WR Jeremy Maclin - Kansas City Chiefs
|6-0, 198||Born: 5-11-1988||College: Missouri||Drafted: Round 1, pick 19|
News you need to know
From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Oct 17): This is doomsday scenario for Maclin owners. The Chiefs defense is coming along just as they are getting back Justin Houston, and the running game has two running backs better than a lot of team's #1s. Maclin will be limited by a conservative low volume passing game. He's just a low ceiling WR3/Flex right now.
Week 7: vs New Orleans Saints
Mark and Joe say: Great matchup. Alex Smith and company had a sweet passing matchup last week, and the Chiefs...ran the football all day long. Smith managed 19/22 for 224 yards passing, zero TDs and interceptions, with one sack taken for -1 yards while the running backs racked up 40/183/3. Jeremy Maclin led the team in receiving with three targets for 3/49/0 to his credit, followed by Spencer Ware (two for 2/32/0) and then Travis Kelce (three for 3/32/0). Nobody else on the team went over 30 yards receiving, though Smith did hit nine different receivers among his 19 completions. This approach wins games in the real NFL, but leaves fantasy owners invested in the K.C. passing attack less-than-enthused. The Saints' pass defense allowed 303 net yards, two TDs and one interception to Cam Newton last weekend, with two sacks recorded for -19 yards - no surprise here as New Orleans averages 301.6 net passing yards per game (31st in the NFL) with seven passing scores given out vs. a mere two interceptions and just nine sacks recorded this year (tied for last and 25th in the NFL, respectively). From Week Four to Week Six of the 2016 season (over the last three weeks), New Orleans has averaged 26.1 fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks (third-most in the NFL); and 26.8 fantasy points per game allowed to wide receivers (seventh-most); with 14.9 fantasy points given up per game to tight ends (third-most). This is another great matchup for Smith and company, but the rushing matchup is also attractive so if history is any guide don't get too excited about what the Chiefs will do in this phase of the game.
Recent Stats and Projections
Recent Game Summaries
2016 Week 6 vs OAK (3 / 3 / 49 / 0 rec)
In many fantasy circles, Maclin was being highly touted as a receiver with the chance to exceed value due to an advantageous matchup in a game that should see its fair share of points. Maclin has been consistent this year, but he has yet to have a monster game that separates him from other #3 wide receivers. That game did not come on Sunday, despite Maclin having a great matchup against a beatable cornerback in DJ Hayden. Maclin caught three passes for 49 yards on four targets, which was below his season averages of five catches for 61 yards on nine targets. As mentioned above, he was able to abuse Hayden when he tried to play press coverage on Maclin. Maclin beat him quite easily off the line of scrimmage and had a step on him down the right sideline where Smith hit him in perfect stride for a 38 yard gain. Had Maclin seen 10 targets, he very likely would have turned in a seven catch, 100 yard game with the good possibility of a touchdown scored. Maclin though, is a victim of circumstance and he is hamstrung by the fact that his offense is a low-risk ball control offense that does not take shots down the field. Even more troubling is Maclin came into the game catching only 54% of his passes, and this is due in large part to the type of routes that Maclin is being asked to run. No longer is he seeing high percentage targets on screens and digs, where he can create yards after the catch. He is running more routes toward the middle of the field, with slants and in-routes in the intermediate passing game being a high percentage of his targets. This is why despite leading the team in targets (40), Maclin has caught two fewer passes than Travis Kelce, who has seen eight fewer targets than Maclin.
2016 Week 4 vs PIT (8 / 5 / 78 / 0 rec)
Maclin was expected to be very busy on Sunday night, playing against a Steelers secondary that has allowed opposing #1 receivers to score 3.7 points above their average over the last year. Maclin responded with a solid, if unspectacular game, which is sort of how his season has gone through week four weeks. Maclin started off the game with a fifteen yard catch which seemed to be a sign off good things to come. He settled into a spot in the middle of the Steelers zone coverage, before turning the ball up-field and adding another seven yards after the catch. Maclin was very productive when given the opportunity, as all of his catches when for double digit yardage, finishing with receptions of 15, 20, 16, 13 and 14 yards, respectively. Maclin continues to be the most heavily targeted receiver in the Chiefs offense, but his week to week value is still at the mercy of whether or not he scores touchdowns.
2016 Week 3 vs NYJ (7 / 4 / 35 / 0 rec)
Maclin was used mostly on very short passes and couldn't convert his two deep targets into catches because he didn't create separation. With the nature of the Chiefs offense, he is only going to be a good play when they face an opponent who scores enough to force them to open up the passing game.
2016 Week 2 vs HOU (15 / 6 / 68 / 0 rec)
In what has become a nearly every week trend throughout Jeremy Maclin's tenure with the Chiefs, he led the team in catches, yards and targets. Maclin finished with six catches for 68 yards, but the bad news is that it took 16 targets for him to achieve those totals. Maclin was hamstrung by Smith's time to throw, as although he was targeted 16 times, roughly half of his incompletions (by my count) were off target and hardly catchable balls for Maclin. He continues to be a high volume target that should see his yardage and touchdown totals climb as the year goes on.
2016 Week 1 vs SD (7 / 5 / 63 / 1 rec, 1 / -1 / 0 rush)
Maclin is the clear number one receiver for this team and showed it by reeling in 5 catches for 63 yards and a touchdown. Maclin is a quick hitting receiver that can take the top off a defense or run by you after catching that short screen. Maclin's 19-yard touchdown brought the Chiefs within 10 in the fourth quarter and was monumental in the comeback. There was one scary moment when Maclin left the game after taking a shot to the head, but he was able to return and did not show any concussion symptoms. With no clear number two receiver, Maclin figures to see the bulk of the targets going forward.
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|7||vs New Orleans Saints|
|8||@ Indianapolis Colts|
|9||vs Jacksonville Jaguars|
|10||@ Carolina Panthers|
|11||vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers|
|12||@ Denver Broncos|
|13||@ Atlanta Falcons|
|14||vs Oakland Raiders|
|15||vs Tennessee Titans|
|16||vs Denver Broncos|
|17||@ San Diego Chargers|