FBG says: Good matchup. For better or worse, Ryan Fitzpatrick has cemented himself as the 3-9 Dolphins' starter to close the season. That's a strong indictment of youngster Josh Rosen, who may have already worn his welcome out in Miami after just six appearances. Fitzpatrick has moved the ball much better than Rosen did, and his output has at least been strong in alternating weeks. Dating back to Week 6, he's posted 4 days of 280+ yards and 4 multi-touchdown games. Last Sunday represented one of his best starts in several years, going 27 of 39 for 365 yards and 3 touchdowns (with an interception) in an upset win over the Eagles. Fitzpatrick doesn't throw to much firepower, though he clearly has something going with DeVante Parker. Over 4 games since Preston Williams' injury, Parker has turned 41 targets into an average of 6 receptions and 114 yards. Last week he hauled in two impressive touchdowns, from 43 and 17 yards out, and also drew a big pass interference call in the end zone. He's now a weekly fantasy consideration, though it's always hard to pinpoint who else will produce in this attack. Tight end Mike Gesicki has drawn 6+ targets in 5 straight games, though he's only cleared 30 yards twice over that span. He's volatile, but he's the closest thing this unit has to a second fantasy option.
The Jets pass defense remains a work in progress. They've shown progress of late, holding their last 3 opponents to just 5.7 yards per attempt and 201 a game. But those numbers were built on matchups with Dwayne Haskins, Derek Carr, and Andy Dalton. Prior to that, they'd been worked over by the likes of Daniel Jones (308 and 4 touchdowns), Ryan Fitzpatrick (288 and 3), and Gardner Minshew (279 and 3). Over that span, they gave up huge receiving lines to the likes of Darius Slayton (10 for 121 and 2), Chris Conley (4 for 103 and 1), and Mike Gesicki (6 for 95). The going will be even tougher if Jamal Adams, arguably the NFL's premier safety, is sidelined by an ankle sprain. Adams is counted on heavily to help a young, shaky cornerback group down the field, and his absence would make the deep ball much more attractive for Ryan Fitzpatrick. This is a favorable fantasy matchup even at full strength, though, making Fitzpatrick's sneaky Week 14 appeal even brighter.