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QB Blaine Gabbert - San Francisco 49ers

6-4, 234Born: 10-15-1989College: MissouriDrafted: Round 1, pick 10

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Photo: Cary Edmondson, US Presswire

Gabbert has a horrific fantasy reputation that will keep his value depressed through the summer. But the former first-round pick of the Jaguars posted QB1 fantasy production during the final weeks of the 2015 season. This was before Chip Kelley came to town. Colin Kapernick has worn out his welcome with teammates and staff and is still not cleared for OTAs as of the first week of June. Kelley is talking up Gabbert and it was Kelley that made Nick Foles fantasy relevant.


It's not surprising that Gabbert has been given a second NFL chance after his disastrous Jacksonville stint. But it's truly shocking that he's actually the best starting option somewhere. Gabbert stepped in for anemic starter Colin Kaepernick midway through the 2015 season and turned in by far the best play of his career, and the team seems convinced he's the best man going forward. It's hard to argue; Kaepernick is a sheer mess when presiding over a passing game, while Gabbert was an above-average NFL passer by most metrics. With Chip Kelly in town and offensive volume headed through the roof, Gabbert has sneaky value at the end of the QB2 spectrum. Yes, Gabbert was unequivocally bad as a Jaguar. Prior to 2015, he "boasted" a 66.8 rating and a 3.79 adjusted net yards per attempt that was significantly worse than even Tim Tebow's. But that was only a sample of 784 attempts; it's also fair to lend some credence to his adequate 2015 passing performance. He still took too many sacks and struggled mightily to push the ball downfield, but he posted his best efficiency numbers by a mile and tacked on 23 rushing yards a game. The rushing aspect is big: Consider that Kelly asked lead-footed Nick Foles to take 4.4 rushes per game in 2013. Note that Gabbert posted better three-cone and jump numbers at his 2011 combine than Kaepernick did at his, and that Pro Football Focus credits him with the stronger 2015 scrambling production of the two. Gabbert probably boasts a similar upside to that of realistic, 2014 Foles: a borderline QB2 with moderate job security and sneaky upside in an offense that takes as many snaps as anyone. But unlike 2014 Foles, Gabbert is coming to fantasy owners nearly free of charge, with a current ADP at the sheer bottom of most drafts. (May 11)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 29, 22, 24, 25, 27, 28, 28, 29, 29, 29, 29, 29, 29, 30, 31, 33, 34
QB Dynasty - 35, 32, 39, 42

Stats and Projections

2013 JAX 3 42 86 481 1 7 9 32 0
2014 SF 1 3 7 38 1 0 1 5 0
2015 SF 8 178 282 2031 10 7 32 185 1 1
2016 PROJ-Dodds 11 270 446 * * * 50 * * *
2016 PROJ-Henry 14 311 500 * * * 40 * * *
2016 PROJ-Wood 9 164 279 * * * 40 * * *
2016 PROJ-Tremblay 10 200 325 * * * 48 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 223
QB: 31

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

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Latest News

49ers | QB competition still open in San Francisco (Sat Aug 27, 07:48 PM) - San Francisco QB Blaine Gabbert and QB Colin Kaepernick are still competing for the starting job, according to head coach Chip Kelly.

Our View: It may be open, but Gabbert is in the lead. Kaepernick had three offseason surgeries, and he's spent a majority of the time this year recovering from those procedures. Gabbert isn't great, but he's better than a banged up Kaepernick.
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49ers | Blaine Gabbert likely will start Friday (Fri Aug 26, 07:53 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Blaine Gabbert likely will be the starting quarterback for the preseason game against the Green Bay Packers Friday, Aug. 26.

Our View: Colin Kaepernick was in play to get the start, but Gabbert remains in the presumptive lead to start Week 1 because Kaepernick has had so little time getting acclimated to Chip Kelly's system. The outcome of this battle will affect the value of every player in the 49ers offense, with Gabbert helping the short passing game and Kaepernick helping the running game.
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49ers | Colin Kaepernick may start Friday (Fri Aug 26, 04:19 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick (arm) could start the preseason game against the Green Bay Packers Friday, Aug. 26, since QB Blaine Gabbert started the first two preseason games.

Our View: The 49ers appear reluctant to anoint Gabbert the starter, so if Kaepernick is functional, he could win this job. It would be better for the 49ers running game, but Kaepernick took all the wind out of the sails of the passing game last year.
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49ers | Vance McDonald emerging as weapon (Mon Aug 22, 12:01 AM) - San Francisco 49ers TE Vance McDonald has caught five passes for 92 yards from QB Blaine Gabbert through two preseason games.

Our View: An important note for fantasy owners looking to wait on TE. The Chip Kelly offense regularly features the TE as the first read after the belly option with the RB. A QB like Blaine Gabbert should use McDonald early and often as a security blanket when looking to move the chains through the air. Catching 75 passes and finishing as a top-10 fantasy TE is not out of the question for McDonald.
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49ers | Blaine Gabbert running away with QB job (Sun Aug 14, 06:25 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Blaine Gabbert has been the 'landslide favorite for weeks' in his battle with QB Colin Kaepernick, according to ESPN's Adam Caplan.

Our View: Sure, Gabbert may be 'running away' with the job but he's doing it against a still recovering Kaepernick. It's not a fair competition as Kaepernick is still recovering from three offseason surgeries. When Kaepernick gets healthy, we'll see if he can push Gabbert for the top spot.
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2016 Schedule

1vs Los Angeles Rams
2@ Carolina Panthers
3@ Seattle Seahawks
4vs Dallas Cowboys
5vs Arizona Cardinals
6@ Buffalo Bills
7vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8--- BYE WEEK ---
9vs New Orleans Saints
10@ Arizona Cardinals
11vs New England Patriots
12@ Miami Dolphins
13@ Chicago Bears
14vs New York Jets
15@ Atlanta Falcons
16@ Los Angeles Rams
17vs Seattle Seahawks