FBG says: Bad matchup. Green Bay's passing attack graded as a perfectly-average unit throughout the regular season, aside from quarterback Aaron Rodgers' incredible ability to avoid turning the ball over. The Packers ranked as the 16th-highest-volume passing attack in the league, posting 26 passing touchdowns, good for 14th in the league, and 6.1 net yards per attempt, which ranked 16th in the league. Rodgers' mark of just four interceptions was the lowest total in the NFL, and it was a driving force behind the team's relative overachievement this year. Through the air, targets are heavily concentrated at the top, with Davante Adams commanding nearly one-third of the total targets in the offense. Down the stretch of the regular season, Allen Lazard was the only other player to tally more than five targets per game, but he was held without a target last week, as his playing time was limited due to an injury he is expected to heal from ahead of this weekend's matchup. Overall, tight end Jimmy Graham and Aaron Jones are the only two other reliable difference-makers for Rodgers through the air, and both have the potential to command about five targets this weekend. Overall, Adams is an elite fantasy option once again this weekend, and every other Green Bay pass-catcher remains an afterthought in this tough matchup.
San Francisco's pass defense has a strong case to be regarded as the best unit in the entire NFL this season. While they have defended limited volume, they've allowed just 4.8 net yards per attempt, which is the best mark in the league. This defense is elite at all three levels, but their pass-rush is especially impressive. Arik Armstead (10 sacks) Nick Bosa (9 sacks,) DeForest Buckner (7.5 sacks,) and Dee Ford (6.5 sacks in 11 games) make up one of the league's best defensive lines. The importance of Dee Ford's return to action last weekend cannot be overstated, as the performance of this pass-rush and overall pass-defense is significantly better when he is on the field. Then, at linebacker, Fred Warner and Kwon Alexander grade as two of the league's best pass-defending players at the position. Warner broke up nine passes this season, which is the second-highest total on the team. Lastly, in the defensive backfield, Richard Sherman, K'Waun Williams, Jaquiski Tartt, and Jimmie Ward makeup one of the league's best secondaries. It will take an exceptional performance out of Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay passing attack if they have any hope of beating the 49ers through the air this weekend in what grades as an extremely difficult matchup.