All QB projections • Current QB rankings • All NE projections • NE team report • NE Stats
QB Tom Brady, New England Patriots
HT: 6-4, WT: 210, Born: 8-3-1977, College: Michigan, Drafted: Round 6
| Outlook • Career Statistics • Game Logs • Split Stats • Play-by-play • Latest News |
2009 Projections
| CMP | ATT | PYD | Y/A | PTD | INT | RSH | YD | Y/R | TD | FPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Dodds | 371 | 571 | 4191 | 7.3 | 33 | 14 | 31 | 53 | 1.7 | 1 | 358 |
| Bob Henry | 353 | 535 | 4071 | 7.6 | 32 | 13 | 34 | 60 | 1.8 | 1 | 350 |
| Jason Wood | 363 | 545 | 4240 | 7.8 | 35 | 13 | 35 | 65 | 1.9 | 1 | 374 |
| Maurile Tremblay | 329 | 525 | 3852 | 7.3 | 27 | 13 | 39 | 75 | 1.9 | 1 | 315 |
Average draft position
Current as of September 7th. [Full ADP list]
Overall: A Johnson (11), R Moss (12), Tom Brady (13), F Gore (14), S Slaton (15)Position: D Brees (9-QB1), Tom Brady (13 - QB2), P Manning (19-QB3), A Rodgers (29-QB4)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
PPR Average draft position
Current as of September 7th. [Full PPR ADP list]
Overall: D Brees (15), C Johnson (16), Tom Brady (17), R Wayne (18), B Jacobs (19)Position: D Brees (15-QB1), Tom Brady (17 - QB2), P Manning (24-QB3), A Rodgers (31-QB4)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
Click here to go to the Tom Brady spotlight, our staff's most detailed analysis.
Click here to go to the Tom Brady faceoff, our staff's look at the pros and cons.
Best Case
"It was the best of times" - in 2007. We've already seen Tom Brady set the single-season TD passing record with 50 TDs to go along with 4,800 passing yards. That translated into an NFL-record 589 points scored for New England and an undefeated regular season. The key cogs in the offense are still in place, and New England has added some proven veterans to the mix. If collectively the offense stays healthy, opposing defensive coordinators will again be losing sleep and loading up on Maalox. Pick your poison on who to cover - Moss, Welker, Galloway, one of the TEs, or stick guys in the box to thwart the run -- there are just too many options to worry about.
Worst Case
"It was the worst of times" - in 2008. On the second drive of the year, Brady went down for the season with a knee injury. It doesn't get any worse than that. Brady may forever hold a dubious record that may not ever be broken: biggest drop-off in TD passes from one season to the next. Given that Brady is coming back from a serious injury and hasn't played much since the Pats loss to the Giants in the Super Bowl (he barely participated in camp last year), he could be rusty and not completely healed. He may have to permanently wear a knee brace which could hamper his mobility, limit his scrambling, and reduce his rushing attempts.
Outlook
It's unlikely the Patriots offense will take a nosedive with Brady coming back. Given the arsenal Brady has to work with, he should be in for another Top 5 fantasy season if healthy. He has already displayed what could happen if all the planets align properly and could lap many other QBs in fantasy scoring. However, the Pats have bulked up their running attack and may try to implement more of a ball-control offense in order to keep their defense off the field more than in recent seasons. That could also lead to a lot of dink and dunk passes - something Matt Cassel made a living on last year and a scheme the Patriots have used at times with Brady.
Relevant Articles
Training Camp Update - Volume 5, Issue 5 - September 2ndInjury Update - September - September 2nd
Projection Tweaks - September 2nd
On Second Thought...Quarterbacks - August 31st
From the Gut part 1 - Quarterbacks - August 29th
Overvalued QBs - August 28th
Training Camp Update - Volume 5, Issue 4 - August 26th
Injury Update - 8/25 - August 25th
Training Camp Update - Volume 5, Issue 3 - August 19th
The Weekly Gut Check - Must-Picks And The All-Gut Check Team - August 19th
Training Camp Update - Volume 5, Issue 2 - August 12th
Injury Update - 8/11 - August 11th
Training Camp Update - Volume 5, Issue 1 - August 6th
The Weekly Gut Check - 2009 Crank Score Projections - August 6th
From the Gut - August 4th
Injury Update - August 3rd
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 102 - July 30th
Tom Brady Face-off - July 29th
Tom Brady Spotlight - July 11th
Message board spotlight thread - July 11th
Injury Update - July - July 5th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 44 (Tuesday, June 2nd) - June 2nd
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 43 (Monday, June 1st) - June 1st
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 40 (Friday, May 29th) - May 29th
Injury Update - May - May 29th
Quarterback Tiers - May 28th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 39 (Thursday, May 28th) - May 28th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 38 (Wednesday, May 27th) - May 27th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 37 (Tuesday, May 26th) - May 26th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 32 (Thursday, May 21st) - May 21st
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 30 (Tuesday, May 19th) - May 19th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 7 (Thursday, April 23rd) - April 23rd
Why he is overvalued
according to one of our writers (based on an ADP of 22, QB 2 on June 7 --- go here for the complete article)Mike Brown - The list of quarterbacks who have come back from a torn ACL and performed as well as before the surgery is a short list indeed. Factor in the issues that Brady faced during his rehabilitation with infection and the like, and I'm a little concerned. Not enough to put him on a do not draft list or anything crazy, but I just think I can find better ways of using my second round pick. In those rounds, I'm typically looking for a little more of a sure thing. And unless you think he's going to step right in with 35 touchdowns and 4,200 yards, this is far too risky.
Latest News
Patriots | Brady practices Friday, probable for Week 11 (Fri Nov 20, 08:01 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (shoulder) practiced in full Friday, Nov. 20, and he is listed as probable for Week 11. link to story Patriots | Brady practices in full Thursday (Thu Nov 19, 10:59 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (shoulder) practiced in full Thursday, Nov. 19. link to story Patriots | Brady practices in full Thursday (Thu Nov 19, 10:59 PM) - New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (shoulder) practiced in full Thursday, Nov. 19. Patriots | Brady practices Wednesday (Wed Nov 18, 04:47 PM) - Monique Walker, of the Boston Globe, reports New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (shoulder) fully participated in practice Wednesday, Nov. 18. link to story Patriots | Brady throws for 375 yards Week 10 (Mon Nov 16, 12:54 AM) - The Associated Press reports New England Patriots QB Tom Brady was 29-for-42 for 375 yards with three touchdown passes and an interception Week 10 against the Indianapolis Colts. Our View: It was pitch and catch for Brady and his receivers as they battled against two rookie cornerbacks in the Colts secondary.link to story More News
2009 Schedule
| Week | Opponent |
|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2 | at New York Jets |
| 3 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 4 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 5 | at Denver Broncos |
| 6 | Tennessee Titans |
| 7 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Bye week | |
| 9 | Miami Dolphins |
| 10 | at Indianapolis Colts |
| 11 | New York Jets |
| 12 | at New Orleans Saints |
| 13 | at Miami Dolphins |
| 14 | Carolina Panthers |
| 15 | at Buffalo Bills |
| 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 17 | at Houston Texans |
2008 Game Summaries
Week 1 - Brady looked to be in usual MVP form early on, going seven for eleven for 76 yards. Then, Patriots' fans' worst nightmare came true. Matt Cassel would replace the starter after what the replays showed as a knee injury that was eerily similar to the one Carson Palmer suffered in the 2005 playoffs. As of Sunday night, there were reports circulating that Brady would be out for the year. However, none of those reports have been confirmed by the team.
