Week 4 QB projections • CHI Stats
QB Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
HT: 6-4, WT: 225, Born: 4-29-1983, College: Vanderbilt, Drafted: Round 1, Pick 11
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2011 Projections
| G | CMP | ATT | PYD | Y/A | PTD | INT | RSH | YD | Y/R | TD | FPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Dodds | 15 | 291 | 485 | 3395 | 7.0 | 22 | 17 | 38 | 156 | 4.1 | 1 | 267 |
| Bob Henry | 15 | 270 | 445 | 3135 | 7.0 | 26 | 18 | 35 | 135 | 3.9 | 1 | 270 |
| Jason Wood | 15 | 285 | 475 | 3240 | 6.8 | 22 | 18 | 40 | 180 | 4.5 | 1 | 260 |
Average draft position
Current as of September 6th. [Full ADP list]
Overall: M Sims-Walker (109), Jay Cutler (110), M Bush (111), J Knox (112)Position: J Flacco (96-QB15), K Kolb (107-QB16), Jay Cutler (110 - QB17), M Cassel (123-QB18), M Sanchez (125-QB19)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
PPR Average draft position
Current as of September 6th. [Full PPR ADP list]
Overall: B Pettigrew (109), K Kolb (110), Jay Cutler (111), H Ward (113)Position: J Flacco (105-QB15), K Kolb (110-QB16), Jay Cutler (111 - QB17), M Cassel (127-QB18), K Orton (131-QB19)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
Click here to go to the Jay Cutler spotlight, our staff's most detailed analysis.
Relevant Articles
Message board spotlight thread - July 14thJay Cutler Spotlight - July 14th
Why he is undervalued
according to one of our writers (based on an ADP > 250 on Aug 17 --- go here for the complete article)Jason Wood - Cutler was QB15 last year, in spite of throwing just 432 times. On a points per attempt basis, Cutler was 8th among fantasy passers last year. If you think Mike Martz is going to throw fewer than 500 times again in 2010, you're sorely mistaken. The addition of OT Gabe Carimi, WR Roy Williams, and the transition to a 3-TE roster who all block better than they catch tells me Cutler will be slinging the ball around this year. He's going to give you borderline QB1 production for a QB2 price.
Why he is overvalued
according to one of our writers (based on an ADP > 250 on Aug 17 --- go here for the complete article)Sigmund Bloom - All of the fireworks we anticipated from the Cutler-Martz combo fizzled last year, and there's no reason to think that they will ignite this year. The team has done little to improve a porous offensive line and inconsistent WR corps. Cutler alternates between big games and stinkers, which is not what you want from a fantasy QB, even one that is in a committee. Martz discovering balance on offense and limiting Cutler to around 25 pass attempts during most second-half games last season only hurts his fantasy outlook on top of all of the warts we've seen on Cutler during his career.
Latest News
Bears | Jay Cutler excited about Jeremy Bates hire (Tue Feb 7, 02:08 PM) - Chicago Bears QB Jay Cutler is very excited to be working with new quarterbacks coach Jeremy Bates again. The two worked together with the Denver Broncos from 2006 to 2008, where Cutler completed 62.5 percent of his passes for 9,024 yards, 54 touchdowns, 37 interceptions and an 87.1 passer rating in 37 starts. 'I'm very excited to be working with Jeremy Bates again,' Cutler said. 'We got the right guy for the job.' Our View: Bates could help Cutler play up to his potential in Chicago. Adding a top flight WR through free agency or the draft would also help the Bears' passing game.link to story Dolphins | Brandon Marshall would like to reunite with Jay Cutler (Tue Feb 7, 01:33 PM) - Miami Dolphins WR Brandon Marshall, who is under contract through 2014, said he would enjoy an opportunity to play on the same team as Chicago Bears QB Jay Cutler again. Cutler also seems open to the idea. link to story Bears | Expected to have some moving pockets for Jay Cutler (Mon Feb 6, 05:26 PM) - Chicago Bears offensive coordinator Mike Tice is expected to create some plays that will involve moving pockets to take advantage of QB Jay Cutler's mobility. Our View: Cutler does a good job throwing on the run and the Bears should use more rolling pockets to cover up their poor offensive line.
link to story
2011 Schedule
| Week | Opponent |
|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2 | at New Orleans Saints |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers |
| 4 | Carolina Panthers |
| 5 | at Detroit Lions |
| 6 | Minnesota Vikings |
| 7 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Bye week | |
| 9 | at Philadelphia Eagles |
| 10 | Detroit Lions |
| 11 | San Diego Chargers |
| 12 | at Oakland Raiders |
| 13 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 14 | at Denver Broncos |
| 15 | Seattle Seahawks |
| 16 | at Green Bay Packers |
| 17 | at Minnesota Vikings |
2011 Game Summaries
Week 1 - Cutler had a very up and down day on Sunday. He was very lucky at times and got away with a lot of hasty decisions and risky throws. Cutler was his usual gunslinger self as he threw bullet after bullet downfield to his speedy options and threw caution to the wind. Cutler likes new target Williams and will use him in situations where he can outjump or out muscle the defender for the ball. Cutler had two passes in this game that should have resulted in two interceptions for the Falcons. Both times the pass was deflected and simply fell through Falcon defenders hands harmlessly to the dirt. Cutler did get sacked and held onto the ball too long at times but he made up for it with huge chunks of yards he would get by looking downfield a lot. Cutler missed a wide open Davis in the red zone for an easy score due to pressure but was able to hit TE Spaeth later in the game for one of his scores. Cutler liked to hold the ball and to allow his recievers to uncover, which led to good things more often than bad things in this situation. Cutler was lucky that, a silly pass into a defender which turned into a pick 6 for Atlanta, was almost meaningless as the Bears were up by too much late in the game.
Week 2 - Cutler started the game strong. Early on he was faced with a big pass rush that he eluded and found Matt Forte after scrambling around the pocket and actually rolling to his left which is hard to do since he throws right handed. He would go on to find the rookie WR Dane Sanzenbacher on that drive for the Bears' only TD of the day. After that he appeared to have very little sense of when and where the pass rush was coming. He has to know that he only has a limited amount of time and to expect the pass rush. At times it seems there is no one home in his head. He had 11 dropbacks, 4 knockdowns, and 4 hits early in the 2nd Q and even though he was not sacked a lot in the beginning of the game he was still getting a ton of pressure. Then he threw the ball high after a big hit on the next play so all the hits add up and impact his ability to complete passes. 42% COMPLETION RATE just won't get it done. After the TD drive the Bears ran 9 plays for 18 yards and punted the football 3 times, that's not good and it means owners are watching Cutler drink Gatorade. You don't often see a 2 minute offense consist of check downs to the RB but that's exactly what Cutler did before the 1st half putting a FG on the board to pull within 6. Cutler lost his rookie RT late in the 1st half and it had a big impact on pass protection in the 2nd half as the Bears became predictable and the sacks started to mount eventually causing Cutler to make mistakes including a key fumble resulting in the Saints going ahead 23-13 in the 3rd Q. New Orleans sacked Jay Cutler 5 times in the 4th Quarter. That sums up the day for Jay Cutler. Mike Martz did him no favors by only calling 2 runs in the entire 2nd half.
Week 3 - Although Cutler had an OK day from a fantasy prospective, Chicago fans were frustrated again by his lack of consistency in moving the Chicago offense. Cutler got off to a slow start, completing just three of six passes in the first quarter, and he had one interception about 10 minutes into the game. On the play, Cutler pump-faked to Roy Williams down the right sideline, and then half-threw/half-chucked the ball downfield in the general direction of Roy Williams. The ball was overthrown and intercepted on a play that could have gone for a huge gain, but ended in a turnover. In the second quarter, it was a different story, with Cutler making sharp throws to Devin Hester and Johnny Knox for big gains, and eventually finding Dane Sanzenbacher behind the defensive line for a quick score. The third quarter was back to miss-firing, with several passes sailing well over the heads of receivers, a crazy wildcat play where Cutler lined up as a receiver, only to have it called back for a false start and a fumbled snap that Cutler had to fall on to avoid another turnover. In the fourth quarter, Cutler threw his second interceptions, another pass attempt to Roy Williams that sailed over his head and was picked off. However, two plays later the Bears had the ball back, and Cutler threw a perfect strike to Kellen Davis for his second TD pass of the day. Cutler definitely has the arm strength to air it out, but between the passes that are off target and the key drops by his 'go to' guys, Cutler continues to struggle as an NFL QB. He'll certainly have to put up big numbers from week to week because the Bears look like they will be playing from behind a lot.