FBG says: Neutral matchup. David Montgomery shouldered his highest workload since Week 8 last week as he carried 20 times for 80 yards. Some success from the Bears passing offense lightened up the box for Montgomery, who ran pretty well with his chances last week. Montgomery has now strung together back-to-back games with at least 75 rushing yards after crossing that mark just once prior in the season. Even with a couple of decent weeks strung together, however, this Bears rushing offense still ranks near the bottom of the league with only 84.8 rushing yards per game (29th) and an average of 3.5 yards per rush attempt (29th). It has been tough to run with such a flat passing game, so Trubisky will need to keep the pedal to the medal through the air for Montgomery to have a good shot at success. Trubisky himself has also added to this ground game in recent weeks though, rushing for two touchdowns in his past three games while amassing a season-high 63 rushing yards last week. He has not been active on the ground throughout the season, but last week flashed some of that rushing ability he showed from the 2018 season, and if Trubisky can maintain his confidence, we may see even more of it this week.
The Packers defense has given up the eighth-most rushing yards per game as they have struggled consistently against opposing ground games throughout the season. They have allowed at least 75 rushing yards to a lead running back in four of their last five games, giving up six rushing touchdowns to running backs and the sixth-most fantasy points per game (non-PPR) to the position over that span. Play from this defensive line has been decent with Kenny Clark anchoring the interior and Za'Darius Smith having a very nice year from the edge. The problem revolves around these Packers linebackers though, as the defensive scheme has simply more pressure on them than they can handle. Blake Martinez is a good player, but he has been subpar in run defense all season long. The Bears rushing offense is not a group to be feared, however, and these running backs managed just 37 total rushing yards in their last meeting Week 1. The Bears offensive line is a bottom-tier unit that could again be without their starting right tackle, so look for the Packers to win in the trenches here and create some issues in the run game against the Bears.