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Mining Passing Game Value Through ADP

Dissecting 2017 fantasy value from historical ADP results

Dating back to 2008, I have tracked the seasonal PPG results of every NFL passing game. Using the positional ADP rankings of every NFL team's top quarterback and their subsequent passing game targets, here is a look at the historical sweet spots for 2017:

*ADP used is as updated on the Footballguys ADP page*

The list is ordered by quarterback positional ADP. The +/- columns represent the difference between the WR1, WR2, WR3, TE1 positional ADP in 2017 and the historical average finish of those positions by quarterback finish. Only the projected Week 1 starter (or most valuable quarterback) for each NFL team is listed.

In short, green presents historical opportunity and red represents an overvaluation.


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