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RB James Develin - New England Patriots

6-3, 251Born: 7-23-1988College: BrownDrafted: ---

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Week 12: vs Miami Dolphins

All RB vs MIA

FBG says: Good matchup. Dion Lewis impressed again in Week 11, tallying 60 yards on 10 carries. With Mike Gillislee out of the team's plans, he's now the clear lead back and on a fairly hot stretch, averaging 4.86 and 56.7 per game over the Patriots' last 6. We can never be totally sure about Josh McDaniels' backfield rotation, but at the moment, Lewis appears to be the only cemented part of it; Rex Burkhead and James White are little more than complementary runners. The issue comes with Lewis' usage in this Tom Brady-centered offense: he doesn't see much volume nor many goal line carries, so he relies on massive per-touch efficiency for his fantasy value. It's not shrewd to project him beyond 60-65 ground yards, even in the tastiest of matchups, and he's rarely more than a flex play in fantasy. Still, any prominent player in this Patriots offense is a weekly threat to chew up garbage time and find the end zone, so that value appears locked-in. The Dolphins run defense returned to its suffocating early-season ways last week, but it's hard to read much into it. They faced the Buccaneers rushing "attack," headlined by the wildly ineffective Doug Martin and easily one of the league's weakest units. And over the previous few weeks, Miami had been simply atrocious in terms of addressing the run, allowing 174 yards to the Ravens in Week 8 and 294 to the Panthers in Week 10. The team released wheezing, aging linebacker Rey Maualuga this week after an arrest, and the rest of the front seven remains exceptionally hit-or-miss against the run. The team boasts fine tackling safeties, but their impact typically isn't felt until the ball is already downfield. This unit isn't a dumpster fire, but it's growing more and more targetable as the season wears on.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
8 vs LAC 29 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
10 at DEN 45 0 0 0 2 2 16 0 0 1.6
11 at OAK 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 vs MIA PROJ-Tremblay * 0 * * 1 * * * *

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Footballguys Articles

eVALUEator: Week 12
  Austin Lee - November 21
eVALUEator: Week 11
  Austin Lee - November 14
eVALUEator: Week 10
  Austin Lee - November 7
eVALUEator: Week 7
  Austin Lee - October 17
eVALUEator: Week 6
  Austin Lee - October 10
eVALUEator: Week 5
  Austin Lee - October 3
eVALUEator: Week 4
  Austin Lee - September 26

Schedule

12vs Miami Dolphins
13@ Buffalo Bills
14@ Miami Dolphins
15@ Pittsburgh Steelers
16vs Buffalo Bills
17vs New York Jets