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QB Blaine Gabbert - San Francisco 49ers

6-4, 234Born: 10-15-1989College: MissouriDrafted: Round 1, pick 10

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Photo: Kyle Terada, US Presswire

Gabbert has a horrific fantasy reputation that will keep his value depressed through the summer. But the former first-round pick of the Jaguars posted QB1 fantasy production during the final weeks of the 2015 season. This was before Chip Kelley came to town. Colin Kapernick has worn out his welcome with teammates and staff and is still not cleared for OTAs as of the first week of June. Kelley is talking up Gabbert and it was Kelley that made Nick Foles fantasy relevant.

Summary

It's not surprising that Gabbert has been given a second NFL chance after his disastrous Jacksonville stint. But it's truly shocking that he's actually the best starting option somewhere. Gabbert stepped in for anemic starter Colin Kaepernick midway through the 2015 season and turned in by far the best play of his career, and the team seems convinced he's the best man going forward. It's hard to argue; Kaepernick is a sheer mess when presiding over a passing game, while Gabbert was an above-average NFL passer by most metrics. With Chip Kelly in town and offensive volume headed through the roof, Gabbert has sneaky value at the end of the QB2 spectrum. Yes, Gabbert was unequivocally bad as a Jaguar. Prior to 2015, he "boasted" a 66.8 rating and a 3.79 adjusted net yards per attempt that was significantly worse than even Tim Tebow's. But that was only a sample of 784 attempts; it's also fair to lend some credence to his adequate 2015 passing performance. He still took too many sacks and struggled mightily to push the ball downfield, but he posted his best efficiency numbers by a mile and tacked on 23 rushing yards a game. The rushing aspect is big: Consider that Kelly asked lead-footed Nick Foles to take 4.4 rushes per game in 2013. Note that Gabbert posted better three-cone and jump numbers at his 2011 combine than Kaepernick did at his, and that Pro Football Focus credits him with the stronger 2015 scrambling production of the two. Gabbert probably boasts a similar upside to that of realistic, 2014 Foles: a borderline QB2 with moderate job security and sneaky upside in an offense that takes as many snaps as anyone. But unlike 2014 Foles, Gabbert is coming to fantasy owners nearly free of charge, with a current ADP at the sheer bottom of most drafts. (May 11)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 31, 24, 25, 28, 29, 29, 29, 29, 31, 32, 33, 34, 34
QB Dynasty - 34, 31, 32, 39, 42

Stats and Projections

YEARGCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumL
2013 JAX 3 42 86 481 1 7 9 32 0
2014 SF 1 3 7 38 1 0 1 5 0
2015 SF 8 178 282 2031 10 7 32 185 1 1
2016 PROJ-Dodds 13 246 410 * * * 45 * * *
2016 PROJ-Henry 14 295 475 * * * 40 * * *
2016 PROJ-Wood 6 114 200 * * * 30 * * *
2016 PROJ-Tremblay 10 210 338 * * * 49 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 223
QB: 31

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

Team Report      Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

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Latest News

49ers | Blaine Gabbert praised by Jerry Rice (Fri Jul 22, 12:36 PM) - Former San Francisco 49ers WR Jerry Rice praised QB Blaine Gabbert, who will be competing for the starting quarterback job with QB Colin Kaepernick in training camp. 'I had an opportunity to meet him, and you can just tell the confidence. He feels he has a legitimate chance of being the starter. Then you got Colin Kaepernick, and I don't know if they're gonna be able to, you know, that offense of Chip Kelly because he likes to get over the ball, he likes constant movement and all of that,' Rice said.

Our View: Nick Foles wasn't thought of much more highly than Gabbert is right now before he was a stud QB1 during his first season under Chip Kelly. Gabbert doesn't have Foles' supporting cast, but he does have a terrible team that will put him in catchup game scripts all year. We wouldn't draft Gabbert, but he could be a nice cheap DFS play for some matchups and part of a streaming quarterback approach, assuming he holds off Kaepernick.
link to story   

49ers | All eyes will be on QB battle (Thu Jul 21, 02:21 AM) - San Francisco 49ers QBs Blaine Gabbert and Colin Kaepernick head into training camp battling for the starting job under center. Many in the organization feel Gabbert is a better fit in head coach Chip Kelly's offense, and he has a good grasp of the offseason.

Our View: This entire situation just makes you feel ill. We do think Kaepernick could be a solid fit in Kelly's offense and find it hard to believe Gabbert is the real fit. That said, Kelly moves to the beat of his own drummer (and that guy is not exactly Neil Pert) so either outcome is possible. Gabbert did look OK last year and had a solid end to 2015 but we'd still avoid him as more than QB3.
link to story   

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