RB Matt Breida - San Francisco 49ers
|5-11, 190||Born: 2-28-1995||College: Georgia Southern||Drafted: ---|
Week 20: vs Green Bay Packers - $3400
FBG says: Good matchup. The San Francisco 49ers' rushing attack is one of the league's best units. In a pass-first league, their focus on the run game is a unique differentiator for this offense, whose personnel perfectly aligns with their offensive tendencies. While the offensive line grades as a barely-above-average unit overall, George Kittle and Kyle Juzsczyk, two elite run-blockers at tight end and fullback, respectively, help create massive rushing lanes for the numerous running backs that see regular action in this backfield. Down the stretch of the regular season, Raheem Mostert saw the majority of the work in the backfield, playing over 50-percent of snaps in every regular-season game since Week 12. However, this changed in last week's game, as he took a backseat to Tevin Coleman. Mostert still carried the ball 12 times on the day, but his 34-percent snap-share and overall involvement in the offense were bested by Coleman's numbers. Coleman played 46-percent of San Francisco's offensive snaps, his highest total since Week 12, and he carried the ball 22 times for 105 yards and 2 scores, with the carry and yardage totals matching his season-highs. Coleman was a marquee free agent signing for the 49ers, and his decreased workload ahead of the playoffs may have been an effort to preserve his health for the most important games on the team's schedule. Expect Coleman to lead the way in the team's backfield once again this weekend against Green Bay. Green Bay's run defense overall grades as a slightly-below-average unit, facing medial volume but allowing the 10th-most rushing yardage, 13th-highest number of rushing touchdowns, and 9th-most yards per carry of any team in the NFL. On the year, the Packers only allowed 3 100-yard rushers, but their inability to keep opposing running backs out of the end zone hurt the unit, as they allowed the 8th-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. In the trenches, Za'Darius Smith and Kenny Clark both excel at filling rushing lanes; however, both players have been plagued by missed tackles this season, preventing their full impact from being felt. At linebacker, Blake Martinez is one of the league-leaders in tackles. However, his high tackle count is a product of simply being a sure tackler that cleans up the mess after the defensive-front frequently whiffs on finishing plays. Martinez struggles to quickly identify plays and stuff them in their tracks, as only 5 out of his 155 total tackles have come behind the line of scrimmage. In the secondary, the primary run-supported is Adrian Amos. Amos was brought in this offseason to fill the void left by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, and he has surpassed all expectations as an elite pass and run defender. Overall, Green Bay's defense will likely struggle to contain San Francisco's elite and sophisticated rushing attack this weekend. Expect 49ers' head coach and play-caller Kyle Shanahan to take full advantage of the Packers' relative weakness against the run in a soft matchup for his top-flight ground game.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36
Matt Breida's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2019 Week 19 vs MIN (8 / 17 / 0 rush, 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec - 0.7 points, $3300)
Breida was only in during garbage time in the fourth quarter and he had a fumble that will give the team pause about using him again in the playoffs.
2019 Week 15 vs ATL (4 / 11 / 0 rush, 2 / 2 / 6 / 0 rec - 2.7 points, $4100)
Breida once again played a lower snap share than Raheem Mostert. It still may be partially due to Breida's perpetual "less than 100% status," but the bigger reason -- at least this week in particular -- was a fumble he lost in scoring position at the end of the third quarter. It didn't directly result in points for the Falcons, but it was an eggregious enough error that Breida had exactly zero touches afterward.
2019 Week 14 vs NO (6 / 54 / 0 rush, 1 / 1 / 4 / 0 rec - 6.8 points, $4600)
Breida first touch didn't come until just before halftime, but it gained a crucial 28 yards that set San Francisco up for a scoring drive that gave them their first lead of the game. On the play, Breida cut back and accelerated through a huge hole up the middle. Kendrick Bourne blocked two Saints out of the play, which allowed Breida to get to the secondary and turn on the jets. Deep into the fourth quarter, San Francisco was able to extend their lead to 45-40 thanks to Breida picking up 15 yards on three consecutive carries that put his offense in chip shot field goal range.
2019 Week 10 vs SEA (10 / 18 / 0 rush, 2 / 2 / 7 / 0 rec - 4.5 points, $4900)
Completely on-brand, Breida left the game early due to injury. Before doing so, all of the carries before his last one came against eight-man boxes, and so they mostly went nowhere.
2019 Week 9 vs ARI (15 / 78 / 0 rush, 2 / 2 / 14 / 0 rec - 11.2 points, $5000)
Nearly two-thirds of Breida's 94 scrimmage yards came on three plays: Two runs of 31 and 19 yards respectively in which he wasn't touched until the end; and a 9-yard reception in which he wasn't covered on a shallow cross across the middle.
2019 Week 8 vs CAR (11 / 35 / 0 rush, 1 / 1 / 15 / 0 rec - 6 points, $4800)
Breida gained 32 of his 50 scrimmage yards on two plays. On San Francisco's first drive, which ended in a touchdown, Breida ran untouched for 15 yards down to the Panthers 2 yard line after faking a handoff, then turning around to catch a shovel pass. This was more a particularly clever design by Kyle Shanahan than anything. Then, just before the 49ers scored their third touchdown, Breida took an outside zone pitch 17 yards down to Carolina's 10 yard line -- once again untouched until being tackled.
2019 Week 7 vs WAS (8 / 35 / 0 rush, 1 / 1 / 1 / 0 rec - 4.6 points, $5300)
Breida started to get things going late in the first half, with a couple of nice cutbacks on outside zone for 20 total yards. Unfortunately, he wasn't used in the final 25 minutes of game time due to a possible concussion.
2019 Week 6 vs LAR (13 / 36 / 0 rush, 4 / 4 / 27 / 0 rec - 10.3 points, $5100)
Breida played less than usual because he was nursing an ankle injury for most of the game. There weren't many holes to run through, but he did have a couple of explosive runs in the third quater. One inolved spinning out of a hit at the line of scrimmage, creating 8 yards out of nothing. The second saw Breida explode through a hole, and nearly spin out of another tackle 9 yards downfield.
2019 Week 5 vs CLE (11 / 114 / 1 rush, 3 / 3 / 15 / 1 rec - 30.9 points, $5100)
Although Breida's highlight reel got much of the attention in the aftermath of this game, astute observers will recognize that a) his was basically a two-play performance, and b) the defense didn't come within yards of him on either of said plays. To wit, on Breida's 83-yard touchdown to start the game, blocks by Kyle Juszczyk and George Kittle catapulted him to the second level of the defense, and his 4.39-forty warp drive sent him to the end zone untouched. Similarly, rookie Cleveland linebacker Mack Wilson seemed to get defeated by Breida's presnap shift, as well as his pivot route out of the backfield.
2019 Week 3 vs PIT (14 / 68 / 0 rush, 3 / 2 / 20 / 0 rec - 10.8 points, $5400)
For the second straight week, Breida played only around 40 percent of snaps despite Tevin Coleman's absence. And once again, he looked like San Francisco's best running back nonetheless. Although the offensive line created gaping holes for him, Breida made defenders miss on multiple occasions. One he probably wishes he'd have made miss was linebacker Devin Bush on a third quarter carry that netted five yards, but could have gone the distance given Bush was the last line of defense between Breida and the end zone.
2019 Week 2 vs CIN (12 / 121 / 0 rush, 1 / 1 / 11 / 0 rec - 17.2 points, $5200)
There are three main takeaways from Breida's performance against Cincinnati. First, although he started, he played only 29 pecent of snaps; fewer than "backups" Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson. Relatedly, Breida came off the field when San Francisco advanced into the red zone. Finally, and on a more positive note, what with play-calling producing wide-open running lanes and receiving routes on play after play, Breida had the single-most impressive display of individual skill among the 49ers' skill position players. On 3rd-and-1 at Cincinnati's 49-yard line midway through the second quarter, Breida took a handoff and immediately ran into the backside of center Weston Richburg. However, he saw a cutback lane to his right and took it, but cornerback William Jackson III had him dead to rights on backside contain. No worries, Breida jump cut to the right as Jackson III dove at his legs, then jump cut back to the left to juke linebacker Nick Vigil out of his shoes. After that Herculean effort to gain that first yard, the final 33 yards of the run were a relative piece of cake.
2019 Week 1 vs TB (15 / 37 / 0 rush, 1 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec - 3.7 points, $4000)
Because of linebacker Lavonte David playing like a heat-seeking missile, only three of Breida's touches went for more than three yards, two of which came on consecutive third quarter plays. The first of these gained 10 yards off left tackle, 5 of which came after Breida juked cornerback Vernon Hargreaves out of his shoes. On the next play, also out of the rare 22 personnel (two running backs, two tight ends), Breida slithered through heavy traffic off right tackle and picked up 13 yards.
Latest News49ers | San Francisco on to NFC Championship game (Sat Jan 11, 07:36 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo went 11-for-19 for 131 yards, one touchdown and one interception against the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round playoff game. RB Tevin Coleman rushed for 105 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries. RB Raheem Mostert rushed for 58 yards on 12 carries, while RB Matt Breida rushed for 17 yards on eight carries. WR Deebo Samuel caught three passes for 42 yards on six targets. WR Kendrick Bourne caught three passes for 40 yards and one touchdown on five targets. WR Emmanuel Sanders caught two passes for 33 yards on two targets, while TE George Kittle caught three passes for 16 yards on five targets. Our View: The 49ers are going to be at home for the NFC Championship Game as the No.1 seed in the conference. Their defense is playing at a high level and their offense can beat you up with the ground game. We'll see if the Packers or the Seahawks are the team traveling to play the 49ers next Sunday.
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