WR Julio Jones - Atlanta Falcons
|6-2, 220||Born: 2-3-1989||College: Alabama||Drafted: Round 1, pick 6|
Week 15: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
FBG says: Good matchup. Try as he might, Matt Ryan cannot seem to break through as an upper-tier fantasy producer here in 2017. His dazzling 2016 is firmly in the rearview; Ryan has regressed from last year in completion rate, touchdown rate, and all of his adjusted yardage numbers. They've fallen in line with his career rates, which have typically kept him a low-end fantasy QB1, but the Falcons' drop-off in passing volume has left him with his lowest yards-per-game (252.2) since 2010. Ryan has topped 221 yards just once over the past 5 games, and he's thrown just 2 touchdowns over his last 3. Lacking in both volume and touchdown upside, he's a tough sell as a Week 15 play, even in a tasty matchup. The only piece of this passing game to prioritize remains Julio Jones, who's always a real threat to chase 150 yards, but who remains allergic to the red zone. And Ryan's ceiling doesn't realistically extend far beyond Jones, so he's not a major priority, even against this Buccaneers secondary. This has been one of the league's more targetable units at various points throughout the season. They've allowed more yardage on the year than anyone (280 per game), a number that's been amplified by an exceptionally rough 4-game stretch that's still going. The Buccaneers shut down Brett Hundley 2 weeks ago, but were torn to shreds by Matt Moore/Jay Cutler (365 yards), Matt Ryan/Mohamed Sanu (368), and Matthew Stafford (381). The cornerbacks have been inconsistent at best (and often atrocious); aside from Brent Grimes, there's not a single dependable cover man in the secondary. Since Week 9 they've allowed 85+ yards and 1+ touchdowns each to Robby Anderson, Kenny Stills, Julio Jones (a whopping 253 and 2), and Golden Tate.
Recent Stats and Projections
Recent Game Summaries
2017 Week 14 vs NO (11 / 5 / 98 / 0 rec)
Marshon Lattimore broke up a slant to Julio Jones during the first drive, but the corner was called for holding the receiver's waist on the break. He earned 38 yards on a 3rd and 8 slant at the right hash against Lattimore and side-stepped a second defender while blowing past three pursuing defenders as he crossed the middle of the field. Ryan found Jones for 22 on a back shoulder fake against Lattimore after working from a tight split to work to the sideline. Ryan just missed Julio up the left sideline with Lattimore providing tight coverage. He earned a seven-yard gain with 33 seconds left on a shallow crossing route. Jones had a long gain overturned by an offensive pass interference penalty in the third quarter.
2017 Week 13 vs MIN (6 / 2 / 24 / 0 rec)
He let the opening series slant go through his hands on a throw above his head. He earned a catch on a low-thrown drag route for a first down on the opening play of the Falcons' third series. Ryan overshot Jones late in the half up the left sideline on 2nd and 4 after the two-minute warning. Jones had maybe a step on Rhodes. Ryan unsuccessfully tried to force the ball into Jones who was working tightly under safety Andrew Sendejo while Minnesota blitzed the quarterback. The Falcons finally began motioning Jones to get him free and used him on a shallow route to earn yards after the catch for a short first down on a tough run in the fourth quarter. Ryan was wide of Jones over the middle on 2nd and 10 late in the fourth quarter. Xavier Rhodes only gave up short passes that were designed to beat man coverage based on defender position and he routinely re-routed Jones with press coverage. Atlanta's staff finally moved Jones around late in the fourth quarter but too little, too late.
2017 Week 12 vs TB (15 / 12 / 253 / 2 rec, 1 / 15 / 0 rush)
His first target was a deep crossing route on a play action pass, but he was doubled teamed and the safety over the top had the best angle to the ball. Two plays later, Jones ran the curl in the left flat for a first down to get Atlanta to the Tampa bay 39. Ryan threw the ball behind Jones' slant route while blitzed by linebackers up the B gaps. Jones caught a near-perfectly thrown 51-yard post route from Mohamed Sanu for a touchdown to cap Atlanta's third drive. Jones made a leaping grab of a well-placed and timed deep out at the right sideline to lead off Atlanta's fourth drive. The ball was a little behind Jones, but necessary due to the coverage. Jones ran an excellent inside setup of the outside break by intimating the post before breaking to the sideline against the trailing linebacker. He followed up with a 15-yard gain on an end around. Jones' second touchdown was a 25-yarder on a great post-out combo to force the cornerback to the ground at the break. After the catch, he dove for the pylon for the score. Jones earned 22 yards on a sail route between the Tampa zone late the half. Jones earned another gain in the middle of the shallow zone for the first down and setup a short field goal with 0:10 left in the half. Ryan targeted Jones on a corner fade with 0:10 in the half, but had to rush the throw and it was an errant target. He led off the second half with a 23-yard crossing route on a bootleg pass. He earned nine yards on a shallow route from a trips left formation where he picked up blocks to the seal the inside for Jones to work up the sideline. They ran a similar play from a bunched trips formation on the following 3rd and 1 play, and Jones earned the first down. After Tampa closed the lead to seven, Jones caught a crossing route for his 11th catch and a 44-yard play. He earned an easy slant under a huge cushion on 3rd and 8 during the fourth quarter to earn the first down and the ball at the 23 of Tampa. Jones caught a 3rd and 8 curl against press coverage and late in the game to earn his 252nd yard of the game and get Altanta inside the Tampa Bay 40.
2017 Week 11 vs SEA (10 / 5 / 71 / 0 rec)
He dropped the ball during the opening offensive play after Matt Ryan scrambled to the right. The ball arrived behind Jones, who reached for it but let it through his hands. Jones cut between two defenders on a stutter-comeback route for 16 yards at the right sideline to begin the second Atlanta drive. He earned seven up the right flat late in the first quarter on a hitch. He dropped the ball again on a crossing route against two defenders in the right flat during the third drive. Byron Maxwell pushed Jones out of bounds on a 2nd and 12 streak along the left sideline late in the half for a 23-yard penalty. Lane covered Jones well up the right sideline with 1:30 left in the half on a go route, using his position to pin Jones to the sideline and force an overthrow. He caught a crossing route on a bootleg left to reach the Seattle 25 during the first drive of the second half. He was targeted on a slant against Earl Thomas at the end of the third quarter on a third-down pass from an empty set. Ryan hit Jones against a five-man blitz on a third down in the fourth quarter to get Atlanta to the Seattle 29. Jones earned a step on the cornerback. He was targeted late in the fourth quarter on a 1st and goal drive from the five but he was too tight to the boundary with his route and forced a difficult throw.
2017 Week 10 vs DAL (8 / 6 / 57 / 0 rec)
His first catch was a curl of seven yards against tight coverage in the left flat and he had great timing with Ryan. He followed up two plays later with a great extension against tight coverage on a slant on 3rd and 3. He had to leave the field after the play and walk off his lingering injury. Jones caught a stop route near the right boundary to begin the third drive. He worked through the defensive back to get the first down with the move to the inside. He was again on the sideline during the third series, favoring his leg. He gained five yards on a screen pass up the left flat and nearly broke it. Once again, he had to leave the field. He got inside the Dallas 35 on a deep crossing route off play-action for 24 yards. He made a tough adjustment on a crossing route that Ryan delivered under pressure at the Atlanta three in heavy traffic. Jones dropped a 3rd and 6 pass on a short in-cut inside the Dallas 5, leading a 29-yard field goal to extend the lead to 20.
2017 Week 9 vs CAR (12 / 6 / 118 / 0 rec)
The WR ran the deep hook and the defensive back fell during the break, opening up an intermediate completion on the first play of the game. Jones broke the first tackle and earned 34 on the play cross midfield. Four plays later, Jones got open on a double move that ended with a post route and a two-step lead on his opponent, but Ryan led the receiver about 3-4 yards too deep in the end zone. Jones caught a 20-yard dig route just ahead of Thomas Davis' low-side bracket of double coverage to begin Atlanta's second drive. He walked gingerly off the field after taking multiple hits on the play. He walked off the field favoring his hip. He returned later in the drive when Atlanta reached the Carolina 15. Jones got open on a play-action crossing route but Ryan had pressure in his face and had to throw the ball from a position where he could not get velocity on the release and the ball dropped just shy of the receiver's break. Jones caught a corner route for 26 on a pass thrown too far inside, but pressure forced the off-balanced throw late in the half. He gained nine late in the third quarter on a slant and was still favoring his leg after the play. When Ryan was accurate on a deep post on 4th down, Jones dropped the ball against his chest. He earned over 100 yards on the day, but Ryan also didn't target Jones on several single coverage opportunities on the outside.
2017 Week 8 vs NYJ (6 / 3 / 74 / 0 rec)
His first catch came in the early second quarter on a dig route with a low-thrown target that he dug out near the right hash for 16 yards. He was limited to two yards after the catch on a shallow crossing route prior to the two-minute warning. Ryan targeted Jones on a deep out but overthrew the ball near the front pylon against tight coverage with less than 25 seconds left. Cornerback Morris Claiborne cut off Jones' fade route in the end zone late in the half. He then tightly covered the receiver on an out-breaking route that Jones let go through his hands on third down with Atlanta backed up at its own 1 in the third quarter, setting up another punt. Jones had to wait on the throw, but caught a wide-open 54-yard deep post off play action in the third quarter, setting up a score that kept the game close.
2017 Week 7 vs NE (13 / 9 / 99 / 1 rec)
Although he earned multiple targets and scored late in this game with a corner fade where he pulled the ball away from cornerback Malcolm Butler, Jones and Ryan could not convert big-play targets when it counted most. One of the reasons was double coverage in the middle of the field. Another reason was Ryan and Jones not being on the same page on intermediate routes that also plagued Ryan with Sanu. Jones and Ryan finally connected on a deep out to get inside the 25 of New England late in the third quarter on a pass from midfield. On the next play, Jones caught a crossing route for 15 yards to get inside the 10, earning about 7-8 yards after the catch. Ryan failed to lead Jones on a 3rd and goal crossing route at the end line against Butler, and the CB batted it away. At this point, the game was out of hand and the rest of Jones' work, including a poorly-thrown touchdown was garbage-time production.
2017 Week 6 vs MIA (7 / 6 / 72 / 0 rec)
He drew a defensive pass interference call on the cornerback Xavien Howard during the opening drive on 3rd and 10 to get past midfield. Jones ran a fall-out in the flat for a quick five. He followed up with a crossing route and he ran through Howard's wrap and avoided the safetey's hit for the first down to the Atlanta 49. Ryan threw the ball low and at the back hip of Jones on a crossing route and Jones dropped it on 2nd and 11 during the third offensive series. Jones and Ryan had a miscommunication on an adjustment where Ryan threw the go route and Jones ran the stop fade. Jones later caught a slant with 0:13 left in the half and no time outs and then a second short pass to the boundary for a few yards to set up a Matt Bryant field goal attempt of 59 yards that was short. Jones took a quick pass to the right sideline on a trips throw-out as the inside man for the first down to kick off the fourth quarter. Down by three, Jones earned a first down on a corner route just ahead of the two-minute warning.
2017 Week 4 vs BUF (4 / 3 / 30 / 0 rec)
He earned the opening target on a quick out where he juggled the ball against the rookie White but controlled it for a few yards after White nearly knocked it free. Jones earned a third-down conversion on a slant against man underneath and then a second conversion with a shallow route. Ryan overthrew Jones on a deep crossing route near midfield during the second drive. By the fourth series, Jones was sideline with a hip flexor. He tried stretching it out but went to the locker room before Atlanta earned its final two drives of the half and he never returned.
2017 Week 3 vs DET (12 / 7 / 91 / 0 rec)
Jones was double-covered to begin the game on a play action deep corner to begin the game and the pass was over thrown. He took the Falcons inside the Lions 45 with a curl near the sideline and he pushed three defenders for another 6-7 yards. Jones drew a defensive pass interference target up the right sideline on what was really a 3rd-and-2 throwaway by Ryan under pressure that turned into a 22-yard play. Two big Freeman runs to lead off the third series set up a play-action crossing route with a boot to the right, leading to a 13-yard gain and a first down at the Detroit 38. Jones caught a deep sideline route in the end zone on the first Atlanta play of the second half, but his outside foot landed out of bounds. Jones setup a 3rd and 3 late in the 3rd quarter with a 10-yard reception over the middle. He got back into the act on a play-action crossing route, caught the ball for the first down, and earned more after a hard hit to his hips at the catch point. Ryan targeted Jones on a deep seam route on a play-action pass with 10 minutes in the fourth quarter, but high-low bracket coverage prevented the catch in the end zone. Jones earned another first down on a hook working back to the QB late in the fourth quarter.
2017 Week 2 vs GB (9 / 5 / 108 / 0 rec)
He kicked off the game with a five-yard catch in the outside flat just past the man coverage of Damarious Randall. He broke Randall's tackle as he turned up field and gained the first down plus another 11 up the sideline. Two plays later, Jones ran the intermediate slant against Randall for a 33-yard gain off a play-action stretch play. Ryan found Jones on a 3rd and 12 out pattern during the third series from a trips formation where Jones got a free release, caught the ball, broke the tackle, and reached the sticks before exciting the boundary. Jones caught another intermediate cross about 16 yards downfield after breaking a Kentrell Brice tackle near the right sideline. He beat the double team and earned 29 yards to the Green Bay 28. Jones dropped a 3rd and 9 crossing route late in the half against tight coverage from Morgan Burnett. Jones went over 100 yards with a 9-yard gain on a short slant with 4 minutes left as Atlanta bled the clock with a 34-23 lead.
2017 Week 1 vs CHI (5 / 4 / 66 / 0 rec)
Jones caught a slant on a backside slant and spun inside the safety for the first down and additional yards, for 19 off the PA pass. He gained 18 yards on corner route opened by motion of Austin Hooper to same side on out. crossing route to Jones for 25 to get inside the red zone. Then Jones was not targeted the entire third quarter. Jones was thwarted later by a good break on the ball on a spot out cut off by Cooper. Short hook well covered under the zone on 3rd and 10 for a short gain and set up a 37-yard FG.
Latest NewsFalcons | Julio Jones almost cracks 100 (Fri Dec 8, 12:25 AM) - Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones caught five passes for 98 yards against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday, Dec. 7. He was targeted a team-high 11 times. Our View: Jones got free for a long gain in the first half to key his night against Marshon Lattimore. He's trending back up after Xavier Rhodes shut him down in Week 13.
link to story Falcons | Julio Jones held in check (Sun Dec 3, 05:00 PM) - Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones caught two passes for 24 yards against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 13. Our View: Xavier Rhodes makes Jones look mortal the week after he singled-handedly won weeks for fantasy owners. Marshon Lattimore wasn't able to go this week, so asking him to be ready on Thursday is no sure thing. If he's out, Jones' job gets a lot easier.
link to story Falcons | Atlanta's Week 13 injury report (Fri Dec 1, 03:40 PM) - Atlanta Falcons CB Desmond Trufant (concussion) did not participate in practice Friday, Dec. 1, and has been ruled out for Week 13. LB Sean Weatherspoon (illness) did not practice and is listed as questionable. PK Matt Bryant (back), WR Julio Jones (ankle), OG Andy Levitre (knee) and CB Brian Poole (back) were limited during practice but are not on the injury report. RB Devonta Freeman (concussion), WR Justin Hardy (shoulder), OT Ty Sambrailo (hamstring) and RB Terron Ward (knee, shoulder) fully participated in practice and are not on the injury report. link to story Falcons | Julio Jones not on injury report (Fri Dec 1, 03:33 PM) - Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones (ankle) was limited during practice Friday, Dec. 1, but is not on the injury report for Week 13. link to story Falcons | Julio Jones limited in practice again (Thu Nov 30, 07:05 PM) - Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones (ankle) was limited in practice for the second consecutive day Thursday, Nov. 30. Our View: This isn't an easy matchup for anyone, but we expect Julio Jones to rise above the Vikings secondary and put up WR1 numbers.
Atlanta Falcons Team LinksDepth Chart Season Stats Targets Red Zone Game Logs
Footballguys ArticleseVALUEator: Week 1
Austin Lee - September 3
Free Agency Roundtable: Terrelle Pryor in Washington
Phil Alexander - March 26
Free Agency Roundtable: Under The Radar Transactions
Phil Alexander - March 28
Player Spotlight: Joe Mixon and the Bengals Backfield
Phil Alexander - July 9
Footballguys Staff MFL10 Review: Rounds 1-4
Phil Alexander - May 22
Player Spotlight: Terrelle Pryor
Phil Alexander - July 6
Offseason Injury Rounds: Offense
Jene Bramel - April 1
Injury Rounds | PUPdates | July 27
Jene Bramel - July 27
Hidden Value or Damaged Goods: Assessing Injury Risk in Fantasy Drafts
Jene Bramel - September 2
10 Critical Training Camp Injury Questions
Jene Bramel - July 23
Articles from around the webHow Often do Top-12 PPR Running Backs & Wide Receivers Repeat in the Following Season?
Stephen Andress - May 31
LAND OF OPPORTUNITY: WR Edition - Part 2
Adam Conner - June 12
Falcons Fantasy Preview
Evan Silva - June 13
2017 fantasy football mock draft No. 2: 12's a crowd
Alex Gelhar - June 13
The best fantasy football draft strategy for 2017
Michael Fabiano - June 14
Doug Baldwin Is a High-End Value This Year in Fantasy Football
Matt Blair - June 14
Bengals Fantasy Preview
Evan Silva - June 15
2017 Fantasy Football Consistency: Wide Receivers
Bob Lung - June 16
Juggernaut Index, No. 31: 49ers offer few fantasy nuggets
Andy Behrens - June 17
Fantasy Football: Which Wide Receivers Were Better Than Expected in 2016?
Mike Tagliere - June 20
|15||@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers|
|16||@ New Orleans Saints|
|17||vs Carolina Panthers|