Week 4 QB projections • ARI Stats
QB Kevin Kolb, Arizona Cardinals
HT: 6-3, WT: 230, Born: 8-24-1984, College: Houston, Drafted: Round 2
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2011 Projections
| G | CMP | ATT | PYD | Y/A | PTD | INT | RSH | YD | Y/R | TD | FPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Dodds | 15 | 315 | 510 | 3483 | 6.8 | 23 | 17 | 40 | 112 | 2.8 | 1 | 272 |
| Bob Henry | 14 | 317 | 540 | 3650 | 6.8 | 22 | 16 | 33 | 110 | 3.3 | 1 | 278 |
| Jason Wood | 16 | 315 | 535 | 3635 | 6.8 | 23 | 15 | 25 | 60 | 2.4 | 0 | 273 |
Average draft position
Current as of September 6th. [Full ADP list]
Overall: M Floyd (105), C Spiller (106), Kevin Kolb (107), M Sims-Walker (109)Position: S Bradford (90-QB14), J Flacco (96-QB15), Kevin Kolb (107 - QB16), J Cutler (110-QB17), M Cassel (123-QB18)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
PPR Average draft position
Current as of September 6th. [Full PPR ADP list]
Overall: B Pettigrew (109), Kevin Kolb (110), J Cutler (111),Position: S Bradford (91-QB14), J Flacco (105-QB15), Kevin Kolb (110 - QB16), J Cutler (111-QB17), M Cassel (127-QB18)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
Click here to go to the Kevin Kolb spotlight, our staff's most detailed analysis.
Best Case
Kevin Kolb hits the ground running and comes out firing with Larry Fitzgerald, Todd Heap and the other two receivers for the WR2 and WR3 roles (Early Doucet and Andre Roberts). Arizona creates a solid pocket for Kolb and puts up a solid ground attack with Chris Wells and Ryan Williams. Kolb shows everyone why he was worth such a big trade and contract and becomes the franchise QB Arizona has been looking for ever since Kurt Warner retired.
Worst Case
The Cardinals ground game fizzles and the offensive line does not protect Kolb very well at all. Neither Doucet nor Roberts is good enough to pull coverage away from Fitzgerald, leaving him double covered most of the time and Kolb nowhere to go with the ball. Todd Heap loses more than one step and is just a glorified sixth offensive lineman.
Outlook
Kevin Kolb has been very impressive in the past with protection and good receivers at all of the key positions. If Ryan Williams can become a safety valve out of the backfield and Todd Heap can still go over the middle, Kolb should do just fine out in the desert as long as Arizona provides enough protection. Early Doucet or Andre Roberts have to step up and become viable targets to get Larry Fitzgerald more one-on-one matchups. Kolb should play well enough to be a high end fantasy QB2 in 2011.
Relevant Articles
Message board spotlight thread - August 9thKevin Kolb Spotlight - August 9th
Why he is undervalued
according to three of our writers (based on an ADP > 250 on Aug 17 --- go here for the complete article)Steve Holloway - When considering Kolb's projections for 2011, I recall the optimism in Philadelphia only a year ago. He had a top ten QB ADP then. Now, only a year later he has been traded to Arizona and his ADP fell all the way to QB 18. He does have a new team, but that team includes the always reliable Larry Fitzgerald, new addition Todd Heap and a couple of young WRs that enter their second and fourth years in Andre Roberts and Early Doucet, and he still has the same skills that Eagle fans eagerly awaited a year ago. When you combine his 6.8 ypa over the last two seasons with the Cardinals average of 577 passes per year for that same period, it calculates to 3,924 yards passing. Kolb gives you a value QB pick very late in your draft.
Jeff Pasquino - Arizona traded for and signed Kolb to a big contract as the starter, so rest assured that he will start every game if they can keep him healthy. With targets like Larry Fitzgerald and Todd Heap, Kolb gives QB1 upside from a QB2 draft spot on a team with questions in the backfield and in a division lacking for defense. Kolb also has some scramble ability to him to add a little more fantasy potential, but Kolb's clear upside is throwing to Fitzgerald every week. Chris Smith - Kolb has gotten himself into a very good situation in Arizona. With an elite receiver to throw the ball to in Larry Fitzgerald, the talented young quarterback could leap into the top-ten at the position this season.Why he is overvalued
according to two of our writers (based on an ADP > 250 on Aug 17 --- go here for the complete article)Mike Brown - The Eagles found out last year what many people knew for awhile. Kevin Kolb is a bit overrated. He netted them a nice trade bounty despite not having much of a track record in his career. He was thoroughly outplayed by Michael Vick (although to be fair, the same can be said for just about every NFL quarterback last year). Let's consider now, that Kolb struggled in his reads and didn't look ready to be an NFL starter a year ago, and now is in a worse situation than he came from. Arizona has Larry Fitzgerald, which is a huge advantage. But the Eagles had a greater volume of weapons, a dynamic running game, and he wasn't being asked to be the savior of the offense. In Arizona, all of the pressure will land squarely on him and I don't see him lighting up the stat sheet much more than the guys he replaces.
Jeff Haseley - Every year, I find it difficult to pick QBs that are overvalued. For the most part, I think the current list is pretty accurate, but I am not sold on Kevin Kolb this year, just like I wasn't last year. I think Arizona overpaid for him and believe he'll be benched due to performance at some point in the season.2011 Schedule
| Week | Opponent |
|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Panthers |
| 2 | at Washington Redskins |
| 3 | at Seattle Seahawks |
| 4 | New York Giants |
| 5 | at Minnesota Vikings |
| Bye week | |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 8 | at Baltimore Ravens |
| 9 | St. Louis Rams |
| 10 | at Philadelphia Eagles |
| 11 | at San Francisco 49ers |
| 12 | at St. Louis Rams |
| 13 | Dallas Cowboys |
| 14 | San Francisco 49ers |
| 15 | Cleveland Browns |
| 16 | at Cincinnati Bengals |
| 17 | Seattle Seahawks |
2011 Game Summaries
Week 1 - Kevin Kolb impressed in his debut with the Cardinals, maintaining very good pocket awareness throughout the game and delivering the football with accuracy to his targets. Kolb got the ball out quickly when he located an open receiver, allowing them to make yards after the catch. The Panthers pass rush forced Kolb to step up and roll out of the pocket on many occasions, but this was one of the more impressive facets of his game. He kept his eyes downfield in these situations and fired strikes to receivers. His patience was evident on many passing plays as he went through his progressions with a solid pocket protecting him for most of the game. Kolb tossed his first touchdown pass as a Cardinal when TE Jeff King came free down the field after Kolb had rolled right and away from a potential sack. King sauntered in the end zone, wide open and unopposed. His second touchdown pass came when the Panthers sent an all-out blitz, leaving man coverage in the secondary. The single high safety on the play took a bad angle as Kolb fired quickly to Early Doucet. Doucet made him miss a tackle and turned on the speed to score a 70 yard touchdown. On a key third down late in the game, with the Cardinals backed up against their own goal line, Kolb lofted a lovely pass into the thankful hands of Larry Fitzgerald for a sizeable gain. It was a very solid debut from the former Eagle.
Week 2 - Kolb had an underwhelming start due to the Redskins controlling the ball for most of the first half, but impressed when he was on the field. It seems that he is still finding his way with his new team, and it showed as he made better decisions as the game wore on. An example of this is his choice to force the ball to Andre Roberts over the middle, throwing just a bit high; this is a play that Larry Fitzgerald may have made -- but thrown to a receiver who is not as skilled in that area, the pass was intercepted. Kolb's safety outlet was an often open Jeff King, who could be a nice sleeper at TE going forward if that trend continues. Once Kolb found success in the shorter game, passing to his TE's, he was finally able to get the ball to Fitzgerald in open space with regularity, capping it with a perfect throw as his star receiver somehow managed to get behind the secondary for a 73 yard score. One big red flag to mention: the Cardinals had a lot of trouble picking up the blitz. Luckily for Kolb (and his fantasy owners), his accuracy under pressure and on the run is exceptional.
Week 3 - Kolb started off well, but after some early success the Seahawks and their "12th man" made his day a frustrating one. Kolb displayed his trademark accuracy early on, hooking up with Larry Fitzgerald down the sideline for a 28 yard gain, despite a little rain. The duo would follow that up with a few more easy looking catches, and cap it with a miraculous looking touchdown. On the play, Kolb took the snap at the 12 yard line, then back-pedaled under pressure, finally throwing from beyond the 25. He lofted it up to a double covered Fitzgerald, who picked it out of the air with ease. It looked like it could be a good day for Kolb, but a few factors combined to shut down the Cardinals passing game from that point on. First, he did not spread the ball around, it was Fitzgerald or bust, it seemed, and guess what -- the Seahawks caught on. Second was the running game. Backups Taylor and Smith struck no fear in the hearts of anyone, so the Seahawks were able to key on the pass without suffering losses to the ground game. And third, Kolb made mistakes and he paid for them. On the first drive, he got lucky when an interception was called back on a penalty; but despite his ability to mix up his throws -- zipping it in at times, while showing a lighter touch when needed -- he made a couple of poor decisions, which resulted in his two interceptions. On the first one, in the final seconds of the half, a great play was made by the defender, but on the second (on a potential comeback drive) he threw to a covered Todd Heap while he clearly had better options. Kolb still looked like a good quarterback -- he ran the no huddle offense well, got the ball in the hands of his most dangerous target, and adapted well when they shut him down, throwing to his tight ends and running backs more often. But without a strong running game to take the heat off the passing game, it wasn't enough.
Week 4 - Kevin Kolb had a fumble early in the game as his LT was beaten off the ball for an easy strip sack which seemed to have gotten into the head of Kolb for the rest of the game. Kolb would roll out of the pocket and run into pressure on a lot of pass plays and threw a lot of incompletions as a result. Kolb "saw ghosts" and was skittish in the pocket for a lot of this game. Kolb knows his money maker however -- Fitzgerald, and got tried to get the ball to him as much as possible. Kolb threw several prayers up to Fitzgerald hoping his man would come down with the ball. On the first attempt, Fitzgerald simply took the ball away from NYG S Grant and made a play. On the second attempt, Kolb failed to see the Safety later in the game and was easily picked off by former ARI S Rolle. Kolb dealt poorly with pressure and nonexistent pressure in which he dropped back too far to be able to make a play. Kolb was not clutch either as he failed to convert on 4th and short late in the game which sealed the Giants victory.