RB Raheem Mostert - San Francisco 49ers
|5-10, 195||Born: 4-9-1992||College: Purdue||Drafted: ---|
News you need to know
From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Dec 9): Mostert still carries risk as part of a committee and one of his scores came on a trick play vs. the Saints, but he still has to be in lineups against the Falcons this week.
General News (Thu Dec 12): has "earned it over these last few weeks" and given the team "no choice" but to "give him more opportunities," according to head coach Kyle Shanahan.
Week 15: vs Atlanta Falcons
FBG says: Neutral matchup. The 49ers boast the league's second-most run-dominant offense, pounding the ball on 50% of their snaps; only the Ravens run it more. But that volume divvies up several ways each week, which works for coach Kyle Shanahan but limits the upside of all three relevant backs. Raheem Mostert has been a great story, running explosively (6.0 yards per rush) to the point of leading the backfield in snaps, carries, and yards over the past 2 weeks. Mostert's usage is likely capped around 10-12 rushes a week, but he's a flex consideration in fantasy with that wild efficiency. (It's likely not a fluke, either: Mostert put up 7.7 per carry in a change-of-pace role last season.) Matt Breida returned from injury last week and ran well, opening the day with a 28-yard scamper and ending with 54 on just 6 attempts. Breida is quick and dynamic, but spent last Sunday as Mostert's caddy and may stay in that role. He's a bit fragile, and Shanahan has rarely used him heavily. At the moment, Tevin Coleman isn't part of the festivities, with just 19 rushes for 51 yards over the past 3 weeks. Coleman drew just three carries in last Sunday's shootout, and he didn't do himself any favors by failing to convert a 3rd-and-1 chance. All told, this is one of football's most productive attacks, but it's never easy to nail down the distribution. That makes Mostert and Breida volatile, if high-upside, fantasy plays on any given week. The Atlanta run defense remains a relatively weak unit, and it's been beaten consistently on an efficiency level by good backs. But overall, there's been notable improvement throughout this group, and this isn't the cakewalk fantasy matchup it once was. Dating back to Week 5, only a single runner (Chris Carson) has cracked 70 yards against the Falcons, and they've done excellent work in bouts with Todd Gurley (18 for 41), David Johnson (12 for 34), and the red-hot Latavius Murray (9 for 14 over 2 games). Tackle Grady Jarrett remains a dominant force inside, routinely tying up blockers and blowing up plays in the backfield himself. And the linebackers are strong: Deion Jones has long been an active run-stopper, but De'Vondre Campbell has taken a big step forward this year. Overall, this matchup is nothing to fear for fantasy purposes, and Kyle Shanahan's attack does project well for Sunday. But the days of blindly plugging any Falcons opponent into a lineup are over, or at least on hold.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36
Raheem Mostert's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2019 Week 14 vs NO (10 / 69 / 1 rush, 2 / 2 / 40 / 1 rec)
Whether because the 49ers were in their 4-minute offense for most of the game or because Matt Breida still isn't full healthy, or because he's simply earned it, or all three, Mostert surprisingly played more snaps than Breida and Tevin Coleman combined. And has been the case in recent weeks, he delivered a slew of timely big plays. To wit, 6 of his 10 carries went for 5 yards or more, and one of his two catches went gained 35 yards. There were two pairs of back-to-back plays wherein Mostert's exploits led directly to touchdowns. Midway through the second quarter, with New Orleans having just gone ahead 27-14, Mostert took an outside zone handoff mostly untouched for 19 yards. On the ensuing first down, Kyle Shanahan dialed up the same exact play, except this time with a fake handoff to Mostert and a pitch to Emmanuel Sanders instead. Sanders then threw it Mostert on his wheel route for a 35-yard touchdown. In the fourth quarter, Mostert converted a 3rd-and-1 thanks to an option pitch from Kyle Juszczyk (of all people), and then ran in a touchdown from 10 yards out on the next play.
2019 Week 13 vs BAL (19 / 146 / 1 rush, 2 / 2 / 8 / 0 rec)
Mostert had four carries that went for 15 or more yards, accounting for 93 of his 146 total rushing yards. Rather than detailing anything specific about these four runs, it's more important to simply note that they involved the kinds of skills you also see from Matt Breida (i.e., seeing the cutback lanes on zone running plays; breaking tackles to maximize yardage after contact), but that you rarely see from Tevin Coleman.
2019 Week 12 vs GB (6 / 45 / 1 rush, 3 / 1 / 22 / 0 rec)
Mostert once again played the role of Matt Breida in San Francisco's offense. Over two-thirds of his yardage -- and his touchdown -- came on two plays during the same fourth quarter drive that put the 49ers up 37-8. The first gained 22 yards on 3rd-and-4 at midfield, with Mostert beating linebacker Blake Martinez one-on-one out of the backfield and catching a short pass across the middle with wide open room to run. On his touchdown to close the drive, although it was also impeccably blocked, Mostert broke three separte arm tackles over the course of its 15 yards.
2019 Week 11 vs ARI (6 / 13 / 0 rush, 3 / 2 / 14 / 0 rec)
Unfortunately, Mostert's passing-down role in place of Matt Breida, although placing him on the field more because of the 49ers being down most of the game, didn't result in touching the ball more because Jimmy Garoppolo was throwing downfield with reckless abandon.
2019 Week 3 vs PIT (12 / 79 / 0 rush, 1 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)
Mostert mostly played on third downs and when San Francisco went to 11 personnel (i.e., one running back, three wide receivers, one tight end). Other than a well-blocked 19-yard run midway through the fourth quarter, his performance was lackluster at best, losing a fumble inside the red zone and nearly losing another -- on a dropped pitch, no less -- on the 49ers' first drive.
2019 Week 2 vs CIN (13 / 83 / 0 rush, 4 / 3 / 68 / 1 rec)
Mostert actually out-snapped starter Matt Breida against Cincinnati. On his receiving touchdown, which came on a deceptive, one-lineman screen pass, Mostert scored because he had three blockers against three defenders in front of him, and linebacker Preston Brown, who actually went mostly unblocked, gave a lackluster effort in his tackle attempt. Similarly, Mostert's 20-yard run in the third quarter resulted from a wide-open running lane off right tackle, as well as a feeble tackle attempt by cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick. He even ran untouched for a 29-yard score that was nullified by penalty.
2019 Week 1 vs TB (9 / 40 / 0 rush, 1 / 1 / 0 / 0 rec)
Mostert entered midway through the second quarter in place of an injured Tevin Coleman and immediately scored a touchdown...that was nullified by penalty. The running lane outside was so wide open that Mostert probably would have scored anyway, but Richie James couldn't help himself from grabbing a fistful of jersey. Late in the fourth quarter, Mostert provided a run that went a long way towards putting the game away. Running out of the I, Mostert took the handoff and ran off left tackle. About 10 yards downfield, he lowered his shoulder and ran over safety Darian Stewart before finally being tackled 8 yards later. To add insult to potential injury, Stewart was flagged for initiating with his helmet, so the play actually netted San Francisco 33 yards and a first down at the Tampa Bay 31-yard line.
Latest News49ers | Raheem Mostert new leader of the pack (Thu Dec 12, 02:04 PM) - San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert has 'earned it over these last few weeks' and given the team 'no choice' but to 'give him more opportunities,' according to head coach Kyle Shanahan. Our View: Mostert is a high ceiling, low floor RB2 this week in a good matchup and momentum dictates that you break lineup setting ties in his favor since Shanahan is telling us he has emerged as the top back.
link to story 49ers | Raheem Mostert paces backfield again (Sun Dec 8, 08:04 PM) - San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert rushed 10 times for 69 yards and a touchdown, adding two catches, 40 yards and a receiving score on two targets at the New Orleans Saints in Week 14 on Sunday, Dec. 8. link to story 49ers | Raheem Mostert leads Niners backfield (Tue Dec 3, 09:09 PM) - San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert played 42 offensive snaps against the Baltimore Ravens Sunday, Dec. 1. RB Tevin Coleman played just 10 and RB Jeff Wilson Jr. played five. link to story 49ers | Raheem Mostert gobbles up 146 yards, TD (Sun Dec 1, 09:46 PM) - San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert posted career highs with 19 carries and 146 rushing yards in Week 13 against the Baltimore Ravens while finding the end zone once. He has scored touchdowns in consecutive games for the first time in his career, and his rushing yards were the most in a 49ers game since Carlos Hyde ran for 193 yards in 2016. link to story
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