FBG says: Bad matchup. The Bills sport an above-average rushing offense led by contributions both from their running backs and quarterback, averaging 128.7 rushing yards per game (8th) while finding the end zone 11 times despite leading the league with nine fumbles. Devin Singletary has led the team in carries in each of his past four games, averaging 5.0 yards per carry over that span. Volume has been a big concern for Singletary though, as he has received just eight or fewer carries in three of his five games since returning from injury in Week 7. Frank Gore remains involved just enough to take some carries from Singletary, but both his snap count and productivity have fallen off cliffs as he no longer presents much value from a fantasy perspective. Quarterback Josh Allen has been prolific as a runner though, ranking third in rushing yards (331) amongst quarterbacks while leading his position with seven rushing touchdowns--including four in the past three weeks. Allen has rushed for at least 25 yards in all but two games while scoring a rushing touchdown in 6-of-10 games this season and should continue to add plenty of value to this offense with his legs.
Denver had one of their most impressive performances of the season against the run last week as they shut down the league's leading rusher (prior to last week) Dalvin Cook, allowing just 26 rushing yards on 11 carries. While game script was in their favor, this group allowed practically no room for Cook to run. This has been the story as of late for the Broncos, as they have given up just 58 rushing yards per game and the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game (non-PPR scoring) to opposing running backs since Week 5--which includes games very talented runners such as Melvin Gordon, Derrick Henry, Marlon Mack, Nick Chubb, and now Dalvin Cook--none of whom exceeded 4.0 yards per rush attempt or 76 rushing yards. Shelby Harris has been just dominant on this offensive line while A.J. Johnson is developing into one of the premier run-stopping middle linebackers in the league based on the few games in which he has played. Johnson has also played a key part in bottling up opposing quarterbacks, as the Broncos have yet to allow a rushing touchdown to a quarterback while very few quarterbacks have even been allowed to break free for a run of more than eight yards. The Bills rushing offense--Josh Allen included--will have all they can handle in this one.