It doesn't matter if it's re-draft, keeper, dynasty, or daily, if you want to take your fantasy skills to a higher level, you have to develop an understanding of young talent.
Of the 40 players that had top-10 fantasy seasons at their respective positions this year, 12 of those players had no more than 3 years of pro football experience:
This year isn't unusual. There were 23 last year and 20 in 2015.
Ana, a Footballguys subscriber and regular listener of The Audible, recently shared with me lessons from her evolution as a fantasy football owner — a developmental path that we share in this hobby. Like most of us, Ana believed she knew enough about football to become a competitive owner when she began playing fantasy football. After her first year, she realized that regardless of how much she knew, finding all of the pertinent information and distilling it into actionable steps requires more time than most have.
This is where Footballguys entered her life. And as Footballguys gave her an efficient way of staying abreast of the NFL's preseason and in-season developments, it also expanded her knowledge about the game — but not in the way that you may think.
When people see the phrase 'football knowledge,' they think about strategy, analytics, and technique. However, Ana identified new talent development as a vital part of football knowledge — and the most common type of knowledge gap that fantasy owners have.
While it could be argued that Goff and Gurley were bargains, a lot of fantasy owners and writers wrote off Goff as a colossal bust and Gurley as an overrated option thanks to stats-based arguments that lacked enough context of football knowledge to produce anything but magical realism. Even if fantasy owners took chances on each player, those honest with themselves know that Gurley and Goff were tough calls.
Gurley's ADP made him a high-risk option that most recommended against. Most Goff owners waited 4-6 weeks — and likely incurred multiple losses — before they had the confidence to start the quarterback. Trust me, I still had readers emailing me for fantasy football therapy sessions about Goff 3-4 weeks after I posted analysis of the quarterback's game and stated my confidence in him.
This week, I'm ending the 2017 fantasy season and kicking off the 2018 draft season with three tips to help you develop a better understanding of talent development.
1. expand your focus from 'rookies' to 'young talent'
While a little simplistic in explanation, most fantasy owners make the mistake of classifying players as rookies, veterans, and busts. When a player enters the league, he's a rookie. If he produces enough to earn a meaningful role moving forward, he's a veteran. If he doesn't earn a consistent and meaningful role, he's a bust.
There are variations to this explanation:
WANT TO SEE THE REST?
The full page you are accessing is FREE but it requires you to be a Footballguys
All you have to do is enter your email address into the box below and click the "Send Now" button and
we'll INSTANTLY send you your login and password. Once you've signed in, you'll
get immediate access to the content you were trying to see plus more.
You'll be accessing the content in seconds after entering your email.
Want to learn more about becoming a Footballguys Insider? Click HERE.
If you're already a Footballguys Insider, you're good to go -- just log in at the top of this page. If you're not sure, enter your email below.
WE WILL NEVER SPAM YOU. EVER. UNSUBSCRIBE AT ANY TIME.