FBG says: Good matchup. Drew Lock's NFL debut went reasonably well as he led the Broncos to a win with 134 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He made some great plays last week, but he also took few risks with just 4.8 passing yards per attempt while throwing an ugly interception in the fourth quarter. This pedestrian passing performance was nothing new for this Denver offense that ranks 31st in the league with just 187.4 passing yards per game and is tied for last with only 11 passing touchdowns. Courtland Sutton, on the other hand, had a huge day last week as he made up over half the total passing yards for this offense (74 of 134) while catching both touchdowns. Sutton has not consistently found the end zone by any means this season but he has been a consistently targeted option for this passing offense and has posted over 70 receiving yards in 8-of-12 games on the year. Beyond Sutton, it is tough to rely on anyone else for consistent production in this passing offense.
The Texans own one of the worst passing defenses in football, giving up the fifth-most passing yards per game (262.9) and touchdowns (25). Quarterbacks have passed for three or more touchdowns against Houston in six of their last eight games, while the only two outliers with fewer than three touchdowns came against struggling Colts and Raiders passing offenses. They are lacking consistent pressure on quarterbacks with one or fewer sacks in five of the last seven games as this defensive line is indeed struggling without star edge rusher J.J. Watt. Play from their defensive backs has also been quite disappointing, especially as three of their starters continue to play through relatively recent injuries. Courtland Sutton will have a clear advantage in this one as the Texans should give Drew Lock a decent chance to excel in his second career start.