WR Michael Jenkins - New England Patriots
|6-4, 217||Born: 6-18-1982||College: Ohio State||Drafted: Round 1, pick 29|
Photo: Bruce Kluckhohn, US Presswire
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Week 11: at Oakland Raiders
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FBG says: Great matchup. Week after week, and regardless of opponent, Tom Brady continues to ooze both efficiency and all-around fantasy upside. Even when his personal script looks negative - say, the Patriots are heavy favorites and expected to throw less than usual, or the opposing defense presents a stout matchup - Brady is a weekly threat to deliver both yards and touchdowns on a top-of-the-week level. We just saw him carve up an elite Broncos secondary (266 yards and 3 touchdowns in an incomplete game) without his No. 3 target (Chris Hogan), so we know just how strong of a floor and ceiling he boasts. His per-attempt efficiency (8.13 adjusted net yards, third-best in the NFL) remains top-notch, so we know he'll generally maximize whatever opportunity he's given. And he's tied for second in touchdowns, having thrown multiple scores in 6 of 9 games thus far. There's simply no safer play for 275 yards and 2-4 touchdowns on the quarterback board, and Brady remains the optimal fantasy choice virtually every week. And his dynamic weapons, specifically Rob Gronkowski, Brandin Cooks, and Hogan, always carry that same world-beating upside into their matchups as well.
The raw numbers don't show it, as the Raiders tend to play extremely slow-paced games, but their pass defense has performed near the bottom of the NFL barrel in 2017. They're struggling mightily to rush the passer or cover downfield, allowing the league's third-most net yards per attempt (which factors in sacks). As a result, opposing quarterbacks are teeing off with regularity; the Raiders have given up 268+ yards in 3 of their last 4 games, and they'll likely enter Week 11 with heavy injury-related questions in the secondary. Rookie cornerback Gareon Conley, who has impressed majorly, looks iffy to suit up, while fellow starter David Amerson is also uncertain. All told, this looks like a good spot for Tom Brady to flex his arm, and it's hard to find many answers for it in this battered, underachieving unit.
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