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QB Colin Kaepernick - San Francisco 49ers

6-4, 233Born: 10-3-1987College: NevadaDrafted: Round 2

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Photo: Kyle Terada, US Presswire


After a dazzling 2012 debut that produced 1.71 touchdowns per game and ended in the Super Bowl, Kaepernick has clearly failed to progress as an NFL passer. In fact, he's regressed each year in yards per attempt, interception rate, sack rate, and QBR. All the while, the offense has aged, rebuilt, and restaffed around him, leaving him in a difficult position to project with confidence. Armed with a new face in Torrey Smith and aging, limited complements, it's hard to know what to expect in terms of efficiency. And efficiency is key, as volume simply isn't there. Among quarterbacks to start every game over the last two years, only Russell Wilson has thrown fewer passes, and the thoroughly run-based scheme doesn't expect to change under the new coaching staff. What we know about Kaepernick is that he's strong-armed and absurdly athletic, able to improvise dynamically in both the pass and run games. Where he has failed has been when asked to play within the pocket. Scattershot and inconsistent in working a defense, Kaepernick's value depends entirely upon elite rushing production and a dynamic deep ball that produces long, open touchdowns. Now, Kaepernick has historically ranked very highly in Pro Football Focus' deep ball accuracy measure before falling to 17th last year. Still, investing too heavily and praying for long touchdowns is a risky proposition. The real ace in Kaepernick's pocket is the prospect of more rushing production. Some progression is likely; the team greatly scaled back his called runs in 2014, and there are indications the new offense will reverse that. Also note that Kaepernick scored nine touchdowns on his first 157 rushes, but just one among last year's 104. Again, though, this level of progression is essential for Kaepernick's value, not merely a fun bonus. Most likely, Kaepernick will continue to yo-yo wildly, flirting with QB1 weeks and posting useless 150-yard outings. He's a far better best-ball option than redraft, but his upside projections make him one of the more attractive stabs among the QB2 crowd. (May 15)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 15, 10, 13, 13, 13, 13, 15, 15, 15, 15, 16, 16, 16, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 19, 21, 22
QB Dynasty - 15, 10, 15, 15, 17, 17, 17

Stats and Projections

2012 SF 13 136 218 1809 10 3 63 417 5
2013 SF 16 243 416 3197 21 8 92 524 4 4
2014 SF 16 289 478 3369 19 10 105 641 1 5
2015 PROJ-Dodds 15 288 455 * * * 90 * * *
2015 PROJ-Henry 16 297 500 * * * 100 * * *
2015 PROJ-Wood 16 272 455 * * * 100 * * *
2015 PROJ-Tremblay 16 258 431 * * * 130 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 127
QB: 17

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

Team Report      Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

Footballguys Articles

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Value Plays: Quarterbacks
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Gut Check No.339: Players I Believe In
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Player Spotlight: Frank Gore
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Gut Check No.336: Staff IDP Rookie Draft
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Early Summer MFL10 Guide
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The New Reality No.43: Dynasty Stashes: Quarterbacks & Running Backs
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2015 NFL Coaching Turnover and Fantasy Football Implications
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Dynasty Experts Q and A: 2015 Offseason #24
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Fantasy Football Sleepers 2015: The Top 25 Names to Know
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Why Colin Kaepernick Can Win You Your Fantasy Football Championship in 2015
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Sophomore Sensations: Cooks, Bridgewater, Bryant among several Year 2 fantasy breakouts
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Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks
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Burning NFL training camp questions: 32 teams, 32 pressing issues
  Pete Prisco - July 21
San Francisco 49ers Daily Fantasy Preview
  Jason Guilbault - July 21
25 Eye Opening Statistics from the 2014 NFL Season
  Neil Dutton - July 20

Latest News

49ers | Colin Kaepernick inconsistent (Sun Aug 2, 11:46 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick started training camp sharp but made mistakes later in the day Sunday, Aug. 2.

Our View: I know you're all shocked from the headline. In all seriousness, Kaepernick's biggest problem is consistency. He is not going to revolutionize the quarterback position, and he could struggle to make the fantasy impact some are expecting in 2015. Add him as a QB2 with upside. His current ADP is QB18 (12.07) in 12-team PPR leagues.
link to story   

49ers | Bruce Ellington impresses in camp (Sun Aug 2, 11:27 PM) - San Francisco 49ers WR Bruce Ellington was impressive as the No. 3 receiver during training camp Sunday, Aug. 2, catching a long touchdown from QB Colin Kaepernick and adding an acrobatic catch down the sidelines.

Our View: Ellington has the speed to get on top of the defense. He's a big play waiting to happen, and there could be at least a gadget role for him this season. Ellington can also be used as a return man because of his quickness and agility.
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49ers | Colin Kaepernick improving throws (Sat Aug 1, 01:51 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick has impressed his teammates this offseason by improving the touch on his passes. FS Eric Reid said he's optimistic about how Kaepernick will do this year, especially with the touch he's seen on deep throws.

Our View: If Kaepernick wants to take the next step as a pro quarterback, he's got to get better as a passer. We're glad that Reid is impressed, but we'll believe it when we see it--especially under pressure. With so many losses on both sides of the ball, the 49ers offense isn't one we're investing a lot in.
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2015 Schedule

1vs Minnesota Vikings
2@ Pittsburgh Steelers
3@ Arizona Cardinals
4vs Green Bay Packers
5@ New York Giants
6vs Baltimore Ravens
7vs Seattle Seahawks
8@ St. Louis Rams
9vs Atlanta Falcons
10--- BYE WEEK ---
11@ Seattle Seahawks
12vs Arizona Cardinals
13@ Chicago Bears
14@ Cleveland Browns
15vs Cincinnati Bengals
16@ Detroit Lions
17vs St. Louis Rams