FBG says: Tough matchup. Kyler Murray has had a few dazzling rookie moments, but he's coming fresh off a horrendous two-game stretch of play. He's produced just 150 and 163 yards in those two, good for an anemic 4.7 yards per attempt. To be fair, though, both came in tough matchups, and Murray clearly wasn't operating at 100% (hamstring) last Sunday. His throws were off-balance and errant for most of the day, and he couldn't get anything going beyond quick-hitters to Larry Fitzgerald. It also doesn't help that his receiving corps, as currently constituted, lacks real downfield ability. Target leaders Fitzgerald (10.6 yards per catch), Christian Kirk (10.8), and Pharoh Cooper (9.2) provide little beyond short routes under the defense. As a result, Murray simply doesn't boast much pass-game upside. Dating back to Week 3, he's averaged just 6.6 yards per attempt (221 per game), and he's gone touchdown-less 5 times. Luckily for the fantasy world, his volume is at least strong enough to carry his rushing production into QB1 relevance. It's just not wise to chase his receivers, who enter every matchup with low floors and ceilings.
On paper, the Pittsburgh pass defense has been in top form here in 2019. They've allowed just 6.9 yards per attempt and 234 per game, and they haven't let an opponent reach 250 since Week 6. Still, it has to be noted that they've faced a dismal slate of opposing quarterbacks over that span. In fact, only a single one of the seven (Ryan Fitzpatrick) currently sits top-15 in QBR. Of course, the Steelers hold their own in those matchups, which can't be taken away. Outside cornerbacks Steven Nelson and Joe Haden have quietly made up one of 2019's most underrated pairs. And new free safety Minkah Fitzpatrick has been an All Pro-caliber playmaker. Their jobs are made even easier by a swarming pass rush that ranks second in pressure rate and third in sacks. It's fair to speculate on how this group would fare against a great passer, and they were indeed shredded early in the season by Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. But it's certainly a disruptive enough unit to harass a rookie into a bad day, locked into the slots and unable to open up down the field.