WR Deebo Samuel - San Francisco 49ers

5-11, 214Born: 1-15-1996College: South CarolinaDrafted: Round 2, pick 2019

Main      Career stats      Game Logs      Game Recaps      Split Stats      Play-by-play      Latest News

Traditional view      FanDuel view      DraftKings view     

Preseason player page

Week 20: vs Green Bay Packers

All WR vs GB

FBG says: Neutral matchup. The San Francisco 49ers' divisional-round game against the Minnesota Vikings was another low-volume day for Jimmy Garoppolo and the team's passing attack. On the day, Garoppolo only attempted 19 passes, an incredibly low total that aligns closely with the team's season-long offensive fingerprint. San Francisco's passing game was the 4th-lowest volume unit in the league, posting a mediocre 28-to-13 touchdown-to-interception ratio, but an impressive 7.4 net yards per attempt, which was good for 3rd in the league. Last weekend's distribution of targets closely resembled the season-long trends for 49ers' pass-catchers. Tight end George Kittle remains one of the premier players at his position, and he is the team's number-one option through the air. Them, out wide, Deebo Samuel and Emmanuel Sanders are both strong secondary options for Jimmy Garoppolo. Samuel, specifically, is an electric playmaker after the catch, and the 49ers make a concerted effort to get him the ball in space. On the other hand, Sanders is a refined route-runner who makes a living by beating defensive backs thanks to his attention to detail. Overall, Jimmy Garoppolo's erratic performance, coupled with typically low volume through the air for the unit, makes this passing attack a highly-volatile unit overall. Green Bay's pass defense allowed mediocre efficiency totals through the air, but much like their offense, an astounding touchdown-to-interception ratio salvaged strong overall numbers against opposing passing attacks this year. The Packers defended the 18th-most passing attempts, allowing middle-of-the-pack yardage totals on the 18th-ranked net yards per attempt mark in the league. Along their defensive line, the Packers field three top-flight pass-rushers. Za'Darius Smith and Preston Smith combined for 25.5 sacks during the regular season off the edge. In between them, Kenny Clark is one of the league's best interior pass-rushers, and he posted six sacks of his own this year. The weakness of this defense in coverage is at the second level, where the Packers have a notable lack of capable pass-defenders. This void in the defense helped enable 4 different opposing tight ends to record at least 6 receptions for 84 yards through the air this season, including George Kittle, who went for 129 yards and a score on 6 receptions against Green Bay in Week 12. The Packers' defensive backfield, however, is one of the league's strongest. At cornerback, Tramon Williams and Jaire Alexander are both top-end pass-defenders, and at safety Adrian Amos has proven to be an elite offseason acquisition. Overall, this unit's strengths in the trenches and in the secondary help to mask the weakness at linebacker, salvaging league-average totals against the pass. This weekend, should the 49ers rely on a pass-heavy gameplan, their efficient passing offense should look to focus on exploiting the weak link in Green Bay's defense. In total, this grades as a neutral matchup for the San Francisco passing attack.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
16 vs LAR 47 3 28 1 6 4.0 31 0 0 11.9
17 at SEA 39 2 33 1 5 5.0 102 0 0 18.5
19 vs MIN 56 1 6 0 6 3.0 42 0 0 4.8
20 vs GB PROJ-Dodds * 1 * * 3.7 * * * *
20 vs GB PROJ-Tremblay * 1 * * 3.6 * * * *
20 vs GB PROJ-Bloom * 2 * * 4.0 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs WR 1, WR 12, WR 24, WR 36

Percentile ranks

Deebo Samuel's percentile rank in each category, among WR with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2019 Week 19 vs MIN (6 / 3 / 42 / 0 rec, 1 / 6 / 0 rush)

Samuel displayed his typical run after catch toughness and ground out extra yards on his short receptions, including pushing the ball down to the one to set up a Tevin Coleman score and pushing through multiple tacklers to convert a third and long. He had one fumble on an end around that was reversed by replay.

2019 Week 17 vs SEA (5 / 5 / 102 / 0 rec, 2 / 33 / 1 rush)

Much has been made of Samuel's yardage-gaining prowess after a catch (and sometimes after a shovel pass on a jet sweep). There was a play in this game, during the fourth quarter no less, that gained only 1 yard after the catch, but was nevertheless even more indicative of what may be coming in the future. With Seattle having gotten back to within one score, and San Francisco having driven to the Seahawks 34-yard line, Samuel used Shaquille Griffin's own inside leverage against him to juke him out of his cleats, thereby turning press man coverage into wide open for a 23-yard gain (with only 1 yard of YAC). San Francisco answered with a touchdown of their own on the very next play.

2019 Week 16 vs LAR (6 / 4 / 31 / 0 rec, 3 / 28 / 1 rush)

Samuel did almost all of his damage on one second quarter drive that brought San Francisco back to within one score. On the first play, his jet sweep motion presnap left him wide open for a wide receiver screen that he caught and ran for an 18-yard gain. Two plays later, he lined up in the backfield, took a shotgun handoff towards the left sideline, and outran three Rams defenders for a touchdown.

2019 Week 15 vs ATL (3 / 1 / 29 / 0 rec, 1 / 8 / 0 rush)

Samuel's three targets involved an uncatchable short pass, a very catchable intermediate pass that he dropped, and a very catchable underneath pass that he caught wide open and ran for 29 yards.

2019 Week 14 vs NO (8 / 5 / 76 / 0 rec, 2 / 33 / 0 rush)

Samuel had two big plays -- receptions of 20 or more yards -- during the first half, but his two most important plays came on the 49ers' first two scoring drives of the fourth quarter. Up 35-33 facing 3rd-and-5 at the Saints' 32-yard line, Samuel ran a 10-yard dig route across the face of cornerback Eli Apple, who was playing the deep right third in Cover-3. Apple got caught flat-footed, so Samuel was able to catch the pass in stride to gain 16 yards and a first down. Later in the fourth, while holding on to a 42-40 lead like grim death, Samuel took an end around down the left sideline for 31 yards, thereby flipping field position while also putting San Francisco in a position to extend their lead.

2019 Week 13 vs BAL (4 / 2 / 41 / 1 rec, 1 / 20 / 0 rush)

Despite mostly being neutralized by the combination of Marcus Peters and Marlon Humphrey, Samuel still showed his play-making ability with a fourth-down, 33-yard touchdown catch on San Francisco's opening drive. Working against Baltimore's Cover-2, Samuel ran an out-and-up into the void between the cornerback and safety. However, badly underthrew the ball, such that "wide open" turned into "scattered, smothered, and double-covered." No matter, as Samuel adjusted his path to cut in front of Marcus Peters, and then leapt into the air to snatch the ball away at its highest point.

2019 Week 12 vs GB (2 / 2 / 50 / 1 rec)

On Samuel's 42-yard touchdown reception, he beat slot cornerback Tramon Williams on a post route, caught the ball 13 yards downfield, and then simply ran away from Williams, linebacker Blake Martinez, and safety Chandon Sullivan.

2019 Week 11 vs ARI (10 / 8 / 134 / 0 rec)

Samuel's first six targets came either on third down or in the red zone. The sixth of these produced both the highlight reel catch of the day and a first down the 49ers desperately needed while down three in the fourth quarter. On 3rd-and-9 at the 49ers' 26-yard line, Samuel ran a deep out route to the left sideline against slot cornerback Kevin Peterson. Jimmy Garoppolo was hit as he threw, so the pass was underthrown, which actually caused a faceguarding Peterson to badly interfere with Samuel. No big deal, as he leapt, popped the ball up to himself behind Peterson's back, followed it in the air as it bounced off Peterson's helmet, then caught it while diving to the sideline and being tackled by both Peterson and safety Jalen Thompson.

2019 Week 10 vs SEA (11 / 8 / 112 / 0 rec)

Samuel was a consistent bright spot throughout this game, as five of his eight receptions went for double-digit yardage, and three receptions were among San Francisco's four longest scrimmage plays. The longest of these, a 30-yard catch and run was a backside play-action quick slant wherein Samuel beat Tre Flowers' man-to-man coverage to the inside of the field, and then made three defenders miss after the catch. Samuel's showed his strength on a 24-yard catch midway through the fourth quarter. He beat Flowers again, this time on a 15-yard curl route. After the catch, he cut inside, shed Flowers' tackle attempt, withstood a hit from safety Quandre Diggs, and then required five defenders to finally get him on the ground. It wasn't all sunshine and roses, however, as Samuel had an awful drop on a wide-open, massive YAC-potential quick slant to start a fourth quarter drive where the 49ers eventually punted.

2019 Week 9 vs ARI (7 / 4 / 40 / 0 rec)

Samuel avoided Patrick Peterson on the vast majority of his routes, but only mustered two notable plays. At the end of the first half, Byron Murphy, Jr., got picked by his own teammate, leaving Samuel wide open in the middle of the end zone, but he dropped the pass. Then midway through the fourth quarter, Samuel sat down in a zone to convert a first down on 3rd-and-11.

2019 Week 8 vs CAR (3 / 3 / 19 / 0 rec, 2 / 29 / 1 rush)

Samuel's skill set -- and the way Kyle Shanahan wants to employ it -- was in full effect on consecutive third quarter plays. With Carolina having cut the lead to 27-13 and San Francisco facing 3rd-and-8 from the Panthers' 28-yard line, Shanahan called Samuel's number on a dig route at the sticks, which he used perfect hands technique to grab in traffic. Then, on the next play, Samuel motioned tight to the line as if he was going to block, but then took a handoff behind right tackle, hit the hole, turned on the jets, and ran untouched for 20 yards into the endzone. It should also be noted that that was Samuel's third run of the game. His first was a jet sweep for 2 yards (technically shoveled to him for a reception), and the second was a reverse for 9 yards.

2019 Week 6 vs LAR (5 / 3 / 18 / 0 rec, 1 / 1 / 0 rush)

Despite playing his usual allotment of snaps as part of San Francisco's three-receiver rotation, Samuel's lone catch of note was a 14-yarder in which all he had to do was sit down in middle zone. Midway through the fourth quarter, Samuel pulled up lame in the middle of a route, apparently having injured his quadriceps.

2019 Week 5 vs CLE (3 / 1 / 3 / 0 rec)

As per usual, Samuel split time in two-wide receiver sets with Marquise Goodwin and Dante Pettis. His only target of note actually doesn't show up in the box score because it involved a 15-yard reception nullified by penalty. On the play, Samuel caught a wide receiver screen pass at the line of scrimmage, exploded up field, spun out of a tackle, and then ran over another would-be tackler before getting taken down.

2019 Week 3 vs PIT (4 / 3 / 44 / 0 rec)

Samuel could have had a more fruitful day from a fantasy perspective if not for dropping a 45-yard pass midway through the third quarter. He beat cornerback Steven Nelson's man-to-man coverage and jumped in front of help defender Joe Haden to catch the ball, but couldn't hang on when he fell to the ground.

2019 Week 2 vs CIN (7 / 5 / 87 / 1 rec, 2 / 7 / 0 rush)

No doubt Samuel had a productive game, especially for a rookie playing his second game in the NFL. Having said that, his gaudy stats owed more to Kyle Shanahan's play design and play calling than extraordinary individual feats of skill from Samuel himself. His first target was a play-action, throw-back pass off of his own jet-sweep action, which Shanahan had set up with several fakes on previous drives. All 49 yards of run-after-catch were due to the Bengals biting hard and having a caravan of blockers in front of him. Similarly, Samuel's 2-yard touchdown in the third quarter resulted from a broken coverage at the goal line. All of that said, one of Samuel's big plays was indeed a great individual effort. On the first play of the second half, Samuel had cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick spinning like a top on his deep dig route, such that his break inside created five yards of separation, which in turn allowed for 19 additional yards after the catch.

2019 Week 1 vs TB (3 / 3 / 17 / 0 rec)

Samuel got the somewhat-surprising start and played nearly 90 percent of snaps. His three targets were a potpourri of good and bad. Among the good were a great hands catch on a slant and an elusive end-around shovel pass that was nullified by penalty. On the negative side, Samuel fumbled away a sure-fire, go-ahead field goal with 20 seconds left in the first half.

More

Latest News

49ers | San Francisco on to NFC Championship game (Sat Jan 11, 07:36 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo went 11-for-19 for 131 yards, one touchdown and one interception against the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round playoff game. RB Tevin Coleman rushed for 105 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries. RB Raheem Mostert rushed for 58 yards on 12 carries, while RB Matt Breida rushed for 17 yards on eight carries. WR Deebo Samuel caught three passes for 42 yards on six targets. WR Kendrick Bourne caught three passes for 40 yards and one touchdown on five targets. WR Emmanuel Sanders caught two passes for 33 yards on two targets, while TE George Kittle caught three passes for 16 yards on five targets.

Our View: The 49ers are going to be at home for the NFC Championship Game as the No.1 seed in the conference. Their defense is playing at a high level and their offense can beat you up with the ground game. We'll see if the Packers or the Seahawks are the team traveling to play the 49ers next Sunday.
link to story   

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

Footballguys Articles

The Best of Footballguys Week 17
  Matt Waldman - December 27
Roundtable Week 17
  FBG Staff - December 26
The Top 10: Week 15
  Matt Waldman - December 9
Starting Stacks for Week 11
  Scott Bischoff - November 14
The Gut Check No.489: A 360-Look at the Emmanuel Sanders Trade
  Matt Waldman - October 23
Roundtable Week 2
  FBG Staff - September 11
Starting Stacks for Week 1
  Scott Bischoff - September 5
The Gut Check No.481: The 2019 All-Gut Check Sleeper Team
  Matt Waldman - August 22
The Gut Check No.479: 2019 Tiers And Confidence Levels (Updated 8/19)
  Matt Waldman - August 15
DraftKings GPP Domination: Conference Championships
  Phil Alexander - January 16

Articles from around the web

Top Rookies for 2019 fantasy leagues
  Michael Fabiano - April 29
Fantasy Football: Zachariason's Post-Draft Rookie Rankings
  J.J. Zachariason - May 2
Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Version 2.0
  Bill Anderson - May 4
BEST-BALL WR TIERS
  John Daigle - May 9
Fantasy Football: 2019 Staff Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
  Jonathan Margulis - May 20
Using college aDOT to project WR fantasy performance
  Jeff Ratcliffe - May 24
Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers with Reception Points
  David Dorey - May 27
Dynasty Rookie Rankings Review
  Chuck Gioffre - June 1
Which Duds From 2018 Will Be Studs in 2019?
  Mike Tagliere - June 12
Using YPRR to project fantasy performance -- WRs who fell short of expectations
  Daniel Kelley - June 14

Schedule