TE Brad Cottam - Kansas City Chiefs
|6-7, 270||Born: 12-28-1984||College: Tennessee||Drafted: Round 3|
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Week 12: vs Buffalo Bills
All TE vs BUF
FBG says: Good matchup. Alex Smith is truly coming out of his shell at age 33. Long a game-managing dink-and-dunk artist mocked for his lack of sizzle, Smith is posting his best per-game total by 34 yards and his best touchdown rate ever for a full season. He's truly embracing Andy Reid quarterbacking: generally safe and sanitized, yet always willing to pounce on a downfield play. Granted, this is very much a three-man receiving game; Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Kareem Hunt dominate targets to a wild degree. That's good for fantasy owners seeking target share and volume, but a shaky setup for Smith, who essentially can't succeed without strong days from them. Smith will continue to be boom-or-bust, though it's encouraging how often he's boomed thus far, and the Bills' aggressive secondary could be a gift just as easily as a detriment.
Much like its run defense, the Buffalo pass unit is falling apart. The cornerback play remains generally solid, if occasionally overaggressive, but the coverage play of the safeties and linebackers has gone straight downhill. It culminated in the Chargers' Keenan Allen somehow catching 12 of his 13 targets for 159 yards last week, but it's been a problem for several weeks. They've now allowed a wideout to notch 73+ yards and/or 1 touchdown in 6 straight games, and Allen's mammoth line joined those of A.J. Green (7 for 189 and 1) and Mike Evans (7 for 88 and 1) among opposing WR1s. There are huge splash plays to be tried against this gambling defense, and at the moment, they're all working. That puts Alex Smith and company in a solid spot to rebound from their slump.
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