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WR Aldrick Robinson - Atlanta Falcons

5-10, 184Born: 9-24-1988College: SMUDrafted: Round 6

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Week 20: vs Green Bay Packers

All WR vs GB

Mark and Joe say: Good matchup. Atlanta eked out a one-point win over Green Bay back in Week Eight, 32-33 at home in the Georgia Dome. Matt Ryan tossed 28/35 for 288 yards passing, three TDs and zero interceptions during the contest, adding 2/9/0 rushing (while taking two sacks for -11 yards). Mohamed Sanu was the lead receiver that day, seeing 10 targets for 9/84/1 receiving; Taylor Gabriel (three for 3/68/1) and Devonta Freeman (six for 4/23/1) also scored receiving TDs, while Austin Hooper (five for 5/41/0) and Julio Jones (five for 3/29/0) helped keep the chains moving. All told eight different players caught passes from Ryan against Green Bay. Ryan bombed the Seahawks for 26/37 yielding 338 yards passing, three TDs and zero interceptions thrown last weekend (he took three sacks for -15 yards). Jones only played part of the game due to aggravating his nagging toe/foot injury (eight targets for 6/67/1 receiving), but could have returned to action if he'd been needed according to head coach Dan Quinn. The team expects him to be available for this contest against the Packers, although as we saw last weekend he may not make it through the whole game. Freeman (five targets for 4/80/0 receiving) led the Falcons in receiving vs. Seattle, while Gabriel (six for 4/71/0) and Sanu (five for 4/44/1) were also heavily involved. Levine Toilolo (four for 2/26/0) made a couple of important grabs and Tevin Coleman (four for 3/22/1) also scored during the contest. In short, the Falcons' high-powered passing attack picked up in the Divisional round at the same near-perfect pitch they finished regular season with (Ryan threw 27/36 for 331 yards, four TDs and zero interceptions vs. New Orleans in the regular-season finale). Ryan has thrown seven TD passes and zero interceptions over the last two games played. The Packers' pass defense crumbled in Dallas after their offense staked the defense to a 21-3 lead (Green Bay eked out a 34-31 win at the buzzer) - Dak Prescott came alive in the second half and wound up with 24/38 for 291 net yards passing, three TDs and one interception thrown, with two sacks taken for -11 yards (and 2/13/0 rushing to his credit). Two games ago Eli Manning threw 23/44 for 295 net yards passing, one TD and one interception thrown, with two sacks taken for -4 yards - Green Bay has averaged 293 net passing yards allowed per game during the post-season, compared to their 31st-in-the-NFL finish during regular season during which they averaged 269.2 net passing yards allowed per game, with 32 TDs given out (an average of two passing scores allowed per game, tied with the Rams for third-most passing TDs allowed during regular season). From Week 15-17 of regular season (the final three weeks, with no teams on bye), Green Bay averaged 26.4 fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks (second-most in the NFL); and 41.6 fantasy points per game allowed to wide receivers (most in the league); with 4.2 fantasy points given up per game to tight ends (eighth-least). The loss of strong safety Morgan Burnett (thigh injury) during the game at Dallas didn't help, as rookie Kentrell Brice got taken to school by Dallas once he was in the game. Keep an eye on Burnett's practice participation later in the week - if he can't go Ryan and company have an even bigger edge on Green Bay than the numbers above indicate. This is a good matchup for the high-flying Falcons' pass offense.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
16 at CAR 23 0 0 0 1 1 15 0 0 1.5
17 vs NO 18 0 0 0 2 2 36 0 0 3.6
19 vs SEA 25 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
20 vs GB PROJ-Dodds * 0 * * 1 * * * *
20 vs GB PROJ-Tremblay * 0 * * 1 * * * *
20 vs GB PROJ-Bloom * 0 * * 1 * * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2016 Week 19 vs SEA (1 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)

Robinson got open on a deep slant off a play action partial roll on 2nd and 10 with 13:20 in the half, but got overthrown. It was the extent of his day.

2016 Week 17 vs NO (2 / 2 / 36 / 0 rec)

He gained 17 on a route up the left sideline on a play from midfield in the second quarter, leading to a touchdown pass to Sanu later in the drive. Late in the half, Robinson struck again with a 19-yard catch up the right sideline.

2016 Week 16 vs CAR (1 / 1 / 15 / 0 rec)

Ryan found Robinson in the middle of the field with his third read for a first down near midfield to begin the third drive.

2016 Week 15 vs SF (5 / 4 / 111 / 0 rec)

With Julio Jones out of the lineup, Robinson was the biggest benefactor against the 49ers. After a season-high six targets last week, Robinson followed it up with five looks this week despite Atlanta throwing just 24 passes on the game. Robinson came wide open on a slant route in the first half for a catch-and-run of 59 yards. One of Matt Ryan's best throws of the game came on a roll-out deep comeback route to Robinson in the third quarter. With Atlanta taking their foot off the pedal by the mid-fourth quarter, Robinson's career day was accrued in just the opening three quarters of action.

2016 Week 14 vs LA (6 / 3 / 42 / 0 rec)

The reserve subbing for an injured Mohamed Sanu earned 25 yards on a deep out during the fourth series against off man coverage. During the firth series he caught a quick out for five yards in the fifth series and with less than four minutes in the half, he earned 8 on a stick route over the middle. His work on the outside twin paired with Taylor Gabriel in the third quarter drew the attention of the safety and left Gabriel open on a deep cross for a 64-yard score.

2016 Week 13 vs KC (3 / 2 / 18 / 1 rec)

Robinson earned yards up the left seam for a first down during the third series. He later saw a target in the red zone on a post route that was well defended and scored the go-ahead three plays later for a short-lived, one-point lead. He could earn more targets if Julio Jones and/or Mohammed Sanu miss significant time.

2016 Week 10 vs PHI (1 / 1 / 2 / 0 rec)

Stuffed on a tunnel screen for a minimal during the third drive of the game, this two-yard catch was the only target he saw.

2016 Week 7 vs SD (1 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)

He couldn't catch the sideline throw to the right boundary in the second half midway through the third quarter. It was his best opportunity all game.

2016 Week 6 vs SEA (2 / 1 / 8 / 0 rec)

He dropped a comeback off a designed roll out inside Seattle's 36 and later made a catch for eight yards.

2016 Week 5 vs DEN (1 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)

Robinson's only target was cut off by Chris Harris; a timing route in the early second quarter.

2016 Week 4 vs CAR (3 / 2 / 48 / 1 rec)

The receiver was targeted on an outside curl but defensed by cornerback Berne Benwikere in the mid-third quarter. A few plays later, Robinson caught a slant. He scored on Benwikere later with a nice double move up the left side and a catch just inside the boundary for 35 yards.

2016 Week 3 vs NO (2 / 1 / 4 / 0 rec)

Robinson caught a crossing route for four yards at the end of the first quarter inside the Saints 20 during the second drive. Like the rest of the receiving corps, they were almost superfluous in light of the running backs' production on the ground and through the air.

2016 Week 2 vs OAK (4 / 3 / 39 / 0 rec)

Robinson had two key gains in this game. He caught a play-action pass from an I formation set on a comeback route for 19 yards to get Atlanta inside the Raiders' 30 early in the game. He also earned 10 yards on a low throw while running a 3rd and 10 crossing route, earning the first down and extending the drive in Atlanta's fourth series of the game and this led to a touchdown.

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Training Camp Cliff Notes: Week 4
  Joe Bryant - August 31
eVALUEator: Week 3
  Austin Lee - September 21
eVALUEator: Week 4
  Austin Lee - September 28
eVALUEator: Week 5
  Austin Lee - October 5
eVALUEator: Week 6
  Austin Lee - October 12
Roundtable Week4
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The Top 10
  Matt Waldman - October 3
Playoff Fantasy Rankings and Strategy
  Sigmund Bloom - January 3
eVALUEator: Week 17
  Austin Lee - December 28
eVALUEator: Week 16
  Austin Lee - December 21

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