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QB Colin Kaepernick - San Francisco 49ers

6-4, 233Born: 10-3-1987College: NevadaDrafted: Round 2

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Photo: Kyle Terada, US Presswire

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News you need to know

From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Nov 28): Kaepernick keeps converting as a high floor streaming QB option, and in Week 12, he added another floor on the penthouse to expand his ceiling. This week against Chicago, he should be a top-end streaming option, if not a straight up QB1.

General News (Tue Nov 29): has 1,110 passing yards and eight touchdowns on 145 passing attempts over his last four games, and all of which are the highest four-game totals of his career. Also, Kaepernick is averaging 62.2 yards per game on the ground. In total, Kaepernick has 373 rushing yards on 46 attempts, including one touchdown. "He's out there, he's in control and when he sees an opportunity he's taken advantage of it," offensive coordinator Curtis Modkins said.

Week 13: at Chicago Bears

All QB vs CHI

Mark and Joe say: Good matchup. Colin Kaepernick accounted for 399 yards of offense last week at Miami (29/46 for 296 yards passing, three TDs and one interception thrown, with 10/113/0 rushing to his credit) while taking two sacks for -14 yards. 'He's out there, he's in control and when he sees an opportunity he's taken advantage of it,' offensive coordinator Curtis Modkins said on Tuesday, November 29. He spread the passes among nine different receivers, with Vance McDonald leading the way (eight targets for 4/60/0 receiving) in both targets and receiving yards - meanwhile, Carlos Hyde (six for 5/30/1), Torrey Smith (seven for 3/24/1) and Garrett Celek (three for 2/19/1) pulled in TD passes from Kaepernick. Chris Harper (four for 2/32/0), Rod Streater (five for 4/46/0) and Shaun Draughn (six for 6/49/0) all went over 30 yards receiving during the game as well. Suddenly, the 49ers' offense looks powerful. The Bears' defense does not look good entering Week 13. They allowed 15/23 for 226 net yards passing, two TDs and zero interceptions to Marcus Mariota last weekend, without generating a sack, en route to a 27-21 loss. Two weeks ago the Bears didn't sack Eli Manning or intercept him despite very windy conditions at MetLife Stadium - and Manning threw 21/36 for 227 yards and two TDs en route to a win. From Week Nine to Week 12 of the 2016 season (over the last four weeks, but includes 14 teams on bye during that time span - each team has at least three games played in the last four weeks), Chicago has averaged 22 fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks (14th-most in the NFL); and 22.1 fantasy points per game allowed to wide receivers (15th-least); with 11.4 fantasy points given up per game to tight ends (third-most). Kaepernick and company have a good matchup ahead despite visiting Soldier Field in December.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLPts
9 vs NO 60 24 39 398 2 1 5 23 0 1 28.2
10 at ARI 63 17 30 210 1 0 10 55 1 0 26
11 vs NE 62 16 30 206 2 0 4 32 0 0 19.5
12 at MIA 78 29 46 296 3 1 10 113 0 0 37.1
13 at CHI PROJ-Dodds * 19 32 * * * 8 * * * *
13 at CHI PROJ-Tremblay * 19 33 * * * 8 * * * *
13 at CHI PROJ-Bloom * 18 31 * * * 9 * * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2016 Week 12 vs MIA (29 / 46 / 296 / 3 / 1 pass, 10 / 113 / 0 rush)

Around two-thirds of Kaepernick's rushing yards came on scrambles when Miami's man-to-man coverage vacated the area between the line of scrimmage and 15 yards downfield. The rest came from zone-read plays in which Miami's front six or seven crashed inside focusing on Carlos Hyde, thereby allowing Kaepernick to keep the ball and run -- to the tune of at least 30 more yards. In the passing game, Kaepernick was both lucky and unlucky. His interception involved volleyball action from Torrey Smith. The only fumble San Francisco lost involved a perfect throw -- despite getting hit in the pocket -- to Garrett Celek; but Celek fumbled and Miami recovered. That said, Kaepernick missed a handful of easy throws in the fourth quarter, the worst of which involved Rod Streater getting wide open on a slant in the fourth quarter.

2016 Week 11 vs NE (16 / 30 / 206 / 2 / 0 pass, 4 / 32 / 0 rush)

It's tough to tell how much of Kaepernick's inaccuracy in this game was due to a wet ball. On one hand, there were a couple of easy passes -- a quick slant to Jeremy Kerley and a short cross to Vance McDonald -- that were so far off that it had to be the rain's fault. On the other hand, Kaepernick had a handful of perfectly placed, lofted touch passes; which isn't one of his strengths to say the least. But on the third hand, he also fumbled twice in circumstances where the ball just seemingly slipped out of his hand. Putting the wet conditions aside, this was a distinctly "Kaepernickian" performance except for two things. First, it was encouraging to see him (finally) taking downfield chances later in the game when the 49ers needed it. Second, it was discouraging to see New England's game plan stymie his running ability. They played the read-option extremely well, such that his read was always a handoff. The Patriots's front seven also allowed few, if any, scrambling lanes to open up, which prevented Kaepernick's patented "one read, then take off" play, which is the main driver of his weekly rushing totals. This also happens to be the reason he ended up taking five sacks.

2016 Week 10 vs ARI (17 / 30 / 210 / 1 / 0 pass, 10 / 55 / 1 rush)

This game was a microcosm of Kaepernick's skill set (or lack thereof). On an early-game run for 10 yards and his tying touchdown at the end, he perfectly executed the read-option. And on at least five plays, he deftly navigated through and around Arizona's pass rush -- often via blitzes -- to produce either successful scrambles or completed passes. But then there was the negatives. Kaepernick threw multiple interceptable passes, two of which required Vance McDonald going on the defensive. He was inaccurate on easy completions. And he scrambled before routes came to their designed fruition. All in all, he is -- and has always been -- a typical NFL quarterback with strengths and weaknesses, whereby, unless Jim Harbaugh's around, there's no accentuation of the former and no dimunition of the latter.

2016 Week 9 vs NO (24 / 39 / 398 / 2 / 1 pass, 5 / 23 / 0 rush)

No doubt, Kaepernick had a great performance from a fantasy football perspective, but it would be foolish to ignore the context of said performance. First, he was going against the Saints defense, which in this particular game struggled mightily with any coverages that required teamwork. Both of Kaepernick's long passing touchdowns were the result of broken coverages that left his receiver wide open with only blades of grass standing in the way of yards after catch. Second, the Saints' pass rush failed to get pressure on the vast majority of Kaepernick's dropbacks, especially during the first half. During the second half, when New Orleans' pressure increased, Kaepernick's performance decreased. Speaking of which, after completing 14 of 18 passes in the first half, he completed only 10 of 21 in the second half. Of those four first-half incompletions, he really only had one bad miscue: an interception wherein linebacker Craig Robertson read his eyes as he stared down Jeremy Kerley's route on a third-down slant. That deserves benefit of the doubt for sure, but -- again, despite hardly any pressure from the Saints' pass rush throughout the game -- Kaepernick's second half involved throwing behind his receivers on short crossing routes and overthrowing his receivers on deeper routes, including a potential touchdown to Quinton Patton in the back of the end zone. And of course, no evaluation of his performance could go without mentioning that Kaepernick dropped a perfectly good shotgun snap when San Francisco was inside New Orleans' red zone, resulting in a turnover. At the time, San Francisco was down 15 with six minutes left in the game, which means that miscue affected football fans both real and fantasy.

2016 Week 7 vs TB (16 / 34 / 143 / 1 / 1 pass, 9 / 84 / 0 rush)

If you've seen one Kaepernick performance since his halcyon days of 2012-2013, you've seen them all. The good is making correct decisions in the read-option running game, showing an uncanny physical ability to extend pass plays via evading rushers, and gaining more yards than the typical quarterback when he scrambles. The bad is that every pass play seems to follow a decision tree consisting of only three questions. Is my first read open? If yes, throw it. If no, consider taking off running. Is my safety valve open? If yes, throw it. If no, consider taking off running even more. As I start to take off running, did a receiver break open? If yes, throw it. If no, most definitely take off running. Good quarterbacks have a decision tree far more sophisticated than that. As this game -- along with the vast majority of his games since 2013 -- showed, Kaepernick isn't a good quarterback. Because if we can figure him out from our armchairs, how easy must it be for NFL coaches to figure him out?

2016 Week 6 vs BUF (13 / 29 / 187 / 1 / 0 pass, 8 / 66 / 0 rush)

This wasn't as poor of a performance as Kaepernick's stat line suggests. He hadn't played a meaningful snap in a year, and even those snaps came in an entirely different offense, so one has to adjust for rust. One also has to adjust for how much the wind was wreasking havoc on his passes. Whereas Tyrod Taylor is experienced navigating his throws in Buffalo's blustery conditions, Kaepernick struggled to compensate for -- literally -- which way the wind was blowing. A couple of throws to Torrey Smith illustrate the point. With San Francisco driving into the wind in the first quarter, Smith soundly beat his man on a deep post, but Kaepernick somehow overthrew him. With the wind at San Francisco's back in the second quarter, Buffalo blew their coverage, leaving Smith even more wide open downfield. This time, however, Kaepernick actually manged to underthrew him by several yards. It resulted in his lone touchdown pass of the day, but only because there wasn't a defender within 10 yards of Smith, who practically had to field the ball like a punt. Other than his wind-addled accuracy, Kaepernick resembled the same quarterback he's always been. On run plays, he excelled at the read-option. On pass plays, however, he usually needed the play design to produce an open receiver immediately, or else he tucked it and ran. That sounds a lot like what Blaine Gabbert was up to the previous weeks, but there was one distinct difference Kaepernick (unsurprisingly) displayed when facing pressure: On a few occasions, his athleticism allowed him to keep plays alive that otherwise would have died a sack-riddled death. Most spectacularly, he used strength and body control to miraculously avoided a sure safety early in the third quarter; turning it into a 10-yard scramble for a first down and getting San Francisco out of the shadow of their own goal line.

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Latest News

49ers | Colin Kaepernick bench in loss (Sun Dec 4, 04:08 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick was benched in the fourth quarter of the team's Week 13 after he completed only one of his five passes for four yards during the game. He also sacked five times during the game and lost 25 yards. Kaepernick was replaced by QB Blaine Gabbert during the game.

Our View: Kaepernick was a fantasy QB1 going into this one. The conditions certainly played a role and Chip Kelly said the most isn't permanent, but now it will be very tough to trust Kaepernick if he starts against the Jets next week.
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49ers | Colin Kaepernick will void his contract (Sun Dec 4, 12:52 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick will void his contract after the season and will become an unrestricted free agent, according to sources. Kaepernick has not ruled out re-signing with the 49ers during the offseason.

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49ers | Colin Kaepernick surging on the ground (Tue Nov 29, 06:01 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick is averaging 62.2 yards per game on the ground. In total, Kaepernick has 373 rushing yards on 46 attempts, including one touchdown. 'He's out there, he's in control and when he sees an opportunity he's taken advantage of it,' offensive coordinator Curtis Modkins said.

Our View: Fantasy owners aren't looking at the 49ers losing with Kaepernick at the helm, they're staring at the big numbers he's posting on a weekly basis. Pick him up off the waiver wire if you can. In addition to his rushing success, Kaepernick is averaging 277.5 yards per game through the air with eight touchdowns and just two interceptions.
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49ers | Colin Kaepernick on a binge (Tue Nov 29, 10:41 AM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick has 1,110 passing yards and eight touchdowns on 145 passing attempts over his last four games, and all of which are the highest four-game totals of his career.

Our View: The 49ers aren't winning, but "Ws" don't matter to fantasy owners. Kaepernick has QB1 upside every week and he makes for a great streaming option.
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49ers | Colin Kaepernick explosive in loss (Sun Nov 27, 05:00 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick completed 29-for-46 passing for 296 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. He rushed a game-high 113 yards on 10 carries.

Our View: Kaepernick will be one of the huge hits of Week 12. He has top 10 finishes in three of the last four weeks an d has been a high floor option in the rest of his starts. He's a bonafide QB1 against Chicago next week.
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More News

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Schedule

13@ Chicago Bears
14vs New York Jets
15@ Atlanta Falcons
16@ Los Angeles Rams
17vs Seattle Seahawks