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QB Chase Daniel - New Orleans Saints

6-0, 218Born: 10-7-1986College: MissouriDrafted: ---

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Week 14: at Atlanta Falcons

All QB vs ATL

FBG says: Good matchup. Drew Brees remains arguably the NFL's most efficient passer; he's just no longer a very prolific one. Brees is characteristically leading the league in completion rate (a stunning 71.5%) and net yards per attempt (7.56), which factors in sacks and sack yards lost. He's just not producing much by way of counting stats right now. He's averaging just 274.8 yards per game - his lowest mark since his 2005 swan song with the Chargers - and is on pace to land below 30 touchdowns for the first time since 2007 (he's posting just 1.41 per week). The Saints are simply dominating the NFL on the ground, and there's no reason to expect them to change up as they soar toward the playoffs. Of course, one could argue that the pace set by Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara isn't sustainable forever, and that they'll eventually need Brees' production to tick upward. But for the foreseeable future, they're better off preserving him as much as possible, so it seems short-sighted to merely assume a big change. This is a ground-dominated team, and Brees lacks the safe, 35-attempt floor we're so accustomed to. All of this makes Michael Thomas' 2017 accomplishments even more impressive; he remains a weekly WR1 with a sturdy floor, averaging 6.3 catches and 73.9 yards a game. The Falcons pass defense has come together nicely as a fairly stout unit, giving up just 228 yards per game, ninth-best in football). Top cornerback Desmond Trufant is posting another strong season as a shutdown force, and he'll spend much of Week 13 blanketing Michael Thomas. Opposing WR1s have generally struggled to create much against Atlanta, including Dez Bryant (39 on 8), Doug Baldwin (40 on 6), and Mike Evans (78 on 12). Still, like most good-not-great units, the Falcons do tend to break down against stronger passing games. Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, and Russell Wilson all topped 250 yards in this matchup, and even Josh McCown (257 and 2 touchdowns) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (283) posted big days. This unit is serviceable, but shouldn't be a real deterrent for Drew Brees.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLPts
10 at BUF 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 0 0 -0.2
14 at ATL PROJ-Tremblay * 0 0 * * * 0 * * * *

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Footballguys Articles

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Buy Low, Sell High: Week 13
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Articles from around the web

NFL's Best QB Situations 2017
  Patrick Daugherty - May 30
Workload Projections: NFC
  Doug Orth - August 1
FANTASY OBSERVATIONS: Preseason Week 2 (Part 3)
  Will Weiler - August 24

Schedule

14@ Atlanta Falcons
15vs New York Jets
16vs Atlanta Falcons
17@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers