It's hard to believe that we're less than two weeks away from the start of the NFL regular season. For many fans, they're just now starting to pay attention. But for fantasy owners, for FOOTBALLGUYS, we're already many months into our preparation. As one of the contributors to the site's projections, I have had the entire league modeled and projected since late April. A LOT of things happen between then and the beginning of September. I, along with the other staff, tweak our projections and expectations in real-time. But it occurs to me that very little is ever said about the way our opinions change. This article, and others like it, will highlight qualitatively the assumptions that went into my initial projections that have since changed considerably. Enjoy.
On Second Thought...
John Brown (ARI) still has WR2 upside, but the risks are far higher than we thought
Brown was ineffective last year, but the preseason narrative indicated it was because of untreated sickle-cell anemia. This preseason Brown once again missed the majority of the summer, and Bruce Arians openly admonished Brown on multiple occasions. The mercurial receiver returned to practice just before the third preseason game, and then caught two touchdowns playing with the starters in the dress rehearsal. That’s a reminder of Brown’s upside, but his illness is a reason to discount him on draft day.