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QB Matt Ryan - Atlanta Falcons

6-4, 228Born: 5-17-1985College: Boston CollegeDrafted: Round 1, pick 3

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Photo: Brett Davis, US Presswire

Summary

Matt Ryan wound up the third-best fantasy quarterback in the land during 2016 (and took his team all the way to the Super Bowl in the playoffs), tossing 373/534 for 4,944 yards passing, 38 TDs and just seven interceptions (with 35/117/0 rushing) during regular season. Ryan set career-best marks in passing yardage, pass TDs and interceptions thrown during the phenomenal season. During his second season in the Kyle Shanahan system, Ryan bounced back from a sub-par 2015 campaign (407/614 for 4,591 yards passing, 21 TDs and 16 interceptions thrown (18th-ranked fantasy quarterback) - the 21 TDs were the least he'd thrown in a regular season since his rookie campaign during 2008. However, Shanahan has since departed to become the head coach in San Francisco, and the Falcons turned to University of Alabama offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to take over their offense. Head coach Dan Quinn is on the record stating after hiring Sarkisian: 'We love the way that we attack, and it took a lot of work to put that system in place. We have a real emphasis now on how we can fit guys into that system. It's very important that we stay consistent with that.'. Running back Devonta Freeman also commented on Sarkisian May 18, saying that the offense will stay 'pretty much the same... A few tweaks here and there, but the majority of the same play calls, the same offense.' We saw Ryan take a step back in his first season under coordinator Shanahan, so some slippage from his career-highs during 2016 would appear to be a reasonable expectation in the first year of this new coordinator's regime as the team learns the nuances of Sarkisian's approach - but a regression to 2015 levels doesn't appear to be in the cards. There are reasons for optimism about the Atlanta passing game to counter the shift from Shanahan to Sarkisian - Mohamed Sanu (81 targets for 59/653/4 receiving during 2016) and Taylor Gabriel (50 targets for 35/579/6 receiving) are both entering their second seasons as Falcons, and should be more comfortable with their teammates/in the offensive system during 2017. Gabriel, who arrived to the Falcons at the end of training camps after the Browns cut him, will benefit from his first full preseason/training camp with the team. Also, the offense returns essentially intact from 2016, though the Falcons are shifting from Jacob Tamme to Austin Hooper as their starting tight end (Tamme only appeared in eight games last year, though, so Hooper had already been running with the first team for a significant chunk of the 2016 season). Given all the above, the probability of another strong (even if not a career-best) season from Ryan seem high entering 2017. (May 21)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 6, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9, 9, 10, 12, 12, 16
Overall Redraft - 54, 31, 31, 34, 35, 38, 46, 56, 58, 59
QB Dynasty - 6, 4, 5, 6, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9
Overall Dynasty - 78, 61, 64, 68, 74, 75

Stats and Projections

YEARGCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumL
2014 ATL 16 415 628 4694 28 14 29 145 0 2
2015 ATL 16 407 614 4591 21 16 37 63 0 5
2016 ATL 16 373 534 4944 38 7 35 117 0 2
2017 PROJ-Dodds 16 374 545 * * * 34 * * *
2017 PROJ-Henry 16 390 565 * * * 32 * * *
2017 PROJ-Wood 16 390 590 * * * 30 * * *
2017 PROJ-Tremblay 16 361 545 * * * 36 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 49
QB: 5

Atlanta Falcons Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

Quarterback Regression: Touchdown and Interception Rates
  Chad Parsons - May 22
The Gut Check No. 396: QBs Behind Fantasy-Rich Offenses
  Matt Waldman - May 22
Post-Draft 2017 Quarterback Tier Rankings
  Ari Ingel - May 4
Stretching Your Dynasty Dollar: Part II
  Daniel Simpkins - April 11
Dynasty Trade Value Chart
  Dan Hindery - April 2
Early MFL10 Strategy: Quarterback
  Sigmund Bloom - March 30
Dynasty Theory
  Jeff Tefertiller - March 5

2017 Schedule

1@ Chicago Bears
2vs Green Bay Packers
3@ Detroit Lions
4vs Buffalo Bills
5--- BYE WEEK ---
6vs Miami Dolphins
7@ New England Patriots
8@ New York Jets
9@ Carolina Panthers
10vs Dallas Cowboys
11@ Seattle Seahawks
12vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13vs Minnesota Vikings
14vs New Orleans Saints
15@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16@ New Orleans Saints
17vs Carolina Panthers