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WR Braxton Miller - Houston Texans

6-1, 201Born: 11-30-1992College: Ohio St.Drafted: Round 3

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Photo: Brace Hemmelgarn, US Presswire

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Week 12: at Baltimore Ravens

All WR vs BAL

FBG says: Tough matchup. The Texans offense, once flying high under rookie passer Deshaun Watson, has predictably stalled with Tom Savage under center. Savage simply doesn't look equipped to quarterback on this level: he lacks real feel for the pocket and pressure, absorbing untimely sacks and throwing with terrible rhythm. He's also a turnover machine, with three interceptions and a seemingly-impossible seven fumbles over just five appearances. Across 3 starts since Watson's injury, Savage has completed just 52.7% of his throws for a Blaine Gabbert-esque 4.61 adjusted net yards per attempt. It's encouraging at least that he knows where his bread buttered: top wideout DeAndre Hopkins is still drawing a relentless target share (34.8% since Watson's injury), so Savage is at least maximizing his ability by putting his faith into the Texans' best player. But since we can't expect any real efficiency or Watson-esque dynamism from a Savage-led offense, Hopkins is essentially the only fantasy-worthy play here - at least until the mega-explosive Will Fuller returns, which could be this week. Even then, though, it's hard to project Savage's awful mechanics and scattershot arm to extend beyond Hopkins. DeAndre Hopkins has been an All-Pro-caliber receiver all year, but he'll have his Week 12 hands full with cornerback Jimmy Smith, who's been fantastic all year, and rookie Marlon Humphrey on the other side. The Ravens' real vulnerability lies inside, where slot man Lardarius Webb and the team's athletically challenged linebackers and safeties struggle mightily in coverage. This subsection has settled down a bit of late, even denying breakout slot stud Adam Thielen a strong day (41 yards on 12 targets) in Week 7, but remains the key to success against the Ravens defense. Quick throws to the slot also help neutralize the Ravens' dynamic pass rush. For Texans quarterback Tom Savage, of course, quick reads and throws are generally foreign; prepare for Savage to try and test the outside guys with Hopkins (and perhaps Will Fuller) on downfield routes. That would make for a truly boom-or-bust outlook in this matchup - and given Savage's awful play thus far, it's fair to side with the Ravens and project modest Houston passing numbers.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
8 at SEA 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 at LAR 20 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1
11 vs ARI 61 0 0 0 3 2 14 0 0 1.4
12 at BAL PROJ-Dodds * 0 * * 1 * * * *
12 at BAL PROJ-Tremblay * 0 * * 1 * * * *
12 at BAL PROJ-Bloom * 0 * * 2 * * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2017 Week 2 vs CIN (3 / 2 / 10 / 0 rec)

Miller started the game with a drop on a 9 route when he went vertical and it was a tough catch but he should have still come up with it. Miller caught two passes on the day for 10 yards but they were on simple rollouts where Watson was looking to get the chains moving. Miller is getting plenty of snaps on the field but no real targets with everything going through Hopkins.

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Houston Texans Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

Dynasty New You Can Use, Preseason Volume 9
  Jeff Tefertiller - August 7
Week 1 Training Camp Roundup
  Sigmund Bloom - August 3
Top 200 Dynasty WR Pre-Free Agency
  Sigmund Bloom - February 23
Campfire Chat: Best-ball Players
  FBG Staff - August 14
The Gut Check No. 405: 10 Potential Training Camp Risers
  Matt Waldman - July 24
Dynasty Rundown: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends, Class of '16
  Justin Howe - February 17
SFB Running Diary II
  Justin Howe - July 16
SFB7 Running Diary III
  Justin Howe - July 20
Post-Draft 2017 Quarterback Tier Rankings
  Ari Ingel - May 4
Post-Draft 2017 Wide Receiver Tier Rankings
  Ari Ingel - May 28

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Unreliable Red Zone Receivers
  Raymond Summerlin - July 3
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  Evan Silva - July 4
Workload Projections: AFC
  Doug Orth - August 1
Ranking every NFL team's third wide receiver
  Mike Clay - August 2
Evaluating fantasy running backs in subpar offenses
  Alex Gelhar - August 7
Wide receiver target distribution for all 32 teams
  Alex Gelhar - August 7
Fantasy Observations: Preseason Week 2 (Part 2)
  Will Weiler - August 21
Silva's PPR Tiers & Rankings
  Evan Silva - August 20
Fantasy schedule impact: Receivers
  David Dorey - August 17

Schedule

12@ Baltimore Ravens
13@ Tennessee Titans
14vs San Francisco 49ers
15@ Jacksonville Jaguars
16vs Pittsburgh Steelers
17@ Indianapolis Colts