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QB Blaine Gabbert - San Francisco 49ers

6-4, 234Born: 10-15-1989College: MissouriDrafted: Round 1, pick 10

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Photo: Kyle Terada, US Presswire

Gabbert has a horrific fantasy reputation that will keep his value depressed through the summer. But the former first-round pick of the Jaguars posted QB1 fantasy production during the final weeks of the 2015 season. This was before Chip Kelley came to town. Colin Kapernick has worn out his welcome with teammates and staff and is still not cleared for OTAs as of the first week of June. Kelley is talking up Gabbert and it was Kelley that made Nick Foles fantasy relevant.

Summary

It's not surprising that Gabbert has been given a second NFL chance after his disastrous Jacksonville stint. But it's truly shocking that he's actually the best starting option somewhere. Gabbert stepped in for anemic starter Colin Kaepernick midway through the 2015 season and turned in by far the best play of his career, and the team seems convinced he's the best man going forward. It's hard to argue; Kaepernick is a sheer mess when presiding over a passing game, while Gabbert was an above-average NFL passer by most metrics. With Chip Kelly in town and offensive volume headed through the roof, Gabbert has sneaky value at the end of the QB2 spectrum. Yes, Gabbert was unequivocally bad as a Jaguar. Prior to 2015, he "boasted" a 66.8 rating and a 3.79 adjusted net yards per attempt that was significantly worse than even Tim Tebow's. But that was only a sample of 784 attempts; it's also fair to lend some credence to his adequate 2015 passing performance. He still took too many sacks and struggled mightily to push the ball downfield, but he posted his best efficiency numbers by a mile and tacked on 23 rushing yards a game. The rushing aspect is big: Consider that Kelly asked lead-footed Nick Foles to take 4.4 rushes per game in 2013. Note that Gabbert posted better three-cone and jump numbers at his 2011 combine than Kaepernick did at his, and that Pro Football Focus credits him with the stronger 2015 scrambling production of the two. Gabbert probably boasts a similar upside to that of realistic, 2014 Foles: a borderline QB2 with moderate job security and sneaky upside in an offense that takes as many snaps as anyone. But unlike 2014 Foles, Gabbert is coming to fantasy owners nearly free of charge, with a current ADP at the sheer bottom of most drafts. (May 11)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 31, 24, 25, 26, 26, 28, 28, 29, 30, 32, 32, 33, 34, 34
QB Dynasty - 37, 31, 39, 40, 42

Stats and Projections

YEARGCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumL
2013 JAX 3 42 86 481 1 7 9 32 0
2014 SF 1 3 7 38 1 0 1 5 0
2015 SF 8 178 282 2031 10 7 32 185 1 1
2016 PROJ-Dodds 13 246 410 * * * 45 * * *
2016 PROJ-Henry 14 295 475 * * * 40 * * *
2016 PROJ-Wood 6 114 200 * * * 30 * * *
2016 PROJ-Tremblay 8 160 260 * * * 38 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

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  Patrick Daugherty - May 23

Latest News

49ers | Torrey Smith ready for No. 1 role (Tue Jun 21, 01:13 AM) - San Francisco 49ers WR Torrey Smith inherits the No. 1 spot in the depth chart with WR Anquan Boldin no longer with the organization. It will be the first time in Smith's career that he is the unquestioned go-to guy. Smith wants to be more than just a deep threat and worked to develop a good rapport with QB Blaine Gabbert in the offseason.

Our View: Gabbert hasn't yet secured the starting job, but he has to be considered the frontrunner as Colin Kaepernick works to come back from three separate offseason surgeries. Smith should only be considered a WR5/WR6 for fantasy owners as this 49ers passing game could be a mess in year one of the Chip Kelly offense. Right now, Smith has an ADP of WR54 (11.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.
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2016 Schedule

1vs Los Angeles Rams
2@ Carolina Panthers
3@ Seattle Seahawks
4vs Dallas Cowboys
5vs Arizona Cardinals
6@ Buffalo Bills
7vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8--- BYE WEEK ---
9vs New Orleans Saints
10@ Arizona Cardinals
11vs New England Patriots
12@ Miami Dolphins
13@ Chicago Bears
14vs New York Jets
15@ Atlanta Falcons
16@ Los Angeles Rams
17vs Seattle Seahawks