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QB Tom Brady, New England Patriots
HT: 6-4, WT: 210, Born: 8-3-1977, College: Michigan, Drafted: Round 6
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2009 Projections
| CMP | ATT | PYD | Y/A | PTD | INT | RSH | YD | Y/R | TD | FPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Dodds | 365 | 565 | 4040 | 7.2 | 31 | 13 | 35 | 70 | 2.0 | 1 | 344 |
| Bob Henry | 350 | 530 | 4028 | 7.6 | 32 | 13 | 34 | 60 | 1.8 | 1 | 347 |
| Jason Wood | 350 | 540 | 3980 | 7.4 | 29 | 13 | 35 | 65 | 1.9 | 0 | 325 |
| Maurile Tremblay | 328 | 525 | 3850 | 7.3 | 27 | 13 | 39 | 75 | 1.9 | 1 | 315 |
Average draft position
Current as of June 29th. [Full ADP list]
Overall: B Jacobs (17), C Portis (18), Tom Brady (19), M Barber (20), R Wayne (21)Position: D Brees (13-QB1), Tom Brady (19 - QB2), P Manning (25-QB3), A Rodgers (36-QB4)
Click here for a comparison of these players.
Best Case
"It was the best of times" - in 2007. We've already seen Tom Brady set the single-season TD passing record with 50 TDs to go along with 4,800 passing yards. That translated into an NFL-record 589 points scored for New England and an undefeated regular season. The key cogs in the offense are still in place, and New England has added some proven veterans to the mix. If collectively the offense stays healthy, opposing defensive coordinators will again be losing sleep and loading up on Maalox. Pick your poison on who to cover - Moss, Welker, Galloway, one of the TEs, or stick guys in the box to thwart the run -- there are just too many options to worry about.
Worst Case
"It was the worst of times" - in 2008. On the second drive of the year, Brady went down for the season with a knee injury. It doesn't get any worse than that. Brady may forever hold a dubious record that may not ever be broken: biggest drop-off in TD passes from one season to the next. Given that Brady is coming back from a serious injury and hasn't played much since the Pats loss to the Giants in the Super Bowl (he barely participated in camp last year), he could be rusty and not completely healed. He may have to permanently wear a knee brace which could hamper his mobility, limit his scrambling, and reduce his rushing attempts.
Outlook
It's unlikely the Patriots offense will take a nosedive with Brady coming back. Given the arsenal Brady has to work with, he should be in for another Top 5 fantasy season if healthy. He has already displayed what could happen if all the planets align properly and could lap many other QBs in fantasy scoring. However, the Pats have bulked up their running attack and may try to implement more of a ball-control offense in order to keep their defense off the field more than in recent seasons. That could also lead to a lot of dink and dunk passes - something Matt Cassel made a living on last year and a scheme the Patriots have used at times with Brady.
Relevant Articles
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 44 (Tuesday, June 2nd) - June 2ndFootballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 43 (Monday, June 1st) - June 1st
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 40 (Friday, May 29th) - May 29th
Injury Update - May - May 29th
Quarterback Tiers - May 28th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 39 (Thursday, May 28th) - May 28th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 38 (Wednesday, May 27th) - May 27th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 37 (Tuesday, May 26th) - May 26th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 32 (Thursday, May 21st) - May 21st
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 30 (Tuesday, May 19th) - May 19th
Footballguys Daily Email - Volume 10, Issue 7 (Thursday, April 23rd) - April 23rd
Why he is overvalued
according to two of our writers (based on an ADP of 22, QB 2 on June 7 --- go here for the complete article)Mike Brown - The list of quarterbacks who have come back from a torn ACL and performed as well as before the surgery is a short list indeed. Factor in the issues that Brady faced during his rehabilitation with infection and the like, and I'm a little concerned. Not enough to put him on a do not draft list or anything crazy, but I just think I can find better ways of using my second round pick. In those rounds, I'm typically looking for a little more of a sure thing. And unless you think he's going to step right in with 35 touchdowns and 4,200 yards, this is far too risky.
Mark Wimer - Tom Brady had a career year two seasons ago (398/578 for 4806 yards, 50 TDs and eight interceptions), but he missed almost an entire year of football due to his torn ACL - and he is reportedly expected to wear the knee brace for the rest of his career. Throwing a ball takes a whole body motion - we have yet to see what effect the devastating knee injury has had on Brady's passes. I think QB2 is wildly optimistic for a player coming off a serious injury and who'll also do without the offensive coordinator, Josh McDaniels, who helped craft the phenomenal 2007 season.2009 Schedule
| Week | Opponent |
|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2 | at New York Jets |
| 3 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 4 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 5 | at Denver Broncos |
| 6 | Tennessee Titans |
| 7 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Bye week | |
| 9 | Miami Dolphins |
| 10 | at Indianapolis Colts |
| 11 | New York Jets |
| 12 | at New Orleans Saints |
| 13 | at Miami Dolphins |
| 14 | Carolina Panthers |
| 15 | at Buffalo Bills |
| 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 17 | at Houston Texans |
2008 Game Summaries
Week 1 - Brady looked to be in usual MVP form early on, going seven for eleven for 76 yards. Then, Patriots' fans' worst nightmare came true. Matt Cassel would replace the starter after what the replays showed as a knee injury that was eerily similar to the one Carson Palmer suffered in the 2005 playoffs. As of Sunday night, there were reports circulating that Brady would be out for the year. However, none of those reports have been confirmed by the team.
