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WR Jordy Nelson - Green Bay Packers

6-2, 217Born: 5-31-1985College: Kansas StateDrafted: Round 2

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Photo: Charles LeClaire, US Presswire

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Week 13: vs Houston Texans

All WR vs HOU

Mark and Joe say: Good matchup. Aaron Rodgers said on Tuesday, November 29 that he suffered a hamstring injury in the second half of the Monday Night Football game, but he expects to play in Week 13. Fantasy owners will want to monitor his practice participation later in the week via Footballguys.com's Players in the News to be sure that Rodgers is going to be available on Sunday. During the game on Monday night, Rodgers (30/39 for 313 yards passing, two TDs and zero interceptions thrown, with zero sacks taken at Philadelphia) and Davante Adams (six targets for 5/113/2 receiving) showed off their growing chemistry - over the past three weeks (three games), six players have seen more than 10 targets from Rodgers - Jordy Nelson (35 for 23/245/2 receiving); Davante Adams (21 for 14/311/2); Randall Cobb (20 for 13/156/0); James Starks (15 for 13/84/2); Jared Cook (13 for 7/116/1) and Richard Rodgers (12 for 8/55/0). As you can see, Adams has slightly edged Nelson in the production department (except for PPR leagues) on 14 less targets. The Texans' pass defense enters Week 13 ranked fifth in the NFL averaging 209.2 net passing yards allowed per game, with a sparse 14 passing TDs allowed this season, vs. six interceptions (tied for 25th in the NFL) and 20 sacks (tied for 25th) generated. From Week Nine to Week 12 of the 2016 season (over the last four weeks, but includes 14 teams on bye during that time span - each team has at least three games played in the last four weeks), Houston has averaged 23.3 fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks (12th-most in the NFL); and 22.9 fantasy points per game allowed to wide receivers (16th); with 7.5 fantasy points given up per game to tight ends (15th-least). Most recently Philip Rivers threw 22/30 for 235 net yards passing, three TDs and one interceptions at Houston (with one sack taken for -7 yards). The pass defense in Houston has slipped a couple of notches during November. Advantage, Green Bay.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
9 vs IND 63 0 0 0 13 7 94 1 0 15.4
10 at TEN 73 0 0 0 18 12 126 1 0 18.6
11 at WAS 70 0 0 0 5 3 28 1 0 8.8
12 at PHI 64 0 0 0 12 8 91 0 0 9.1
13 vs HOU PROJ-Dodds * 0 * * 6 * * * *
13 vs HOU PROJ-Tremblay * 0 * * 7 * * * *
13 vs HOU PROJ-Bloom * 0 * * 6 * * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2016 Week 12 vs PHI (12 / 8 / 91 / 0 rec)

Nelson and Aaron Rodgers connected quite a bit, but Rodgers overthrew Nelson on two deep throws, one by quite a bit. The short routes are giving Nelson a lot of catches, but he's often tackled right after or during the catch--there just no room to gain extra yards. That's limiting his overall production.

2016 Week 11 vs WAS (5 / 3 / 28 / 1 rec)

It looked like Sunday night was going to be Nelson's big game. He had a touchdown pass which was knocked out of his hands but was ruled a catch after the fact despite the reality that had the play happened in the middle of the field, it would have been ruled incomplete. He was targeted four times in the first half and then only one more time--in the fourth quarter by backup Brett Hundley. This despite the fact that there were numerous times you could see Nelson open and either Rodgers looked elsewhere after he saw Nelson or never looked at his receiver at all. There have been plenty of times this season when it seems as if Rodgers won't pull the trigger on a Nelson pass, and Sunday night seemed no different. It could be that Rodgers got too focused on Jared Cook, who had a big game for the Packers. We'll have to see if defenses adjust to Cook, which might allow Nelson to get more targets.

2016 Week 10 vs TEN (18 / 12 / 126 / 1 rec)

Nelson had season highs in yards, receptions and targets, though that is admittedly a low bar this season. That said, he looked much more like his old self, despite Aaron Rodgers repeatedly throwing him bad passes early. Nelson was the one to break the scoring seal on a nice, short slant route into the end zone. Even that pass was a little off the mark, but Nelson reached out and hauled it in. Nelson also had a couple of big gains, one where he split the defenders perfectly and was wide open for a first down as well as a catch along the sideline where he reached out and snatched the ball before going out of bounds. In fairness, the Titans played much looser once they had a huge lead, and it was much easier for Nelson to find room to work. Still, Nelson looked better than he has in a long time.

2016 Week 9 vs IND (13 / 7 / 94 / 1 rec)

For Nelson, it's a good news/bad news situation. On the positive side, Nelson is getting a ton of targets and catching many of them. On the downside he is not separating on deep routes and even seems to struggle on shorter ones. His touchdown was classic Nelson-Rodgers, with Aaron Rodgers pulling the Colts defense offside with a hard count, then taking his free play and tossing a hail mary downfield. Nelson was running right to the end zone on a go route, and Rodgers put it up in the air to let Nelson make a play on the ball. He did and the Packers scored. Rodgers missed Nelson on a deep post route but Nelson didn't seem to be going full speed. Nelson fell down on an interception that was called back as well, negated because of offsetting penalties. While Nelson is still not getting consistent separation on deeper routes (and Rodgers misses him when he does), he has been doing better on short and intermediate routes, and fought very hard for first downs on several passes.

2016 Week 8 vs ATL (9 / 4 / 94 / 1 rec)

It's alive! Jordy Nelson had what was easily his most productive game of the year, though he still struggled as the game progressed. He started off with a huge 58-yard play on a beautiful Aaron Rodgers pass which dropped right into his hands without forcing him to break stride. Then Nelson ran a shallow cross in the red zone which took him into the end zone. No linebacker or safety stepped in to cover him and he was wide open for his first touchdown since Week 5. He also made an incredible catch late in the second quarter on a deep cross, where Rodgers threw behind him. Nelson reached back, juggled it a bit and hauled it in for a big game. Nelson did have a boneheaded play late in the game, as he caught a ball on a 3rd and 4, crossed the first down line but then backtracked and lost the first down. And some of the issues which have plagued him this season surfaced again, with tight coverage, an inability to gain separation and some off-target throws by Rodgers. Nelson had a better game than he has lately, but he's still struggling.

2016 Week 7 vs CHI (4 / 1 / 9 / 0 rec)

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers went to Nelson on back to back plays early in the game, the first going for 9 yards and a first down and the second just missing as Nelson couldn't keep both feet in bounds. Later in the first, Rodgers missed on a deep throw to Nelson, but his receiver drew a pass interference flag. Nelson was targeted one more time in the third (the fourth target was on a thrown away ball) but just couldn't hang onto the ball. There are times when Nelson looks good and healthy, but others where it seems clear he is not quite himself and we have no idea when he will be again.

2016 Week 6 vs DAL (7 / 5 / 68 / 0 rec)

The biggest play for Nelson was an ignominious one, as he made a nice grab downfield, and then coughed the ball up when he was hit, the first of several turnovers by the Packers offense on the day. Most of Nelson's damage came when the game was practically over and the Cowboys were just sitting back and giving the Packers yards. Unlike his previous games, Nelson failed to score a touchdown and was not even targeted in the red zone. Much of Nelson's issues came at the hands of his quarterback, who routinely threw too short, too long, too high, too low or too far to the side for Nelson to catch.

2016 Week 5 vs NYG (13 / 4 / 38 / 1 rec)

Nelson had a rough game, unable to haul in more than a fraction of his targets, struggling to create separation and generally not seeming to be on the same page as quarterback Aaron Rodgers. On the positive side, he made a really nice grab on a pass for a touchdown in the first quarter. On the play, Nelson forced the defender inside, and then drifted to the sideline of the end zone. Rodgers zipped a pass in and Nelson dove to catch it for the score. On the downside, Nelson was the cause of Rodgers' first interception as he crossed the field and was wide open, but couldn't haul in the pass. Instead it popped up and was easily picked off by the Giants. He also had several drops. It was not one of Nelson's better days. Neslon has scored in every game this season but is not consistently getting the yards we're used to seeing.

2016 Week 3 vs DET (7 / 6 / 101 / 2 rec)

While Jordy Nelson and Aaron Rodgers weren't perfect, that's just because the bar is so high. They still hooked up on nearly every attempt though, and two of the times were for touchdowns. After two weeks of shaky play, Rodgers and Nelson looked like what we were looking for, the tough duo that is hard to stop. The first time the two connected was late in the first quarter, when Nelson ran a bit of a crossing route which split the defenders up so that he was in the middle of open field between defenders. Rodgers hit him with a perfect pass and Nelson turned upfield and added about 25 yards after the catch. The two hooked up for the first of their two touchdowns a short time later. The Packers lined up with five wide receivers and Nelson was the inside receiver (often a running back and termed the "A" receiver) on the right side. Nelson's initial route was a simple hitch into the end zone, where he was double covered by the Lions. However, pressure forced Rodgers out of the pocket and both defenders moved up to go after the quarterback. Nelson drifted towards the middle of the field and waved to let his quarterback know he was wide open. Rodgers saw him and delivered the pass for the score. Their second connection was old-school Rodgers-Nelson, with Nelson just blowing by the defender and Rodgers laying it out in front of his receiver where nobody else can get the ball. The two were finally on the same page, something Packers fans have to be happy about.

2016 Week 2 vs MIN (11 / 5 / 73 / 1 rec)

It took three passes for the combination of Jordy Nelson and Aaron Rodgers to connect, but when they did it was for the sole passing touchdown of the day. The scoring play was on a simple out route by Nelson, where he faked inside, lost cornerback Trae Waynes, and was wide open when he went outside. Nelson also made a very nice grab over Waynes' arms when the corner was just a bit slow grabbing for the ball. While he got the best of Waynes on those two plays, both guys seemed to be evenly matched, and Nelson never really broke free of the cornerback's range. That certainly seemed to impact Nelson and Rodgers' ability to sync up, something which was an issue last week as well. Next week brings the mediocre secondary of the Lions, so we will see if this is a long term issue or just the quality of the opponents and the long layoff for Nelson.

2016 Week 1 vs JAX (9 / 6 / 32 / 1 rec)

Nelson and Aaron Rodgers eventually got back into rhythm on Sunday, but it took longer than expected and Nelson had zero first quarter targets. There were other shaky moments later in the game as Nelson at one point seemed to fail to come back to Rodgers on a route where the quarterback seemed to expect him to. However, the touchdown the two connected on was everything Rodgers missed last season. On the play, Rodgers was forced to scramble and Nelson stayed with the play, mirroring his quarterback as Rodgers moved to the right. Rodgers threaded the needle to his receiver and Nelson made a nice catch along the back of the end zone. While it might take a little while longer, it's clear that it is only a matter of time that Nelson and Rodgers are completely synced up again. The best news is he looks 100 percent healthy and showed no ill-effects from last season's injury and subsequent recovery.

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Latest News

Packers | Eight snags for Jordy Nelson (Tue Nov 29, 12:22 AM) - Green Bay Packers WR Jordy Nelson posted eight receptions for 91 yards in the Week 12 game against the Philadelphia Eagles Monday, Nov. 28. He was targeted 12 times.

link to story   

Green Bay Packers Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

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Monday Injury Rounds: Preseason Week 1
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Offseason Injury Rounds
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Schedule

13vs Houston Texans
14vs Seattle Seahawks
15@ Chicago Bears
16vs Minnesota Vikings
17@ Detroit Lions