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Expected Playoff Games Played

Projected playoff fantasy points based on expected number of games played.

In playoff fantasy football, predicting the correct number of games played for each team is paramount. This article, now in its fourth year, uses statistics to do just that. If you're unfamiliar with how my system works, click on any (or all) of the following links to the previous installments:

The Cliffs NotesTM version is that I use win probabilities published by Fivethirtyeight.comFootball OutsidersVegas, and Pro Football Reference to calculate how many games a given team can be expected to play according to math and statistics. I used to use ESPN Stats & Info's, but they're no longer giving details with respect to each team's probability of a conference championship appearance or conference championship; which is kind of important for the math. Thererfore, I've replaced them with Pro Football Focus, who is newly obliged in that regard.

EXPECTED PLAYOFF GAMES PLAYED

Below is a table showing my games played expectations for each team in this year's playoffs:

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