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QB Kyle Orton - Buffalo Bills

6-4, 220Born: 11-14-1982College: PurdueDrafted: Round 4

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Photo: Tim Heitman, US Presswire

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News you need to know

From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Oct 20): Even without his fabled facial hair, Orton's never say die attitude led the Bills to another win, and forged a potentially special connection with Sammy Watkins. With the Bills playing at the Jets this week and no reliable running back in sight on the roster, he's a borderline QB1 play this week and a good part of a QBBC/streaming approach going forward.

Week 8: at New York Jets

Mark and Joe say: Great matchup. Kyle Orton has won two our of the first three games he's led the Bills, and he's tossed two TDs per game over the past two contests, with 31/43 for 283 yards passing, two TDs and one interception at Minnesota last week, and 24/38 for 299 yards, two TDs and one interception vs. New England two weeks ago. Orton has also been over or very near 300 yards passing in each game so far. Sammy Watkins has come alive over the 'Orton weeks', with a monster 14 targets for 9/122/2 receiving during the win vs. Minnesota last Sunday - it was a nice bounce back from the three targets for 2/27/0 we saw at New England two weeks back. Right now, the Bills' passing attack is on a strong roll. The Jets' secondary makes most quarterbacks look good - Tom Brady was no exception last week with 20/37 for 260 net yards, three TDs and zero interceptions, with one sack taken for -1 yard. Two games back Peyton Manning thumped the Jets for 22/33 for 221 net yards, three TDs and zero interceptions thrown, with two sacks taken for -16 yards. To date, the Jets have averaged 238.6 net passing yards allowed per game (16th in the NFL), but they are dead last in passing TDs given away, with 18 handed over vs. a league-worst one interception generated. The Jets are tied for sixth in the NFL with 20 sacks to their credit, but the secondary is, frankly, awful. Advantage, Orton and Watkins. Also, the rushing matchup is pretty tough, so look for Orton to have to carry the load while the Bills break in a batch of backup running backs with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller on the shelf for the foreseeable future due to injuries.

Recent Stats and Projections

5 at DET 30 43 308 1 1 1 0 0 0
6 vs NE 24 38 299 2 1 0 0 0 1
7 vs MIN 31 43 283 2 1 1 -1 0 1
8 at NYJ PROJ-Dodds 23 37 * * * 3 * * *
8 at NYJ PROJ-Tremblay 23 37 * * * 3 * * *
8 at NYJ PROJ-Bloom 26 38 * * * 0 * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2014 Week 5 vs DET (30 / 43 / 308 / 1 / 1 pass, 1 / 0 / 0 rush)

In his first start since 2013, Kyle Orton threw for 308 yards, albeit unimpressively and one touchdown on Sunday against the Lions. Orton also threw one interception that Rashean Mathis returned 41 yards for a Detroit touchdown. Orton was trying hit Sammy Watkins on a quick hitch, but Mathis never had to open his hips up as he sat on the short route. Able to drive on the ball and already at full speed, Mathis simply stepped in front of the receiver and ran untouched into the end zone. Orton's lone touchdown pass was only for two yards, but a beautiful 42-yard pass to Marquise Goodwin set up that short throw two plays prior. Goodwin merely used his speed to run past the corner and the pass was perfectly placed so he never had to break stride as he ran under it. Had Goodwin not lost control of the ball as he stretched his arms out in preparation for dive to the pylon he likely would have scored on the play. Orton quickly rectified that, however, as he threw his lone touchdown pass to Chris Gragg shortly thereafter. Working off play-action, Orton only needed to put the throw near his tight-end as Gragg slipped off the line of scrimmage and went uncovered into the back of the end zone for the two-yard connection. On top of the Goodwin throw, Orton also threw passes of 22 and 20 yards to Sammy Watkins, the latter of which put the Bills in position to kick the game-winning field goal. A nice seam route connection with Chris Hogan for 21 yards that helped erase a 1st and 30 and saw Orton place the throw between the coverage. And a 26-yard completion to Fred Jackson on a perfectly executed screen pass that ultimately set up Buffalo's first points of the game. Orton certainly didn't set the stat book on fire and while his throws weren't always on point, namely his two 20+ yard completions to Watkins, he still gave his receivers the chance to make a play on the ball. It was clear, too, Orton and the offense looked better as the game wore on as Buffalo converted no 1st downs on five of eight 1st half drives but had at least one 1st down on every 2nd half drive.

2014 Week 6 vs NE (24 / 38 / 299 / 2 / 1 pass, 0 / 0 / 0 rush)

While Kyle Orton certainly had his moments on Sunday as he threw for 299 yards and two touchdowns, the veteran quarterback was unable to overcome his two first half turnovers and taking five sacks. Orton's first touchdown went to Robert Woods as the two connected on an easy pitch and catch from the seven-yard line. Woods was able to get Alfonzo Dennard turned around as he faked the corner before cutting back inside for the easy touchdown. Another short throw, Orton's second touchdown ramped up the difficulty as he connected with Chris Hogan from eight yards out. Hogan did a nice job to beat his coverage to the outside on the out route, but the real trouble came from Logan Ryan who had broken off his coverage on the outside and sat underneath the route. Orton put the perfect amount of loft on the throw to just barely clear Ryan's outstretched fingertips and allow Hogan to make the sliding touchdown catch. Just prior to the Hogan touchdown, Orton showed pretty touch on another throw as he connected with Woods on fourth down for 35 yards. A perfect play design for the coverage, Woods was able to create some space before turning up field and Orton did a nice job putting just enough touch on the throw so his receiver wasn't hung out to dry by the safety coverage over the top. Unlike EJ Manuel, Orton frequently attacked, and found much success doing so, the middle of the field too as Scott Chandler and Hogan both had plays down the seam for 20+ yards. Orton's first turnover, an interception, was exclusively his fault as he got caught staring his receiver down over the middle of the field and Jamie Collins only had to follow Orton's eyes for the interception. Very much a problem all day, Orton's inability to get rid of the ball in a timely manner led directly to his second turnover as he fumbled after a hit from Chandler Jones. Orton never sensed the blindside pressure from the defensive end and Jones was able to both knock the ball out of Orton's hands and recover the loose ball. Not just an issue on the fumble, but holding the ball too long was something Orton struggled with all day as he took five sacks and three of those ended drives. The protection was far from perfect, but Orton simply spent too much time waiting for routes to develop.

2014 Week 7 vs MIN (31 / 43 / 283 / 2 / 1 pass, 1 / -1 / 0 rush)

In a game that was at times as revolting as the moustache that once resided on his upper lip, Kyle Orton still managed to overcome two (of the Bills four) turnovers and six sacks on his way to throwing for 283 yards and two touchdowns. The Bills offensive again struggled to consistently protect Orton, but the quarterback never seemed to make any adjustments either as he was frequently caught cement-footed in the pocket while waiting on routes to develop despite the constant pressure from the Vikings. The Bills first 12 drives only produced 10 points, but clearly Orton saved his best for last as he drove the offense 80 yards in 15 plays on the way to a game winning pass with one second left to Sammy Watkins from the two-yard line. On the drive, Orton converted a 4th and 20 with a 24-yard pass to Scott Chandler, a 3rd and 12 with an 18-yard completion to Watkins and a 2nd and 20 with a 28-yard pass to Chris Hogan. While Chandler ran a simple seam route on his big catch, the throw was anything but simple. Chad Greenway was in Chandler's back pocket, but with his head turned couldn't make a play on the ball as Orton delivered a very accurate pass just over the top of Greenway. Chandler had a bad drop two plays prior, but it didn't prevent Orton from going back to him with the game in the balance. With Watkins working over the top of Woods on a slant and running free, Orton merely had to be accurate on the 18-yard gain. Two plays later, again chasing what seemed like an impossible distance to gain, Orton delivered another accurate ball to Hogan down the sideline. Orton's back-shoulder toss was right on target, but really it was the receiver who made the play as he elevated and ultimately snatched the ball from Xavier Rhodes as he slammed into the turf. Maybe his easiest throw of the drive, Orton capped it all off by hitting Watkins on the next play for his second, and game winning, touchdown of the day. A simple out, Watkins shook the coverage and again all Orton needed was an accurate throw for the completion. With the ball right on his receiver's hands, Watkins needed only a toe tap for the game winner. The two connected earlier, too, for the Bills only other touchdown on a 26-yard connection. Watkins ran right past the coverage and Orton's throw was on the money as Watkins was able to catch it in stride for the touchdown. Despite the exciting late game heroics, Orton did leave quite a bit of production on the field in a contest where the Bills never seemed to struggle to move the ball. His first miscue, Orton tried to hit Chandler over the middle of the field, but his throw sailed badly and Robert Blanton easily intercepted it. Chandler was open and Orton wasn't under duress, he simply just missed. The interception was bad, but not as detrimental as his fumble that took at least three points off the board as Buffalo was sitting on first down at the Viking 20-yard line. One of the few times he sensed the collapsing pocket, Orton initially avoided the pressure as he maneuvered the pocket well. However, with the pin pulled Orton just couldn't unload the grenade quick enough and was hit just before his arm started forward.


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Footballguys Articles

NFC Roster Check Pre-Free Agency
  Jeff Tefertiller - March 8
Gut Check No.319: Emergent(cies)
  Matt Waldman - October 7
Pushing the Pocket: Kyle Orton and What He Brings to the Buffalo Bills Offense
  Cian Fahey - October 2
Gut Check No.318: ADP vs. End of Season
  Matt Waldman - September 30
FanDuel, Playing the Percentages: Week 8
  Chad Parsons - October 24
Roundtable #8
  FBG Staff - October 23
Week 8 Quarterback Tiers
  Sigmund Bloom - October 23
Week 8 Offensive Sleepers
  Bob Henry - October 22
The Docket: Week 8
  Ari Ingel - October 22
IDP Matchups To Exploit and Avoid: Week 8
  Dave Larkin - October 22

Articles from around the web

Silva's July Rankings, 1-100
  Evan Silva - July 2
Eric Decker Will Still Deliver
  Joe Kilroy - July 13
The Docket: Week 5
   - October 1
The Docket: Week 8
   - October 21


8@ New York Jets
9--- BYE WEEK ---
10vs Kansas City Chiefs
11@ Miami Dolphins
12vs New York Jets
13vs Cleveland Browns
14@ Denver Broncos
15vs Green Bay Packers
16@ Oakland Raiders
17@ New England Patriots