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QB Tom Brady - New England Patriots

6-4, 210Born: 8-3-1977College: MichiganDrafted: Round 6

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Photo: Bob DeChiara, US Presswire

Preseason player page

News you need to know

From the upgrade/downgrade report (Tue Sep 30): It ends not with a bang, but a whimper. The "it" in this case is Tom Brady's run as a fantasy QB1 in anyone's mind. He might not even be worth rostering soon. Things are most certainly not looking up heading into a matchup at Cincinnati this week.

General News (Tue Sep 30): and the offense struggled mightily in a 41-14 thrashing by the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4 Monday, Sept. 29, and head coach Bill Belichick hasn't been able to settle on a starting group on the offensive line. Bryan Stork, a rookie, debuted as the starting center, and Cameron Fleming debuted as a starting guard. The team benched both starting tackles at various points during the game. Brady hasn't had much time to throw all year, and he was off target Monday.

Week 5: vs Cincinnati Bengals

Detailed matchup analysis coming soon.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumL
1 at MIA 29 56 249 1 0 1 3 0 2
2 at MIN 15 22 149 1 0 1 0 0 0
3 vs OAK 24 37 234 1 0 3 -7 0 0
4 at KC 14 23 159 1 2 0 0 0 1
5 vs CIN PROJ-Dodds 25 41 * * * 1 * * *
5 vs CIN PROJ-Tremblay 24 40 * * * 1 * * *
5 vs CIN PROJ-Bloom 18 34 * * * 1 * * *

Recent Game Summaries

2014 Week 2 vs MIN (15 / 22 / 149 / 1 / 0 pass, 1 / 0 / 0 rush)

Weeks 1 and 2 were night and day for Tom Brady. Though his paltry stat line doesn't show it, he was more accurate, pass protection was much better, and he made good decisions throughout the day. In stark contrast to Week 1's 56 pass attempts, Brady only attempted 22 in Week 2, as he simply needed to manage the game and let the running game and defense take over. In 23 dropbacks, Brady was only sacked once and hurried a few times, and the relatively clean pocket combined with no drops allowed an efficient day. Brady had a couple solid throws, including a great back shoulder laser to Aaron Dobson and a solid 44 yard bomb to Julian Edelman. Brady's touchdown came off an audible where the Vikings stacked the box. This left Edelman 1 on 1, and a corner route executed to perfection turned into 6 points. Brady did narrowly overthrow Edelman on another deep ball that would have given him a more respectable stat line, and had a huge gain to Danny Amendola called back due to a penalty. Although the stats weren't gaudy, the Patriots would take this performance over Week 1 every single Sunday.

2014 Week 3 vs OAK (24 / 37 / 234 / 1 / 0 pass, 3 / -7 / 0 rush)

Although it was a more balanced game than the last two weeks, this Patriots offense looked more ugly than good throughout most of the game against the Raiders, and Tom Brady had plenty to do with it. However, the first thing to take note of, once again, was the offensive line. It certainly made good use of the word 'offensive' in 'offensive line', as the pass protection for Tom Brady was just about as bad as it was in Week 1 against Miami. Brady took pressure after pressure, hit after hit. One wonders how his body will be able to hold up at this rate through the course of the season. Terrible protection notwithstanding, Brady himself looked off on several throws. The first three plays of the game were all passing plays, and on all three plays, Brady showed no touch on shorter passes and instead rifled them like lasers, making the receptions either tough or impossible for his receivers. He missed Rob Gronkowski on a notable wide open crossing route that would have picked up big yardage, and as usual, was ineffective throwing down the field. Another trend that reared its head was the Julian Edelman showed, as Brady showed no rapport with anyone but Edelman on the field. Brady's lone touchdown was a fairly easy toss to Rob Gronkowski from 6 yards out, no frills attached. He also could have had another touchdown, but had two dropped balls by receivers in the endzone. Gronkowski dropped a tipped ball that was still very catchable, and Brady narrowly missed Danny Amendola for a touchdown that he could have located a bit better, but was still very catchable. Brady also led one of the worst clock management performances you'll see at the end of a half, getting lucky to escape the half with a field goal. Three drives bogged down in the red zone, and simply put, 16 points won't be enough to win on most weeks for the Patriots.

2014 Week 4 vs KC (14 / 23 / 159 / 1 / 2 pass, 0 / 0 / 0 rush)

No two ways to put it: Tom Brady is playing atrociously, and if he didn't have his pedigree, there would be a quarterback controversy brewing for yet another AFC East team. His offensive line is still a work in progress - against the Chiefs, the Patriots started two rookies and continued to play musical chairs throughout the game. His receivers aren't getting much separation. Both of these issues aren't likely to resolve themselves anytime soon, and that certainly isn't helping things. Despite all that, Brady has simply been terrible in isolation. Once again, Brady missed throws, made poor decisions, looked skittish, felt phantom pressure, and a host of other things you simply don't expect from a starting caliber NFL quarterback. His lone touchdown was all Brandon Lafell, who took a slant 44 yards to the house after ripping through 2 tackles. His fumbles were a product of quick pressure, but the first one shouldn't have been a fumble at all, as he saw the pressure coming. Brady's first interception was an ugly miscommunication between him and Julian Edelman, who stopped a good 10 yards short of where Brady placed the ball. No one knows whether that was on Brady or Edelman, but considering the rapport those two have, that was very unexpected. Brady's second interception was one of the worst NFL throws and decisions you'll ever see, as a defender was standing about 15 yards deep and not moving at all when Brady rifled it to him on a pass in the general neighborhood of Danny Amendola. Amendola was about 10 yards from the ball, and one wonders what Brady saw. All in all, an ugly game, and at this point, fantasy owners and Patriots fans alike have plenty of justification to worry about their quarterback

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Latest News

Patriots | Tom Brady scared in the pocket? (Tue Sep 30, 10:27 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady has looked 'scared to death' throwing the ball this season, his former teammate, Rodney Harrison, said Tuesday, Sept. 30.

Our View: Harrison has his opinion, and we don't full agree with that stance. Because of the poor play of the offensive line, Brady looks uncomfortable...but we're not going to say that he was "scared" on his dropbacks.
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Patriots | O-line hurting Patriots (Tue Sep 30, 12:17 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady and the offense struggled mightily in a 41-14 thrashing by the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4 Monday, Sept. 29, and head coach Bill Belichick hasn't been able to settle on a starting group on the offensive line. C Bryan Stork, a rookie, debuted as the starting center, and OG Cameron Fleming debuted as the starting guard. The team benched both starting tackles at various points during the game. Brady hasn't had much time to throw all year, and he was off target Monday.

Our View: In the past five drafts, the Patriots have taken more quarterbacks (2) than they have offensive linemen (1) in the first three rounds. There's a reason why they're struggling to protect Brady.
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Patriots | Tom Brady lifted early (Mon Sep 29, 10:27 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady completed 14 of his 23 pass attempts for 159 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions in the Week 4 loss against the Kansas City Chiefs Monday, Sept. 29. One of the interceptions was returned for a touchdown.

Our View: Wow. Just wow. Something looks off with Tom Brady, but we didn't expect his night to end prematurely in a blowout loss to the Chiefs. We'll see if the team can get this offense back on track.
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Patriots | Tom Brady rushed to make throws (Wed Sep 24, 04:09 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady didn't try to get deeper into his progressions in Week 3 against the Oakland Raiders until late in the second half. There were only two times when Brady looked past his first read and wasn't under serious pressure from the Raiders' pass rush. On both of those instances, Brady completed a pass to WR Julian Edelman.

Our View: Brady's average time in the pocket is 2.2 seconds, and that ranks 6th-fastest in the NFL (Peyton Manning no.1, 1.99 seconds). He ranks 5th in the NFL in average time before a pass at 2.33 seconds. Brady is under duress consistently when looking through his progressions deeper down the field, which is why Edelman and TE Rob Gronkowski are being targeted more - they are his best and most consistent receivers.
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Patriots | Tom Brady's calf could be an issue (Mon Sep 22, 11:48 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (calf) could have a legit calf injury because his touch and velocity has been off in the early part of the season. Brady also rushed a few throws in Week 2 after taking some hits the previous week. Brady appears to have a lack of trust with his offensive line, in the opinion of beat writer Chad Finn.

Our View: Brady just seems....off this year. He's not playing up to his potential, and he's struggling to throw deep. Brady currently ranks 12th in the league in QB pressure rate, and he's getting pressured on 25.6 percent of his dropbacks. We no longer see Brady as a QB1 for fantasy. This team and this offense is content just running to win, and passing is not a priority unless they're playing from behind. They had a great matchup against a poor Raiders defense in Week 3, but the Patriots only scored 16 points. Adjust your expectations for Brady accordingly.
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More News

New England Patriots Team Links

Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

Staff Dynasty Rankings

QB Dynasty - 21, 12, 17, 18, 22, 23, 27

Footballguys Articles

Faceoff: Finding a Future Dynasty Stud
  FBG Staff - June 11
AFC Roster Check Pre-Free Agency
  Jeff Tefertiller - March 3
From The Gut
  Sigmund Bloom - June 6
The Gut Check No.293-A Trip to the Thrift Store
  Matt Waldman - May 20
Quarterback By Committee 2014
  Chase Stuart - June 19
Rearview QB
  Chase Stuart - June 5
Gut Check No.318: ADP vs. End of Season
  Matt Waldman - September 30
The Docket: Week 4
  Ari Ingel - September 24
Believe It Or Not: Week 3
  Heath Cummings - September 16
Kings for a Day: Week 2 DraftKings Plays
  Phil Alexander - September 12

Articles from around the web

Fantasy value of 2014 draft picks
  Christopher Harris - May 11
Post-Draft Dynasty Ranks - QB
  Mike Clay - May 20
Four Downs: AFC East
  Cian Fahey - June 5
The Two-QB Mindset
  Salvatore Stefanile - June 6
Early Draftmaster Strategy & Observations from MFL10s
  Scott Pagel - June 6
QBs in Focus: Drop-back Depth
  Steve Palazzolo - June 7
Late-Season Bloomers - Heading Into 2014 With Momentum
  John Paulsen - June 16
Brady's Durable, but His Supporting Cast Isn't.
  Thomas J. Harrigan - August 11
ADP First Look: Overvalued
  Adam Levitan - July 22
QB Primer: Following the Peyton Principle is no passing fancy
  Brad Evans - July 16

Schedule

5vs Cincinnati Bengals
6@ Buffalo Bills
7vs New York Jets
8vs Chicago Bears
9vs Denver Broncos
10--- BYE WEEK ---
11@ Indianapolis Colts
12vs Detroit Lions
13@ Green Bay Packers
14@ San Diego Chargers
15vs Miami Dolphins
16@ New York Jets
17vs Buffalo Bills