QB Tom Brady - New England Patriots
|6-4, 210||Born: 8-3-1977||College: Michigan||Drafted: Round 6|
News you need to know
From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Sep 15): Brady's meager stat line was more a product of game script than poor play by him or his offense, but he is still not looking like as much of a threat as a downfield passer as he was in the past, and the Patriots defense and Stevan Ridley waking up could be a bad omen for Brady's fantasy value. Next week brings the Raiders to town and likely a better game, but Brady is not an everyweek QB1 any longer.
Week 3: vs Oakland Raiders
Mark and Joe say: Neutral matchup. Tom Brady is currently the 26th-ranked fantasy quarterback in the land, with 44/78 for 398 yards passing, two TDs and zero interceptions thrown. Julian Edelman (15 for 12/176/1) and Rob Gronkowski (17 targets for 8/72/1 receiving) are his main men in the passing game, though Gronkowski is still rusty and working his way back into shape as you can see from his sub-.500 reception percentage right now. The Raiders' pass D ranks second in the NFL through two games (164.5 net passing yards allowed per game, with three passing scores allowed and one interception so far) - Oakland's pass D doesn't get tested much as their rush D is dead last in the NFL allowing an average of 200 yards rushing per game. Ryan Fitzpatrick wasn't sacked at all last week, while throwing 14/19 for 139 net yards passing, two TDs and zero interceptions at the Black Hole. This looks like a neutral matchup for Brady and company as New England may not need to throw the ball much this week.
Recent Stats and Projections
Recent Game Summaries
2014 Week 1 vs MIA (29 / 56 / 249 / 1 / 0 pass, 1 / 3 / 0 rush)
We're often told not to overreact to Week 1 games, and most of the time, that statement is absolutely true. With that said, Tom Brady and the Patriots offense experienced so many flaws and errors it's fair to wonder how Brady will fair going forward, especially in the near term. Let's start with the biggest issue: the offensive line. The Patriots were constantly shuffling personnel in and out, putting different linemen in different spots, which meant no continuity and rhythm. It showed. This was one of the worst performances from an offensive line you'll ever see, and hopefully the good news is that there's nowhere to go but up. However, if the issues aren't corrected soon, there is no reason to think Brady will live up to his draft slot in fantasy circles. Brady himself also had a bad game, sailing multiple balls and showing the deep ball issues that have plagued him the last couple years. On throws of more than 20 yards, Brady was 1 for 10 in completions. Even on throws 10-19 yards away, Brady was 3 for 14. It was also notable that with all the pressure on the day, Brady tried to force feed Rob Gronkowski, with many of the throws often ending up way off target or chucked into double coverage without the receiver open. The running game was all but abandoned in the second half, as Brady had 56 pass attempts compared to 19 rushing attempts on the day. It allowed a great Miami defensive line to pin its ears back against a wretched offensive line and wreak havoc. Brady's lone touchdown came on a crossing route to Rob Gronkowski, who was left alone in coverage against Brent Grimes. Gronkowski will win that matchup every time, and did so on Sunday.
2014 Week 2 vs MIN (15 / 22 / 149 / 1 / 0 pass, 1 / 0 / 0 rush)
Weeks 1 and 2 were night and day for Tom Brady. Though his paltry stat line doesn't show it, he was more accurate, pass protection was much better, and he made good decisions throughout the day. In stark contrast to Week 1's 56 pass attempts, Brady only attempted 22 in Week 2, as he simply needed to manage the game and let the running game and defense take over. In 23 dropbacks, Brady was only sacked once and hurried a few times, and the relatively clean pocket combined with no drops allowed an efficient day. Brady had a couple solid throws, including a great back shoulder laser to Aaron Dobson and a solid 44 yard bomb to Julian Edelman. Brady's touchdown came off an audible where the Vikings stacked the box. This left Edelman 1 on 1, and a corner route executed to perfection turned into 6 points. Brady did narrowly overthrow Edelman on another deep ball that would have given him a more respectable stat line, and had a huge gain to Danny Amendola called back due to a penalty. Although the stats weren't gaudy, the Patriots would take this performance over Week 1 every single Sunday.
Latest NewsPatriots | Tom Brady's calf could be an issue (Mon Sep 22, 11:48 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (calf) could have a legit calf injury because his touch and velocity has been off in the early part of the season. Brady also rushed a few throws in Week 2 after taking some hits the previous week. Brady appears to have a lack of trust with his offensive line, in the opinion of beat writer Chad Finn. Our View: Brady just seems....off this year. He's not playing up to his potential, and he's struggling to throw deep. Brady currently ranks 12th in the league in QB pressure rate, and he's getting pressured on 25.6 percent of his dropbacks. We no longer see Brady as a QB1 for fantasy. This team and this offense is content just running to win, and passing is not a priority unless they're playing from behind. They had a great matchup against a poor Raiders defense in Week 3, but the Patriots only scored 16 points. Adjust your expectations for Brady accordingly.
link to story Patriots | Tom Brady leaning on Julian Edelman (Mon Sep 22, 10:13 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady has completed 84.6 percent of his passes to WR Julian Edelman. He has completed just 51.1 percent of his passes to other players. link to story Patriots | Tom Brady struggling deep (Tue Sep 16, 10:43 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady is 3-for-20 on passing attempts of 15 yards or more in the first two weeks. Our View: Brady just looks off. There's plenty of fantasy owners out there who are disappointed in what Brady has done this year. That could change for a couple of reasons in Week 3. First, the Patriots are playing at home for the first time this year. Second, they play the Raiders. Expect Brady to bounce back this week.
link to story Patriots | Tom Brady not on injury report (Thu Sep 11, 01:03 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (calf) was not listed on the team's first injury report for Week 2 Wednesday, Sept. 10. He was on the injury report last week with a calf ailment. link to story Patriots | Tom Brady practicing (Wed Sep 10, 12:10 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (calf) is participating in practice Wednesday, Sept. 10. Our View: Fantasy owners should be concerned with Brady. He just looked a little off in Week 1 against the Dolphins. On throws over 15 yards, Brady was off target (overthrown or underthrown) on 61 percent of his passes. We'll see if he can turn things around (on the road again) against the Vikings.
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|3||vs Oakland Raiders|
|4||@ Kansas City Chiefs|
|5||vs Cincinnati Bengals|
|6||@ Buffalo Bills|
|7||vs New York Jets|
|8||vs Chicago Bears|
|9||vs Denver Broncos|
|10||--- BYE WEEK ---|
|11||@ Indianapolis Colts|
|12||vs Detroit Lions|
|13||@ Green Bay Packers|
|14||@ San Diego Chargers|
|15||vs Miami Dolphins|
|16||@ New York Jets|
|17||vs Buffalo Bills|