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QB Tom Brady - New England Patriots

6-4, 210Born: 8-3-1977College: MichiganDrafted: Round 6

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Photo: Mark L. Baer, US Presswire

Summary

Tom Brady could be suspended for the first four games of the 2016 NFL season. Or he might not. He's appealing again, and we thought for sure he was suspended last season, but that didn't happen. So anyone who says they know for sure is trying to sell you something. His status does make it hard to peg when you can grab him as a fantasy player, but one thing is for sure--when he shows up, he'll produce. 2015 was one of his best seasons and while he may not hit that high water mark because of the suspension, when he does play he will put up top fantasy numbers. All you have to do is find some way to bridge the gap while he's gone, if he indeed serves his suspension. (May 20)

FBG Staff Rankings

QB Redraft - 13, 6, 8, 8, 9, 10, 12, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17, 17, 19, 19, 20, 23, 29
Overall Redraft - 96, 59
QB Dynasty - 17, 13, 14, 19, 20

Stats and Projections

YEARGCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumL
2013 NE 16 380 628 4343 25 11 33 18 0 3
2014 NE 16 374 583 4109 33 9 36 57 0 3
2015 NE 16 402 624 4770 36 7 34 53 3 2
2016 PROJ-Dodds 12 311 465 * * * 25 * * *
2016 PROJ-Henry 12 298 465 * * * 35 * * *
2016 PROJ-Wood 12 331 490 * * * 25 * * *
2016 PROJ-Tremblay 12 332 516 * * * 25 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Average Draft Position

Overall: 78
QB: 7

New England Patriots Team Links

Team Report      Depth Chart      Season Stats      Targets      Red Zone      Game Logs

Footballguys Articles

Free Agency Impact on Dynasty Values
  Dan Hindery - March 3
Dynasty Trade Value Update: Free Agency Impact
  Dan Hindery - March 14
Waivers of the Future: Free Agency Edition
  Daniel Simpkins - March 16
This Week in NFL News - 3/24/16
  Sigmund Bloom - March 24
Offseason Dynasty Rankings Commentary
  Jeff Tefertiller - April 2
Let the Games Begin: The MFL10 Fantasy Season Has Begun
  Ari Ingel - April 4
Almost Too Early 2016 Tier Rankings
  Ari Ingel - April 11
Guide to Pre-Draft MFL10s
  Sigmund Bloom - April 11
Fantasy Impact: Tom Brady and Josh Gordon
  Ari Ingel - July 13
Overvalued Players: Quarterbacks
  FBG Staff - July 7

Articles from around the web

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: the impact of Tom Brady's four-game suspension
  Ryan Fowler - July 15
Randall Cobb Has Become a Great Fantasy Football Value in 2016
  Austan Kas - July 14
Patriots Fantasy Preview
  Evan Silva - July 14
Introducing Red Zone Expected Value & 7 Quarterback Touchdown Regression Candidates
  TJ Hernandez - July 13
Rob Gronkowski, Greg Olsen lead must-have TEs
  Marcas Grant - July 13
2015 Fantasy Football in Review: Quarterback Consistency
  Brandon Gdula - July 8
Jaguars Fantasy Preview
  Evan Silva - July 8
How to Not Lose Your Fantasy Football League in the First Round
  Steve Andress - July 6
Handling the Hype Machine
  Jesse Pantuosco - June 28
Handling the Hype Machine
  Jesse Pantuosco - June 28

Latest News

Patriots | Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo share snaps (Thu Jul 28, 02:04 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady received the first snaps during quarterback drills and seven-on-seven drills during practice Thursday, July 28, while QB Jimmy Garoppolo received the first snaps during 11-on-11 drills. Garoppolo went 11-for-14 during the team drills, while Brady went 8-for-14.

Our View: The Patriots need to keep preparing for the full season even as they prepare to not have Brady for the first four weeks. No worries, Brady will continue to see plenty of action in camp. There's no doubt Brady will put up QB1 numbers, but his overall value takes a hit because you won't get a full season from him. He's going in he seventh round in terms of ADP, about QB7 off the board. You're still going to have to fight for him if you want him. And then you either need a good second option or Garoppolo and a lot of faith.
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Patriots | Tom Brady will remain starter (Wed Jul 27, 12:08 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady will return as the starting quarterback when he returns, according to head coach Bill Belichick.

Our View: The biggest no-brainer in the history of Earth. We hope the person who asked this question was booed by the reporters around him.
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Patriots | Tom Brady can't work with teammates (Sun Jul 24, 10:23 AM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady will be prohibited from engaging in any football-related activities or discussions during the course of his four-game suspension, even if he is away from the team facility, according to NFL vice president of communications Brian McCarthy. The ban also prohibits Brady from attending games and practices as a spectator and receiving game and practice film from club personnel.

Our View: This would be more worrisome if Brady was suspended for substance abuse issues or otherwise needed to be with the team to foster unity and buy-in. He's still being drafted as a low QB1 who will produce more like an elite QB once he's back in Week 5. If rosters are big enough to accommodate another quarterback without losing too much early season waiver wire flexibility, Brady is a value pick.
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Patriots | First-team reps for Tom Brady (Sun Jul 17, 03:23 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady should still receive a good amount of first-team repetitions during training camp despite his four-game suspension. QB Jimmy Garoppolo could then take the majority of first-team reps once preseason ramps up, according to ESPNBoston.com's Mike Reiss.

Our View: Brady may see limited time in the preseason, but the team needs to do everything they can to get Garoppolo ready. In college at Eastern Illinois, Garoppolo showed an incredibly quick release and accuracy on passes within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage. However, he did not play well under the slightest bit of pressure. It's going to be a trial by fire for the young QB, and teams like the Patriots Week 1 opponent (the Arizona Cardinals) are going to blitz him all day and dare Garoppolo to beat them with his arm. Good luck with that.
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2016 Schedule

1@ Arizona Cardinals
2vs Miami Dolphins
3vs Houston Texans
4vs Buffalo Bills
5@ Cleveland Browns
6vs Cincinnati Bengals
7@ Pittsburgh Steelers
8@ Buffalo Bills
9--- BYE WEEK ---
10vs Seattle Seahawks
11@ San Francisco 49ers
12@ New York Jets
13vs Los Angeles Rams
14vs Baltimore Ravens
15@ Denver Broncos
16vs New York Jets
17@ Miami Dolphins