QB Gardner Minshew - Jacksonville Jaguars

6-1, 225Born: 5-16-1996College: Washington StateDrafted: Round 6, pick 2019

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From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Dec 9): Minshew can't get the stink of the sinking Jaguars ship off of him for fantasy, but he faces a team that is playing as bad as they are in Oakland next week. He's a what the heck QB2/Superflex.

Week 15: at Oakland Raiders

All QB vs OAK

FBG says: Great matchup. Gardner Minshew had quite the uninspiring game for his first start back under center since Week 9 for the Jaguars, passing for just 162 yards and a touchdown last week as he was completely unwilling to throw a deep ball. Last week was certainly a contrast from what Minshew displayed earlier this season, as he was no stranger to taking deep shots at his big-bodied wide receivers. Minshew will be without one of those receivers though, as top target D.J. Chark may have caught his last pass this season. Chark suffered a foot injury in last week's game and will be unavailable this week. This leaves Dede Westbrook as the next best option as he should slide into Chark's position with Conley lining up opposite him. Westbrook has battled injuries of his own this season, but he has seen at least seven targets in three straight games and should offer a decent option on the outside. Leonard Fournette is the other primary target for Minshew, especially if those underneath passing routes continue to prevail in the minds of Jacksonville play-callers. Fournette has been on fire as a receiver this season and should continue to be a focal point of this entire offense. The Raiders have consistently been one of the worst teams in football against the pass. They have coughed up the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, the second-most passing touchdowns (30), the highest average yards per pass play (8.6) to opposing passing offenses. Big plays have been a problem for this defense as they lead the league in explosive passing plays allowed, giving up 63 receptions of 20 or more yards and 15 receptions of 40 or more yards. Slot receivers have given Jacksonville fits as cornerback Lamarcus Joyner has been the weakest link in this secondary. This will bode well for Dede Westbrook if the Jaguars can rotate him into his usual slot position this week, but Westbrook will likely run more routes on the outside in place of the injured D.J. Chark. Leonard Fournette should also have a great chance at making plays through the air this week, as these Raiders linebackers have been terrible in pass coverage while the entire defense has struggled to effectively tackle. The defensive line has done a decent job at applying pressure and should be an even match for the Jaguars in the trenches, but nothing else about this passing matchup is even as Gardner Minshew should have plenty of opportunities to get back on track this week.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLPts
11 at IND 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 at TEN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 vs TB 45 16 27 147 1 1 2 8 0 0 10.15
14 vs LAC 66 24 37 162 1 0 6 31 0 0 15.2
15 at OAK PROJ-Dodds * 22 35 * * * 4 * * * *
15 at OAK PROJ-Tremblay * 22 36 * * * 4 * * * *
15 at OAK PROJ-Bloom * 20 32 * * * 5 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs QB 1, QB 12, QB 24

Percentile ranks

Gardner Minshew's percentile rank in each category, among QB with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2019 Week 14 vs LAC (24 / 37 / 162 / 1 / 0 pass, 6 / 31 / 0 rush)

Minshew was difficult to evaluate in this game. Was all the underneath passing by design, or was he unwilling to really test the Chargers intermediate or deep? Was offensive coordinator John DeFilipo spooked by the Chargers pass rush or was Minshew? He passed up a potential throw to a wide-open DJ Chark on a corner route to check the ball down to Leonard Fournette. His mobility is an asset. With so many quick/3-step concepts, he knows to bail and improvise is the original concept isn't open as opposed to just holding the ball and taking a sack. His improvisation led mostly to scrambles/rushes however, instead of moving and trying to find an open man. He did keep his eyes downfield after shrugging off a sack on his touchdown pass to Nick O'Leary late in the 3rdquarter.

2019 Week 13 vs TB (16 / 27 / 147 / 1 / 1 pass, 2 / 8 / 0 rush)

It became too much for Marrone to leave Gardner Minshew II on the bench. The Jacksonville home crowd chanted for Minshew throughout the first half, and Marrone made the call to go back to his rookie quarterback hoping he could provide a spark to a stagnant offense. Minshew didn't produce much, going only 16-of-27 passing for 147 yards with a touchdown and interception, but he entered the game when it was 25-0 and was still able to provide some short of spark. Minshew was accurate and quick with his release and, unlike Foles, made up for some of the OL's shortcomings with his ability to extend plays inside and outside of the pocket. His touchdown capped a four-play, 54-yard drive that saw him throw a beautiful 39-yard Bomb to DJ Chark to get the team into scoring position. His interception came when the score was 25-11 and the offense was at the Buccaneers' one-yard line, a result of a pass going off of Dede Westbrook's hands and falling to a defender. Minshew wasn't flawless, as he still missed a number of throws and nearly had a few other turnovers, but he was unquestionably better than Foles was.

2019 Week 9 vs HOU (27 / 47 / 309 / 0 / 2 pass, 4 / 34 / 0 rush)

With Nick Foles' imminent return to practice, Minshew had an opportunity to take the starting job for good against Houston. Overall, he looked very much like a rookie sixth rounder. In his defense, the Texans seemed extremely well-prepared for the Jaguar offense. The Texans were all over the Jaguars' two-man route combinations from two-back sets. Coverage overall on the back end seemed to hold up well, as Minshew clearly wasn't comfortable with what he was seeing. Any positive plays they had came off improvisation, and the team had no down-to-down consistency at all. Once the game script got out of hand in the second half, and the Jaguars were forced to throw often, the wheels came off the passing offense. Everything turned into improvisation instead of playing within structure, and the result was a boatload of negative plays (sacks and turnovers). His interceptions looked to be straight up inaccurate throws, with the ball sailing high over his receiver on both.

2019 Week 8 vs NYJ (22 / 34 / 279 / 3 / 0 pass, 8 / 28 / 0 rush)

Gardner Minshew had his worst two-game stretch in Weeks 6 & 7, but he rebounded in Week 8 and had perhaps his best performance all season. He finished the game 22/34 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, and also added on 28 yards on the ground. It was Minshew's first three-touchdown game of his career and it was a result of a drastic improvement in pocket movement and awareness from the rookie. Instead of getting happy feet and bailing from pressure too early, he stayed tough in the pocket, set his feet and delivered strike after strike. He saw mostly man coverage on Sunday and was able to hit his wideouts with both touch and velocity passes to take advantage of open windows. His three touchdowns were the result of good chemistry between him and his wide receivers, as well as a keen ability to extend plays and create positive gains when the structure of a play breakdown. The best examples of these were Minshew's second and third touchdowns -- a 70-yard pass to Chris Conley and a eight-yard yard pass to DJ Chark. On the pass to Conley, Minshew was designed to sprint out to his right but a blitzing Jamal Adams met him on the edge. He sidestepped Adams and then threw a touch pass to Conley while on the move, with Conley taking the catch all the way for a score. On the throw to Chark, Minshew once again evaded Jets defenders but this time it was more than just ont blitzing safety. As the play progressed, no receivers found themselves open so Minshew broke to his right. He was met in space by two Jets defenders but was able to find space behind the LOS to avoid them before tossing a perfelctly placed pass to Chark for a score.

2019 Week 7 vs CIN (15 / 32 / 255 / 1 / 0 pass, 9 / 48 / 0 rush)

Gardner Minshew had somewhat of a bounce-back game compared to his putrid performance against the New Orleans Saints in Week 7. He finished the game with a meager 15/32, but threw for 255 yards and one touchdown without any turnovers.  He delivered mostly accurate passes to all levels of the field on Sunday, especially on inside breaking routes over the middle. Thanks to this, he threw five passes that gained 20+ yards. He was let down by a few drops, but the team's lone offensive touchdown was a perfectly placed touched pass to Keelan Cole in the corner of the end zone.  But some of the negatives were still there. Minshew bailed from far too many clean pockets when there was no need to, and too many times he did not let his feet settle down before he threw a pass. He has looked jittery the last 2 weeks and will need to fix this moving forward to improve his completion percentage and overall effectiveness.  He did once again provide some fantasy value with his running ability, totaling 48 yards on nine carries. When defenses aren't playing contain, he has the ability to hurt them with his legs.

2019 Week 6 vs NO (14 / 29 / 163 / 0 / 1 pass, 2 / 1 / 0 rush)

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew had by far his worst game of the season thanks to the way the Saints defense played him. They confused him with pre-snap looks and then contained him inside of the pocket, preventing him from extending plays and giving his wideouts more time to get open. He had been successful playing a backyard style in previous weeks, but the Saints defense simply did not let that happen. Most of the success in previous weeks has been due to defenses predominantly running single high coverage, allowing him to connect with DJ Chark successfully in one-on-one matchups. Minshew finished the game 14/29 passing for 163 yards with an interception. It was the first time in his NFL career that he ended a game without throwing a touchdown, and it was clear from the game's first drive that he was going to struggle on Sunday.  Moving forward Minshew will have to improve his happy feet in the pocket when he feels like scrambling and extending a play. Instead he needs to stand firm in the pocket and take what the defenses give him. On Sunday, he failed to do this.

2019 Week 5 vs CAR (26 / 44 / 374 / 2 / 0 pass, 7 / 42 / 0 rush)

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew continued his hot streak against the Panthers, dissecting†one of the NFL's top pass defenses throughout the game and making†big play after big play for the Jacksonville offense. He finished the game 26/44 passing for 374 yards and two touchdowns and threw three passes for 20+ yards. As a passer, he showed great accuracy to the outside and on his deep ball and once again made defenders look silly when evading them in the pocket on a few occasions.†He and DJ Chark continue to show a great connection, with the two of them continuing to hook up deep when they get single man coverage on the outside. On the other hand, Minshew was pressing a bit when it came to making those types of plays in the pocket and this led to one of his fumbles. Too often he was trying to do too much and was not focusing on ball security. As for his other fumbles, one came on a muffed handoff and another was due to left guard Andrew Norwell being pushed into his lap as he was attempting a pass. Minshew showed more good than bad on Sunday, but the ball security needs to improve.

2019 Week 4 vs DEN (19 / 33 / 213 / 2 / 0 pass, 1 / 2 / 0 rush)

He took the Jaguars down the field on his second drive, picking up 50 yards through the air (one of them downfield to DJ Chark that would have been a huge play if not for pass interference). The drive stalled out inside the five however, and the Jaguars settled for a field goal. For the remainder of the first half, Minshew was under siege. The Jaguars could not block the Broncos' defensive front, allowing Denver to get their first three sacks of the season. He also almost threw an interception with 2:30 left in the first half on a target intended for Jeff Swaim. After Ronnie Harrison intercepted a Joe Flacco pass on the next drive, Minshew led a field goal drive that started with 43 seconds remaining in the first half. He started with some short passes to Dede Westbrook and Geoff Swaim. On the third play, he threw a perfect ball to DJ Chark on a vertical route for a touchdown. However, it was erased because of an Illegal Hands to the Face penalty on left tackle Cam Robinson. The penalty stalled the drive out, and the Jags were forced to settle for a field goal. While he did not put up huge passing numbers in the second half, he was a Houdini in the pocket ń routinely breaking the grasp of sacks to move around and find open receivers. The first came on a huge 3rd and 14 conversion, where he slipped a sack, rolled to his right, and threw back over the middle of the field to find Keelan Cole for the first down. On the touchdown pass that capped the drive off, he escaped two potential sacks while inside the pocket. He made subtle movements to evade and reset in very compressed space, never dropped his eyes, and found Ryquell Armstead wide open in the endzone after he converted his route upfield while Minshew was avoiding the rush. After struggling for most of the day on third down, he made two 3rd and medium conversions on a drive in the fourth quarter, a Shallow Cross to Marqise Lee and a quick Slant to DJ Chark. On the first play of the game-winning drive, he got hit in the legs, barely getting the ball off and getting up in obvious pain. On the next play, he got stripsacked from behind. He had the cognizance to pick the ball back up and get a pass off, getting crushed on the attempt, but making a short completion to DJ Chark (also drawing a Roughing the Passer in the process). He then hit Dede Westbrook for a Deep Out followed by a Comeback route to Chris Conley to get the ball into Josh Lambo's range for the game-winning field goal.

2019 Week 3 vs TEN (20 / 30 / 204 / 2 / 0 pass, 4 / 18 / 0 rush)

He started off fast, going 8/9 with two touchdowns. Picked up four after not seeing anything open down the field on his first dropback. He showed he has the ability to throw to the outside quadrants of the field, provided he can get his feet set. He hit a Deep Out to the short side of the field on 2nd and long on the first drive. He failed his first third down of the game, sailing the pass (an open quick Flat to James O'Shaughnessy). He made up for it on his next throw. An Adoree Jackson fumble gave the Jaguars the ball at the Tennessee 7-yard line. They ran a play-action fake and Minshew hit O'Shaughnessy for a wide-open touchdown. On the Jaguars' next drive, he made two fantastic throws to move the ball downfield for a touchdown. The first was Corner route to the wide-side of the field. He passed up a more open underneath target and opted to throw to a more covered Dede Westbrook, laying the ball up just over the coverage where only Westbrook could get it. A few plays later, he threw a 22-yard touchdown pass to DJ Chark on a fade route vs man coverage. Minshew dropped the ball in a bucket. The offense mostly stalled out for the remainder of the half. On the first play of the second half, Minshew again hit DJ Chark on a perfectly thrown fade off of play action. After that, the offense mostly slogged through the second half. He did make a key 3rd and 10 conversion on a Comeback along the left sideline to DJ Chark, they key play on a drive that ended with a field goal and put the game away for good.

2019 Week 2 vs HOU (23 / 33 / 213 / 1 / 0 pass, 6 / 56 / 0 rush)

Minshew's biggest struggles in his first career start came when the Texans were able to pressure him. Whether by sending extra blitzes or Whitney Mercilus whipping the left side of the offensive line, the Texans were in Minshew's face early and often. The pressure forced Minshew to rush an early throw to a wide open DJ Chark, with the pass falling incomplete despite the nearest defender several yards away from Chark. Minshew also fumbled three times, losing one of them, partially due to holding onto the ball too long and partially due to poor blocking. On the other hand, Minshew showed great poise and accuracy throughout the game. He escaped pressure to pick a first down with his legs on two pivotal third downs and one 4th and 10 at the end of the game. When throwing the ball, Minshew really didn't throw an inaccurate pass outside of his miss to Chark and another miss to Leonard Fournette our of the backfield. His downfield accuracy was on point and he gave his wideouts a chance to get yards after the catch. Minshew finished the game 23/33 passing for 213 yards and a touchdown pass. He needs to cleanup the fumbling issues, but he showed more food than bad in week 2.

2019 Week 1 vs KC (22 / 25 / 275 / 2 / 1 pass, 1 / 6 / 0 rush)

Minshew played most of the game in relief of Nick Foles and the sixth-round puck exceeded all expectations. After struggling with composure and accuracy in the preseason, Minshew looked calm, cool and collected at all points vs. the Chiefs, which is impressive considering he came off of the bench cold. He ended the game 22/25 for two touchdowns and one interception, which bounced off of Leonard Fournette's hands. If Minshew can continue to show good decision making and an ability to distribute the ball, the offense might not falter as much as some say during his rookie year.

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Latest News

Jaguars | Gardner Minshew so-so in lineup return (Sun Dec 8, 09:32 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew completed 24-of-37 passes for 162 yards, one touchdowns and no interceptions in Week 14 against the Los Angeles Chargers in his return as a starter.

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Jaguars | Gardner Minshew back in the saddle (Mon Dec 2, 02:04 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew was named the starting quarterback by head coach Doug Marrone for Week 14 versus the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday, Dec. 2, taking over for Nick Foles.

Our View: Foles couldn't get it done against the Buccaneers, so Marrone is going with the rookie. Perhaps that has ruffled some feathers with Tom Coughlin, so Marrone may be coaching his last few games with the Jaguars over the course of the next month.
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Jaguars | Gardner Minshew throws for 147 yards (Sun Dec 1, 06:32 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew went 16-for-27 for 147 yards, one touchdown and one interception against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 13 after replacing QB Nick Foles.

Our View: We can't be sure if the Jaguars will play Minshew or Nick Foles next week, or who the head coach will be. It's better for the Jaguars fantasy options if Minshew plays.
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Jaguars | Nick Foles benched (Sun Dec 1, 03:06 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Nick Foles was benched during the Week 13 game and has been replaced by QB Gardner Minshew.

Our View: Foles was terrible early, giving up the ball three times to Tampa Bay. He hasn't looked good since he returned. The Jaguars committed a lot of guaranteed money to him but he's their second best quarterback. We'll see who starts against the Chargers next week, but you should hope for Minshew if you rely on any Jaguars in your lineup.
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Jacksonville Jaguars Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

The Top 10: Week 14
  Matt Waldman - December 2
The Best of Footballguys Week 13
  Matt Waldman - November 29
The Gut Check No.493: The Backdoor Playoff Crew
  Matt Waldman - November 20
The Best of Footballguys Week 11
  Matt Waldman - November 15
Roundtable Week 10
  FBG Staff - November 6
Roundtable Week 9
  FBG Staff - October 30
The Best of Footballguys Week 8
  Matt Waldman - October 24
The Top 10: Week 6
  Matt Waldman - October 7
Roundtable Week 5
  FBG Staff - October 2
The Top 10: Week 5
  Matt Waldman - September 30

Schedule

15@ Oakland Raiders
16@ Atlanta Falcons
17vs Indianapolis Colts