RB John Kelly - Los Angeles Rams

5-9, 212Born: 10-4-1996College: TennesseeDrafted: Round 6, pick 2018

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Photo: Kirby Lee, US Presswire

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Week 14: vs Seattle Seahawks

All RB vs SEA

FBG says: Neutral matchup. Todd Gurley's playing time and involvement in Los Angeles' offense has ticked back up in recent weeks, and he is nearing in on his bell-cow-like usage of years past. Although the Rams' rushing attack is a low-volume unit, their propensity to run the ball in the red zone has led to 14 rushing touchdowns, the 5th-most in the NFL, in spite of their lackluster efficiency totals. Gurley neared in on his first 100-yard rushing day of the season last week, but in a 34-7 blowout of the Arizona Cardinals, he and many other starters exited the game early, leaving him with 95 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries, good for 5.0 yards per carry on the day. As the Rams fight for the final wild-card spot in the NFC, there is no need to preserve Gurley for the playoffs, as they do not know if they will ultimately make it there. Expect his playing time and usage totals to continue to trend upwards, although a weak offensive line will likely limit his production in tough matchups like this one against Seattle's top-tier run defense. Seattle's run defense is littered with top-tier run-defending talent, and thanks to their run-heavy offense that eats away at the clock and puts opponents behind the proverbial eight-ball, they typically face very little rushing volume each week. The Seahawks have defended the third-fewest rushing attempts in the NFL through 12 games this season; however, due to a tough schedule of opposing run offenses, their rushing totals allowed are less-than-stellar. The Seahawks rank in the middle of the pack, allowing the 15th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, thanks to 13 rushing touchdowns, the 6th-most in the league on 4.6 yards per carry, the 10th-most in the league. The run-stopping talent throughout Seattle's defense resembles an above-average run defense, and they will likely trend in that direction down the stretch against the weaker rushing attacks of Los Angeles and Arizona in two of their last four games. Along the defensive line, Jadeveon Clowney sets the tone on the edge as one of the league's best all-around defensive linemen, while a plethora of interior linemen, including Jarran Reed, Al Woods, Quinton Jefferson, and Poona Ford, do an exceptional job of clogging up the middle. At linebacker, Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright more-than-make-up-for their shortcomings in coverage with their consistent and elite run-stopping production. Wagner grades as one of the NFL's best run-stopping linebackers year after year, and 2019 has been no different on that front. Lastly, in the secondary, a mid-season trade brought Quandre Diggs into town, a safety known for his run-stopping prowess. While he has struggled throughout his first three games for Seattle, expect positive regression out of the young defensive back, bolstering an already talented run defense. Todd Gurley and the Rams will have their work cut out for themselves in Week 14, attempting to mount a viable rushing attack against the Seahawks. Seattle's definitive advantage in the trenches could make for a long day at the office for Gurley, leaving the odds stacked against him notching his first 100-yard rushing day of the 2019 season.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
11 vs CHI 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0

Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36

Percentile ranks

John Kelly's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.

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Schedule

14vs Seattle Seahawks
15@ Dallas Cowboys
16@ San Francisco 49ers
17vs Arizona Cardinals