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TE Vernon Davis - San Francisco 49ers

6-3, 253Born: 1-31-1984College: MarylandDrafted: Round 1, pick 6

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Photo: Tim Heitman, US Presswire

Summary

The lynchpin of the old Alex Smith passing game, Davis has been largely an afterthought in Colin Kaepernick's offense. In 37 games with Kaepernick, Davis has seen his target share fall to 16.5%, a mark that just can't produce TE1 opportunity in an offense that throws the ball this little. And you certainly can't pin your hopes on it when you consider the dumpster fire that was Davis' 2014. Injuries and increased blocking usage were factors, but Davis set or tied career lows in targets, receptions, yardage, touchdowns, and red zone looks. All were horrendous downturns, but the red zone usage may have been the most egregious. After averaging 11 red zone targets over his first seven years, Davis saw just one in 2014; in fact, he was held out of the end zone entirely after Week One. An aging third option in a low-volume passing game, Davis doesn't look like a very attractive flier for 2015. Anquan Boldin has claimed the role of Kaepernick's safest target, and newcomer Torrey Smith was paid handsomely to upgrade the team's shaky WR2 spot. The hope is that Davis reclaims his touchdown-proficient ways and provides sporadic TE1 value, and some progression to the mean is likely there. That would at least provide usefulness as a cheap DFS dice roll, as well as best-ball value at his current TE25 ADP. But even with a return to 4-6 touchdowns, Davis' redraft value depends upon several external factors completely reversing course. (May 22)

FBG Staff Rankings

TE Redraft - 25, 14, 14, 15, 17, 17, 21, 22, 22, 22, 25, 25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 26, 26, 28, 29, 30, 35
TE Redraft PPR - 25, 14, 14, 17, 19, 21, 21, 22, 22, 22, 23, 25, 25, 26, 26, 26, 26, 27, 27, 27, 29, 29, 34
TE Dynasty - 25, 19, 23, 28, 28, 34

Stats and Projections

YEARGRECYDTD
2012 SF 16 41 548 5
2013 SF 15 52 850 13
2014 SF 14 26 245 2
2015 PROJ-Dodds 15 41 * *
2015 PROJ-Henry 16 47 * *
2015 PROJ-Wood 16 40 * *
2015 PROJ-Tremblay 16 42 * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 149
TE: 16
Overall-PPR: 156
TE-PPR: 19

San Francisco 49ers Team Links

Team Report      Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

Footballguys Articles

Free Agency Winners and Losers - TE
  Sigmund Bloom - April 7
Tremblay's Notebook
  Maurile Tremblay - May 11
The Unusual Suspects: Players to Target in Your Final Drafts
  Phil Alexander - August 27
Gut Check No.345: Crimes Against Fantasy
  Matt Waldman - August 27
Gut Check No.339: Players I Believe In
  Matt Waldman - July 31
Dynasty Trade Value: Tight End In-Depth
  Dan Hindery - August 29
Deep Sleepers: Tight Ends
  FBG Staff - July 8
Preseason Roundtable #4
  FBG Staff - August 20
Reception Perception: Steve Johnson is the Surest Sleeper Around
  Matt Harmon - August 20
Deep Sleepers: Tight Ends
  FBG Staff - August 19

Articles from around the web

Using 2014 to Find Balance In 2015 Fantasy Football
  Rich Hribar - May 13
"Way Too Early" 2015 Strength of Schedule Analysis
  Fantasy OMatic - May 16
TE Tiers Show Depth and Upside for 2015
  James Naddeo - May 23
Overvalued / Undervalued Tight Ends
  Kyle Smith - July 31
Make the Right Call: Fantasy tight end strategy
  Alex Gelhar - August 28
Silva's Preseason Top 200
  Evan Silva - August 26
Fantasy Top 25s
  Patrick Daugherty - August 24
2015 Fantasy Football: Finding Value at TE
  Adam Inman - August 21
WR/TE Primer 2015: Should you get down with Brown in Round 1? Plus, Gronk, busts and deep sleepers
  Brad Evans - August 20
Fantasy Football Sleepers 2015: The Top 25 Names to Know
   - June 29

2015 Schedule

1vs Minnesota Vikings
2@ Pittsburgh Steelers
3@ Arizona Cardinals
4vs Green Bay Packers
5@ New York Giants
6vs Baltimore Ravens
7vs Seattle Seahawks
8@ St. Louis Rams
9vs Atlanta Falcons
10--- BYE WEEK ---
11@ Seattle Seahawks
12vs Arizona Cardinals
13@ Chicago Bears
14@ Cleveland Browns
15vs Cincinnati Bengals
16@ Detroit Lions
17vs St. Louis Rams