QB Matt Flynn - New Orleans Saints
|6-2, 230||Born: 6-20-1985||College: LSU||Drafted: Round 7, pick 2008|
Week 15: at Carolina Panthers
FBG says: Good matchup. Drew Brees is actually enjoying the most efficient season of his career, though fantasy players aren't impressed. Brees is posting his best touchdown and adjusted yardage rates ever, with just 4 interceptions on the year, and is shattering his own record with a stunning 76% completion mark. But as the Saints continue to win games fairly easily, he's not being given much volume - and not producing many counting stats. Brees has averaged just 226 yards over his last 8 games and hasn't topped 201 in 3 weeks. That said, it's obvious what upside this passing game carries when pressed to perform. Michael Thomas continues to dominate the attack, taking on 28% of team targets and producing 35% of the yardage. His volume comes and goes, but in his 5 games of double-digit targets, he's averaged 12 catches for 141 yards. His 86% catch rate is record-breaking and gives him a strong ceiling and floor in fantasy. The only other usable pieces are running back Alvin Kamara, who averages 5 and 52 a game, and the upside of rookie Tre'Quan Smith. Smith has erupted twice and racked up 16.9 yards per catch, but has drawn just 2 targets over the last 2 weeks. Brees, Thomas, and Kamara are full of fantasy upside, all capable of a blowup game in any matchup. But game flow will always determine their floors, which can doom fantasy lineups. The Panthers pass defense has long been a boom-or-bust unit, but typically a more dependable one than this. Over the last 6 weeks, they've allowed quarterbacks to complete 70% of their throws at a robust 8.7 yards per attempt. Game flow and volume have stopped some of the bleeding on this Carolina losing streak, but this has still become one of fantasy's tastier matchups. The pass rush, which has dominated for years, is struggling to get home here - Julius Peppers and Wes Horton have combined for just 5.5 sacks. And the secondary is in even worse shape, with cornerbacks James Bradberry and Donte Jackson struggling for consistency. Bradberry trades off great coverage snaps with bad lapses, and Jackson has fallen off markedly from a fantastic start to his rookie season. Over that 6-game stretch, 4 opposing receivers have reached 100 yards, and 8 have topped 80. They've allowed big, game-breaking completions to guys like Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster, but also to the likes of Adam Humphries, David Moore, and Breshad Perriman.
Weekly Performance vs QB 1, QB 12, QB 24
Matt Flynn's percentile rank in each category, among QB with more than 50 fantasy points.
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Jeff Tefertiller - October 16
|15||@ Carolina Panthers|
|16||vs Pittsburgh Steelers|
|17||vs Carolina Panthers|