FBG says: Neutral matchup. The Titans rushing offense continues to play as one of the best units in the league as they have now exceeded 160 rushing yards in four straight games. Derrick Henry has been the top fantasy running back in football over the second half of the season, averaging 132 rushing yards per game, 6.7 yards per carry, and double the touchdowns (8) of any other running back since Week 9. He has exceeded 100 rushing yards in four straight games with two rushing touchdowns in three of those outings. The Titans offensive line has been blocking extraordinarily well down the stretch, especially as all starters have remained healthy. Ryan Tannehill also continues to show some upside with his legs as he ran for 19 yards last week and had exceeded 35 rushing yards in three of his last five outings. The one thing to watch for this week will be Henry's hamstring injury, as it limited him in the second half last week to the point that Henry sat out the entire fourth quarter. His practice status may be murky as Henry has been on a game management plan necessitating very few practices, so keep an eye on his status late in the week and leading into Sunday morning.
Leading into Week 14, the Texans rushing defense had been uncharacteristically exposed. From Weeks 11 to 13, the Texans allowed 157.3 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry to running backs while giving up the most fantasy points per game in the league to the position over that span. This reeling run defense showed signs of improvement in Week 14 though, as they limited the Broncos backfield to just over 3.1 yards per rush attempt and 75 rushing yards despite facing an extremely negative game script after the Broncos jumped out to a huge 31-3 lead at halftime. This run defense had been one of the better groups in football prior to their Week 10 bye, and last week showed much of what we saw through the first half of the season. Zach Cunningham is an above-average linebacker against the run, while D.J. Reader is one of the better run-plugging defensive linemen in the league. With that, the rest of this Texans defensive line--notable Angelo Blackson on the right side--can be beaten in the trenches, particularly by a Titans offensive line that is playing very well. Derrick Henry is a stout matchup for nearly any defense in football right now, and he should have the edge in this one.