field quickness - when he can actually utilize it - to post another big day on the ground.